Global Inv, - 15 Dec 2025

1. Chart Setup & Context

• Stock: Global Investments Limited

• Ticker: SGX: B73

• Timeframe: Daily (1D)

• Date Range Analyzed: Apr → mid-Dec

• Approx. Bars: ~170 daily bars

• Last Traded Price: 0.128

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2. Market Regime Classification (Lead)

Current Regime: RANGING → LATE DISTRIBUTION / WEAK ACCUMULATION FAILURE

• No sustained higher-high sequence

• Repeated range highs sold into

• Range compression + declining upside momentum

• Buyers defending 0.126–0.127, but with weak follow-through

This is not a trending environment. It is a liquidity-driven rotation range.

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3. Market Structure & Order Flow

Structural Map (Key Swings)

• Major Range Low: ~0.121–0.122

• Intermediate Support: 0.126

• Range Mid: 0.129

• Range High / Supply: 0.132–0.136

Structure Observations

• Apr–May: Recovery leg from 0.121 → 0.130 (initiative buying)

• Jun–Jul: Overlapping bars → loss of momentum

• Aug: Displacement up to 0.136, immediately rejected

• Sep–Dec: Lower highs + flat lows → distribution behavior

BOS / CHoCH

• CHoCH (Bearish): After failure above 0.136

• No bullish BOS since Aug → confirms buyers lost control

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4. Volume–Price Relationship (Critical Insight)

Key Volume Events

1. Aug spike to 0.136

   • High volume + wide range

   • Immediate rejection next bar

   • Classic professional distribution

2. Post-Aug pullback to 0.126

   • High volume + long downside wick

   • Price fails to accelerate lower

   • Absorption by stronger hands

3. Recent bars (Nov–Dec)

   • Low volume + narrow ranges

   • Indicates lack of participation, not accumulation

Effort vs Result

• Multiple high-effort rallies → minimal net progress

• Strong sign of supply absorbing demand

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5. Institutional Footprints (Smart Money Lens)

• Liquidity Grab: Push above 0.132–0.136 cleared stops

• Upthrust After Distribution (UTAD): Aug high

• Order Block: Supply zone remains 0.132–0.136

• No clean FVG support below current price → downside risk if 0.126 fails

Wyckoff read:

• Phase C/D attempt failed

• Market reverted to distribution range

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6. Bar Pattern Recognition (Micro)

Reversal / Control Bars

• Repeated upper-wick rejection bars near 0.132

• No strong bullish engulfing from support

• Recent red closes near lows → seller control intraday

Continuation / Indecision

• Prolonged inside-bar clusters around 0.129

• Indicates energy compression, not accumulation

• Resolution likely directional, not neutral

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7. Psychological & Structural Levels

Level	Meaning
0.136	Major distribution high
0.132	Repeated institutional sell zone
0.129	Range midpoint / magnet
0.126	Critical buyer defense
0.121–0.122	Structural base

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8. High-Conviction Observations (Top 5)

1. Every rally above 0.132 is sold aggressively

2. Buyers defend 0.126 but lack initiative

3. Volume contracts on rallies → bearish divergence

4. Structure favors mean reversion, not trend

5. Break of 0.126 likely accelerates downside

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9. Risk-Adjusted Setup Mapping (Execution Lens)

Bullish Scenario (Lower Probability)

• Entry Zone: 0.126–0.127 (absorption confirmation required)

• Invalidation: Daily close < 0.124

• Targets:

  • TP1: 0.129

  • TP2: 0.132

• R:R: ~1:2 (counter-trend, tactical only)

⚠️ Requires clear volume expansion + bullish close — currently absent.

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Bearish Scenario (Higher Probability)

• Trigger: Daily close < 0.126

• Entry: Weak retest of 0.126 from below

• Targets:

  • TP1: 0.122

  • TP2: 0.119

• Stop: Above 0.129

• R:R: 1:2.5+

Aligned with structure + volume logic.

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10. Multi-Timeframe Bias (Implicit)

• Daily range unresolved

• Weekly structure still capped below 0.136

• Higher timeframe does not support sustained upside

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11. Catalyst Consideration (Non-Dominant)

• No visible sustained catalyst impact

• Price reactions suggest news sold into, not accumulated

• Moves appear liquidity-driven, not fundamentally repriced

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12. Forward-Looking Bias & Key Levels

Bias:
➡️ Neutral-to-Bearish while below 0.132

Key Levels to Watch:

• 0.126 → decision level (most important)

• 0.132 → supply confirmation

• 0.121 → downside liquidity pocket

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Bottom Line (Institutional View)

This is a range-bound, distribution-leaning stock with weak demand follow-through.
Until 0.132 is reclaimed with volume, upside attempts are sellable rotations, not trends.

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

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