Yeo Hiap Seng - 02 July 25

Chart Setup & Context:

• Stock Name & Ticker: Yeo Hiap Seng Limited (SGX: Y03)

• Chart Timeframe: Daily (1D)

• Date Range Analyzed: August 2024 – July 2, 2025

• Number of Bars Reviewed: ~220 daily bars (approx. 11 months of trading)

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1. Market Structure & Order Flow Analysis:

• Trend Structure Identification:

  • Key Swing Lows (SL): 0.530 (April), 0.545 (Jan & Aug)

  • Key Swing Highs (SH): 0.590 (Feb), 0.595 (Apr/May)

  • Current Structure: Range-bound (0.530–0.595) with minor upward bias recently

  • Recent BOS/CHoCH: Micro BOS above 0.570 (June into July); however, macro structure remains inside larger range

• Momentum Decay:

  • Bar Overlap: Noticeable between 0.550–0.580

  • Range Compression: Higher lows, but repeated upper rejection near 0.580–0.595

• Institutional vs. Retail Behavior:

  • Absorption Evidence: Several small-bodied candles on high relative volume near 0.545–0.550 in May (buying absorption)

  • Shakeouts: Sharp downside tail near 0.530 (April), likely retail stop sweep followed by quick recovery

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2. Advanced Volume-Price Relationship (VPR) Analysis:

• High Volume + Small Range: Notable absorption at 0.545 in January and May

• High Volume + Wide Range: Large bullish bar with spike volume during April-May rally towards 0.595

• Volume Divergence: Price testing 0.580–0.595 again with slightly lower volume vs April peaks

• Volume Clusters: Dense volume observed at 0.550–0.570 suggesting institutional activity controlling that zone

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3. Institutional Footprint Recognition:

• Liquidity Grab: April downside wick to 0.530, likely liquidity run

• Order Block Formation: Bullish order block likely between 0.545–0.550 from May price action

• Fair Value Gaps (FVG): Small imbalance zone left from sharp April bounce (0.540–0.555 range)

• Displacement Move: Single impulsive leg from 0.530 to 0.595 (April-May) remains untested

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4. Bar Pattern Recognition:

• Recent Reversal Bars:

  • May 2025: Bullish engulfing near 0.545

  • June-July 2025: Multiple small-bodied candles clustering at 0.575–0.580 (stutter before breakout attempt)

• Continuation Patterns:

  • Minor bullish consolidation (tight inside bar cluster) below 0.580 across late June 2025

• Indecision/Transition Bars:

  • Spinning tops near current 0.580 level signal market hesitation pre-break

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5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence:

• Higher Timeframe (Weekly):

  • Primary Bias: Still range-bound between 0.530 and 0.595

  • Critical Zone: Weekly resistance at 0.595, strong support at 0.530

• Daily Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish short term, pending a clean breakout over 0.595 with volume confirmation

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6. Psychological Level Integration:

• Psychological Levels:

  • 0.550 (mid-range, prior support cluster)

  • 0.600 (round number psychological resistance overhead)

• Recent Highs/Lows:

  • Current market pushing against May-June highs at 0.580

  • Still below major swing resistance at 0.595

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7. Risk-Adjusted Setup Identification:

• Current Playbook: Awaiting breakout over 0.595 for directional confirmation

• Risk Level (Stop): Below 0.550 (strong demand cluster support)

• Target: First target at 0.600 (round number), extended target towards 0.620 if breakout has institutional drive

• Risk-Reward Scenario: Risking ~0.030 for ~0.020–0.040 potential upside (approx. 1:1.5 to 1:2 setup if breakout occurs)

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8. Market Regime Classification:

• Primary Market Regime: Ranging with slight bullish tilt

• Secondary Note: Watch for transition signals into trending regime if 0.595 decisively breaks with volume expansion

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9. Institutional Supply/Demand Analysis:

• Demand Zone: 0.545–0.550 (clearly defended multiple times)

• Supply Zone: 0.595–0.600 (historical sell zone - March, April, May 2025)

• Effort vs. Result: Latest upward tests show increasing effort but limited range follow-through—breakout pending validation

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10. Recent Company Catalyst Analysis:

• Recent Catalyst Review (Past 90 Days):

  • No major earnings surprises or M&A activity noted in last quarter

  • Sector rotation into consumer staples providing minor tailwind

  • No new regulatory changes reported affecting core business

• Catalyst Volume Correlation: Volume spikes in May likely driven by technical order flow rather than news

• Forward-Looking: Next earnings report expected early August 2025 (potential volatility driver)

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EXECUTION SUMMARY:

• Trade Plan Summary:

  • Bias: Watching for bullish breakout over 0.595

  • Trigger: Daily close above 0.595 with above-average volume

  • Stop Level: Below 0.550

  • Target Level: First target 0.600, second target 0.620+

  • Risk-Reward: Targeting at least 1:2 RR on breakout confirmation

  • Confidence Score: 6/10 (neutral to bullish, pending breakout confirmation)

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Key Levels to Watch:

Support	Resistance
0.530	0.595
0.545	0.600
0.550	0.620

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Pre-Execution Checklist:

• ✅ Confirm breakout above 0.595 on closing basis

• ✅ Validate with 20–30% above average volume

• ✅ Check for broad market support in SGX Consumer sector

• ✅ Ensure stop placement beyond recent structural lows (0.550)

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Final Trade Summary Format:
"Buying Yeo Hiap Seng (SGX: Y03) because price is testing multi-month range highs with volume compression and potential breakout over 0.595, with stops at 0.550 targeting 0.600–0.620 for 1:2 risk-reward."

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

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