Wednesday, December 10, 2025

HC Surgical - 10 Dec 2025

HC Surgical Specialists Ltd (SGX: 1B1) — Daily Chart Analysis

Chart Timeframe: 1D
Visible Date Range: Sep 2024 – Dec 2025
Last Traded Price: ~0.340
Recent Swing High: ~0.375
Recent Swing Low: ~0.325 (minor), 0.290–0.300 (major structural base)

🔎 1. Current Market Regime

→ Transition from Uptrend to Range / Distribution

Strong impulsive uptrend from 0.270 → 0.375.
Since Oct–Nov: lower highs + overlapping bars + volume contraction → classic distribution/ranging regime.
No confirmed bearish BOS yet on higher timeframe, but bullish momentum has clearly decayed.

📐 2. Market Structure & Order Flow

Key Structural Levels

Major Swing Low (SL): ~0.270–0.290 → institutional accumulation base.
Higher High (HH): 0.375 → trend peak.
Current Lower High (LH): ~0.355–0.360 → confirms loss of bullish control.
Range Support: 0.325–0.330
Range Resistance: 0.355–0.360

Structure Read

Uptrend valid until 0.325 breaks with displacement.
Failure swings near 0.360 = supply dominance.
No CHoCH back to bullish yet.

📊 3. Advanced Volume–Price Relationship (VPR)

Institutional Signatures

Aug & Sep volume spikes + modest upside follow-through → absorption / professional accumulation.
Rally to 0.375 occurred on expanding volume → valid institutional markup.
Post-peak: volume declining while price drifts → distribution, not panic selling.

Effort vs Result

Recent bars show moderate volume + small real bodies:
- = balanced order flow
- = neither strong accumulation nor aggressive distribution currently.

🧠 4. Institutional Footprint Recognition

Liquidity Grab: Minor stop runs above 0.360, followed by immediate rejection → retail breakout trap.
Order Block: Last bearish block near 0.355–0.360.
Fair Value Gap (FVG): Small inefficiency remains around 0.345–0.350 → price currently reacting inside it.
Wyckoff Phase: Late Phase D → E transition risk if 0.325 fails.

🕯 5. Bar Pattern Recognition

At 0.375:
- Long upper wicks + reduced follow-through → exhaustion + supply entry.
Recent sessions:
- Inside-bar clusters + spinning tops near 0.335–0.345 → energy compression.
No bullish engulfing at support yet → buyers not showing urgency.

🧭 6. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

Daily: Range compression.
Weekly (inferred):
- Still structurally bullish unless 0.300 breaks.
Best signals will come from:
- Daily breakdown → weekly trend invalidation, or
- Daily breakout → weekly continuation confirmation.

🧠 7. Psychological & Volatility Levels

Psychological Magnet: 0.350
Round Support Zone: 0.300
ATR Behavior: Volatility contracted after rally → expansion pending.

✅ 8. High-Probability Trade Zones (If Trading)

🟢 Bullish Continuation Setup

Trigger: Daily close above 0.360 with volume expansion
Stop: Below 0.335
Targets:
- T1: 0.375
- T2: 0.395–0.405 (measured move extension)
R:R: ~1:3

🔴 Bearish Breakdown Setup

Trigger: Daily displacement below 0.325
Stop: Above 0.350
Targets:
- T1: 0.305
- T2: 0.290
R:R: ~1:2.5

🧬 9. Institutional Supply & Demand

Demand Zone: 0.290–0.310
Supply Zone: 0.355–0.375
Current price is mid-range → lowest edge environment for swing traders.

🧩 10. Highest-Conviction Observations

✅ Uptrend completed a full markup cycle into 0.375.
✅ Momentum decay + lower highs confirm active distribution.
✅ 0.325 is the line separating bullish continuation vs structural failure.
✅ Current candles show compression → volatility expansion imminent.
✅ Institutional activity was heavy at 0.29–0.31 and again at 0.36–0.375.

📈 11. Forward-Looking Bias

Short-Term Bias: Neutral → Breakout-dependent
Bullish only if: Volume-supported reclaim of 0.360+
Bearish only if: Clean breakdown below 0.325

🎯 Key Levels to Watch

Resistance: 0.355 → 0.375
Support: 0.325 → 0.300
Decision Zone: 0.340–0.350 (current price)

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend: 4.41%

Arthur Wang Technical Analysis