HC Surgical - 25 Jul 25

HC SURGICAL (SGX:1B1) – DAILY CHART ANALYSIS (25 JULY 2025)
Timeframe: Daily
Bars in Analysis Period: ~200+ bars (Oct 2023–Jul 2025)
Market Regime: Transitional to Early Ranging Phase

---

High Conviction Observations:

1. Market Structure & Order Flow

   • Major Swing Lows (SL): 0.240 (Feb '24 & Oct '24), 0.255 (May '24), 0.270 (Mar '24, Jan '25, May '25) – forming a broad, stable demand base.

   • Swing Highs (SH): 0.285 (Jul '24), 0.295 (Nov '24), 0.310 (Feb '25), 0.335 (Jul '25).

   • Recent Break of Structure (BOS): Clear BOS occurred in mid-July 2025 breaking above 0.310 and tagging 0.335 – signals transition from range to bullish attempt.

   • Change of Character (CHoCH): Occurred post-Dec '24 when buyers defended 0.270 and pushed to 0.310 again – early signal of accumulation breakout attempt.

2. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

   • Climactic Volume on 0.335 candle (Jul '25): High volume + wide bar suggests institutional breakout push, but sharp rejection back to 0.300 shows potential buying climax or trap.

   • Volume Dry-Up Zones: Noticeably low volume through May–Jun '25 while price hovered at 0.290–0.300 → indicates coiled accumulation phase.

   • Volume Expansion on Upside Break (Jul '25): Volume breakout from 0.300-0.310 was validated, but immediate fade suggests lack of sustained conviction.

3. Institutional Footprints

   • Absorption Evidence: Repeated high volume tests at 0.270–0.290 in Q1–Q2 2025 yielded minimal downside progress → institutional support zone.

   • Liquidity Grab: Spike to 0.335 pierced above multiple highs (0.310, 0.295) before sharply retracing – textbook liquidity sweep likely trapping late buyers.

   • Order Block: Bullish order block exists at 0.270–0.290 zone, coinciding with prior institutional absorption.

4. Bar Pattern Recognition

   • Reversal Pin Bar (Jul 24): Long upper wick at 0.335 on expanding volume = potential buying climax.

   • Continuation Bars (Jul 22-23): Strong green-bodied candles on rising volume showing institutional push, but follow-through faltered.

   • Inside Bars Cluster (May–Jun '25): Tight range action between 0.285–0.300 indicated energy coil prior to breakout.

5. Multi-Timeframe & Psychological Confluence

   • Higher Timeframe Context: Weekly chart likely shows long-term range base formation.

   • Round Number Levels: 0.300 held as key psychological pivot; 0.350 is next magnet if structure sustains.

   • ATR Compression Zone: Pre-breakout compression suggests volatility expansion cycle in play.

---

Execution Framework

• Entry Consideration: Pullback into 0.290–0.300 demand zone offers low-risk re-entry for continuation.

• Stop Loss: Below 0.270 (beneath demand zone and institutional footprint)

• Targets:

  • TP1: 0.335 (prior high)

  • TP2: 0.350 (gap fill + psychological resistance)

• Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:2.5 to 1:3 depending on entry near 0.300

---

Trade Summary Format

Buying HC SURGICAL (1B1.SI) because of structural breakout from long-term accumulation zone with confirmed volume expansion with stops at 0.270, targeting 0.335 and 0.350 for a risk-reward of 1:2.5 to 1:3,
Confidence Rating: 7.5 / 10

---

Key Levels to Watch

• Support Zones: 0.270 (critical demand), 0.290 (minor support)

• Resistance Levels: 0.335 (supply test), 0.350 (psychological magnet)

• Structural Pivot: 0.310 (former breakout level now retest area)

---

✅ Execution Checklist

• Confirm bullish continuation on decreasing pullback volume

• Entry near 0.300 with tight stop below structure

• Watch for false breakdown below 0.290 (trap possibility)

• Monitor volume expansion on any attempt toward 0.335+

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   4.38%