Singapore Land Group = 01 Jul 25

Stock: Singapore Land Group (SGX: U06)
Timeframe: Daily Chart (1D)
Date Range: October 2024 – July 1, 2025
Number of Bars Analyzed: ~190 bars

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1. Market Regime Classification:

• Current Regime: Bullish Transition → Early Trend

• Evidence:

  • Recent breakout above 2.02-2.04 resistance zone

  • Sustained higher highs and higher lows since mid-May

  • Increasing bullish momentum following major volume surge

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2. Highest Conviction Observations:

Market Structure & Order Flow Analysis:

• Swing Highs (SH): 1.82 → 1.95 → 2.04 → 2.37

• Swing Lows (SL): 1.74 → 1.81 → 1.81 (double bottom) → 2.10 (higher low)

• Break of Structure (BOS): Clear BOS above 2.04 and 2.37, signifying bullish intent

• Change of Character (CHoCH): Early CHoCH identified when price broke above 1.95 on increasing volume in May

• Current Structure: Higher Highs / Higher Lows → Bullish

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Advanced Volume-Price Relationship (VPR) Analysis:

• Major Volume Spike:

  • June 10–11th: Huge range expansion with volume surge breaking above 2.02-2.04 resistance

  • Confirms institutional participation

• Post-Breakout Behavior:

  • Shallow pullback after the 2.37 high

  • Volume declined during pullback (typical of bullish continuation setups)

• Current Session:

  • Bullish close at 2.25 with small-bodied candle

  • Rising volume vs. prior 3-day average → Sign of bullish demand absorption

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Institutional Footprint Recognition:

• Displacement Move: Strong impulsive candle (June) breaking previous 6-month range

• Order Block Zone:

  • Bullish OB at 2.02-2.10 → Expect institutional defense on retests

• Liquidity Grab:

  • Early June wick below 2.00, likely a stop run followed by fast reversal

• Fair Value Gap (FVG): Between 2.10-2.20 → Expect future fills on retracements

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Bar Pattern Recognition (Recent 5 Bars):

• June 25–27: Inside bar cluster → Energy compression

• June 28: Bullish engulfing candle → Breakout from inside bar range

• July 1: Small range, bullish close at 2.25 → Demand absorption or pre-breakout coiling

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Multi-Timeframe Confluence:

• Weekly Chart Bias:

  • Strong bullish breakout from multi-month base

  • Weekly momentum shift following June breakout

• Daily-Weekly Confluence:

  • Both timeframes showing bullish structure

  • Expect follow-through if price holds above 2.20

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3. Key Technical Price Levels:

Type	Level	Reason
Immediate Support	2.20-2.10	Prior breakout zone + order block + FVG
Major Support	2.02	Pre-breakout swing high
Resistance Zone	2.37-2.40	Previous high, first target for longs
Extended Target Zone	2.50-2.60	Psychological round number + measured move
Stop-Loss Placement	Below 2.02	Below structure, invalidation point

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4. Recent Company Catalyst Review (June 2025):

• Earnings Surprise:

  • Q1 2025 Net Profit Doubled to S$116.4M

  • Revenue Up 19% YoY

  • Catalyzed the June price breakout

• Volume-Catalyst Correlation:

  • Major volume surge coincided with earnings release date → confirms institutional re-rating

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5. Risk-Adjusted Setup Identification:

• Entry Bias: Long Bias while price remains above 2.10

• Stop Placement: Below 2.02 (structure break)

• First Profit Target: 2.37 (recent high)

• Extended Target: 2.50-2.60 (measured move from base breakout)

• Risk-Reward Estimate: Approx 1:2.5 (Entry ~2.25, Stop ~2.00, Target ~2.50+)

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6. Forward-Looking Bias & Scenario Planning:

Scenario	Trigger	Expectation
Bullish Continuation	Break > 2.37	Move towards 2.50-2.60
Pullback/Retest	Drop to 2.10-2.20	Accumulation then rally
Bearish Breakdown	Close below 2.02	Structure break → Downside risk

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Execution Summary:

Buying Singapore Land Group (SGX:U06) because of strong bullish breakout structure with institutional volume confirmation and fundamental earnings catalyst, with stops at 2.02 targeting 2.50 for an estimated 1:2.5 risk-reward ratio.

Confidence Rating: 8/10
Key Levels to Watch: 2.02 support, 2.37 resistance, 2.50 psychological target

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Reminder Checklist Before Execution:
✅ Structure confirmation holding above 2.10
✅ Monitor intraday volume near resistance
✅ Position sizing per risk tolerance
✅ News or macro event cross-check

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:  1.78%