TIH - 04 Jul 25

Asset: TIH (T55.SI)
Exchange: SGX (Singapore Exchange)
Timeframe: Daily Chart
Date Range: March 2024 – July 4, 2025
Total Bars Analyzed: ~330 Daily Candles

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🔍 Current Market Regime: Transitioning from Accumulation to Early Uptrend

Key features include reclaim of previous resistance zones, breakout retest behavior, and constructive volume expansion.

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🔎 Highest Conviction Observations:

1. Market Structure & Order Flow (Macro to Micro)

• Swing Low (SL): 0.140 (July 2024)

• Swing Highs (SH): 0.185 → 0.210 → 0.265 (Feb 2025)

• Key BOS: Breakout above 0.210 in Jan 2025 confirmed structure shift

• CHoCH: March–April 2025 decline post-0.265 high showed failed higher low at 0.240, temporarily shifting structure bearish, but now reclaimed

• Micro Range Compression: Bar bodies tightened around 0.235–0.240; declining ranges = pre-breakout coil behavior.

2. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

• Mid-May to June 2025: Rising price on increasing volume = bullish volume expansion

• Recent Days: Pullback on declining volume after test of 0.240 suggests profit-taking, not distribution

• Absorption Behavior: Notable bar on June 26 with high volume and minimal price movement → institutional absorption just below breakout

3. Institutional Footprints

• Liquidity Grab: March 2025 drop to 0.195 (near prior SL) reversed quickly = classic spring-type behavior

• Displacement Candle: Early May breakout candle with strong body and follow-through is indicative of institutional drive

• Order Block Zone: 0.195–0.210 remains the last strong demand region before aggressive move to 0.240 → valid stop placement zone

4. Bar Pattern Behavior

• Recent Bars:

  • July 2-3: Tight-bodied candles at resistance with long wicks → potential absorption or minor seller presence

  • June 26: Wide bullish engulfing bar with volume spike = continuation signal

• Flag Behavior: Post-May run to 0.240 shows shallow pullback = bullish flag anatomy

5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

• Weekly: 0.240 is a multi-year resistance retest; breaking and holding above suggests structural breakout

• Daily: Break-and-hold above 0.240 would complete accumulation-to-uptrend transition

• Monthly: Price emerging from multi-month base (0.140–0.210) = base breakout scenario

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🧭 Key Levels:

• Support Zone: 0.210–0.220 → Former resistance, now tested demand

• Resistance: 0.240 (key breakout level), 0.265 (swing high)

• Critical Structural Stop: Below 0.195 (invalidates recent accumulation thesis)

• Volume Nodes: Heavy clustering between 0.195–0.210 and 0.235–0.240

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✅ Execution Summary:

Buying TIH (T55.SI)
because price is consolidating just below breakout resistance (0.240) after institutional accumulation and volume expansion, 
with stops at 0.195
targeting 0.265 short-term and 0.300 mid-term
for a risk-reward ratio of 1:3.2 (initial leg)

• Confidence Score: 8/10

• Key Levels to Watch: 0.240 breakout confirmation, 0.265 resistance test, 0.195 invalidation zone

• Setup Type: Early trend breakout from re-accumulation

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📌 Pre-Execution Checklist:

• Confirm breakout volume > recent average

• Wait for strong bullish close above 0.240 for entry trigger

• Validate strength on intraday (1H–4H) compression breakout

• Ensure R:R ≥ 1:3 from entry zone

• Position sizing in line with volatility (ATR = ~0.012)

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   4.26%