Wednesday, July 30, 2025

iFast - 30 Jul 25

IFAST Corporation (SGX:AIY) | Daily Chart | Analysis Date: 30 July 2025
Analysis Period: ~9 months (Nov 2024 – Jul 2025) | Bars Analyzed: ~180
Last Traded Price: SGD 8.88


CURRENT MARKET REGIME: STRONG UPTREND / POTENTIAL CLIMACTIC MOVE


HIGH-CONVICTION OBSERVATIONS

  1. Macro Structure – Uptrend Confirmation

    • Swing Highs (SH): 7.93 → 8.83 → [8.88 current]

    • Swing Lows (SL): 7.18 → 6.18 → 6.67 → 6.38 (higher lows forming)

    • Break of structure occurred post-6.67 → 7.23 breakout, followed by an explosive rally—indicating a trend acceleration phase.

    • Current rally displays displacement behavior: minimal retracement, consistent higher closes.

  2. Volume-Price Relationship – Climax Behavior Detected

    • Last 3 bars show vertical price movement with expanding volume, especially today’s candle:

      • Wide Range + High Volume = professional activity OR terminal move.

      • Possible Buying Climax (BC) forming; price has surged ~40%+ in under 10 sessions.

    • Compare to prior highs: volume at 8.83 was strong but lacked this degree of verticality, suggesting institutional interest has returned aggressively.

  3. Institutional Footprints – Demand Imbalance & Fair Value Gap

    • Strong order block demand zone identified at 6.38–6.67, confirmed by tight consolidation and sharp rejection.

    • Price now far above recent demand—indicating possible Fair Value Gap between 7.25–8.00 that may require filling on pullback.

    • Last significant liquidity grab likely at 6.18–6.38 zone (May lows), setting up base for current impulse move.

  4. Bar Pattern & Breakout Structure

    • Recent session formed a breakaway gap with no overlap from prior candle—high probability of institutional markup phase.

    • No reversal bars yet; no pin bars, doji, or outside reversal patterns—momentum intact.

    • Current bar is a bullish Marubozu (no wick), with significant bullish conviction.

  5. Psychological & Structural Levels

    • Price broke through prior highs (8.83, Mar 2025) with aggressive volume, confirming psychological clearance of resistance.

    • Next potential magnet: round number SGD 9.00, followed by measured move projection:

      • Prior impulse: 6.67 → 8.83 = +2.16

      • Projected target if breakout holds = 8.83 + 2.16 = 10.99


MULTI-TIMEFRAME CONFLUENCE

  • Weekly likely showing strong breakout from 6-month accumulation range.

  • Strong confluence between daily BOS and potential weekly demand shift.


RISK-MANAGEMENT PARAMETERS

  • Stop Loss Zone: Below recent breakout zone (≈7.50) or conservative trailing stop below 8.00 psychological area.

  • Target Zones:

    • Initial: 9.50 (psychological magnet)

    • Extended: 10.99 (measured move)

  • Minimum RR Setup:

    • Entry: 8.88

    • Stop: 7.50

    • Target: 10.99

    • RR ≈ 1:3


FORWARD-LOOKING BIAS

  • Expectation of short-term continuation, but risk of terminal move pullback is high.

  • Strong hands likely to begin distribution above 9.00–9.50, monitor volume shift and reversal candles.

  • Watch for FVG reversion pullbacks toward 8.00–7.50 for high-RR re-entry opportunities.


TRADE SUMMARY FORMAT

Buying IFAST (SGX:AIY) because of a strong institutional breakout above multi-month resistance with wide-range bullish candles and volume confirmation, with stops at 7.50 targeting 10.99 for a 1:3 risk-reward ratio.
Confidence Rating: 8.5/10


KEY LEVELS TO WATCH

  • Support: 8.00 / 7.50 / 6.67 (prior BOS)

  • Resistance: 9.00 / 9.50 / 10.99

  • Volume Watch: Dry-up on consolidation or surge with reversal wicks


✅ TRADE EXECUTION CHECKLIST

  • Confirm no bearish reversal bar on next session

  • Watch pre-market volume and gap behavior

  • Adjust position sizing to reflect extended move risk

  • Consider partials at 9.50 for profit-locking


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:  0.70%



No comments:

Post a Comment

Singapore Stock Investment Research