Stock Name & Ticker: AIMS APAC REIT (SGX: O5RU)
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Chart Timeframe: Daily (1D)
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Date Range Analyzed: October 2024 – July 17, 2025
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Bars in Analysis Period: ~200 trading days
1. Market Regime Classification
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Current Regime: Trending Bullish
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Price has transitioned from a range-bound regime (1.16–1.30 zone) into a new impulsive uptrend post-May 2025.
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A clear Break of Structure (BOS) above the key swing high at 1.30, followed by higher highs and higher lows, confirms trend development.
2. Highest Conviction Observations
🔹 A. Trend Structure & Order Flow
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Swing Low (SL): 1.16 (April 2025), followed by higher lows at 1.22, 1.28, 1.30+
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Swing High (SH): 1.30 → 1.35 → now pushing new highs at 1.37
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Break of Structure: Occurred at 1.30 resistance in late June, followed by bullish follow-through—confirms uptrend
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Recent bars show expanding ranges with rising closes, indicative of increasing momentum
🔹 B. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)
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High Volume + Wide Range breakout bar on July 16 shows institutional conviction
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No immediate supply reaction or reversal—suggests clean breakout rather than a false move
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Prior Volume Dry-Up near 1.28–1.30 before expansion indicates accumulation zone and breakout prep
🔹 C. Institutional Footprint
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Absorption observed near 1.28 area—low volatility bars with volume cluster suggests professional buildup
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Displacement move from 1.30 to 1.37 occurred over 7 sessions with minimal retracement → institutional intent confirmed
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Potential Order Block at 1.28–1.30 (last consolidation zone) is now key support
🔹 D. Bar Pattern Recognition
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Recent bars: strong full-bodied bullish candles with minor upper wicks, suggesting minimal selling pressure
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No immediate reversal signals (no pin bars or engulfing top patterns)
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July 16 bar is a Wide Range Bar (WRB) with high volume—potential continuation bar, not exhaustion yet
🔹 E. Multi-Timeframe Confluence
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Likely weekly chart also breaking structure above multi-month consolidation zone
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Compression breakout: daily, weekly, and potentially monthly aligned → high-probability breakout structure
3. Key Price Levels
| Level Type | Price (SGD) | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Immediate Resistance | 1.37+ | ATH on chart, breakout in progress |
| Short-term Support | 1.30 | Prior resistance turned support |
| Major Support | 1.28 | Order block / consolidation base |
| Risk Level (stop) | 1.26–1.28 | Below order block and breakout structure |
| Measured Move Target | 1.44–1.46 | Projected from 1.16–1.30 base (0.14 height added to breakout) |
4. Risk Management Framework
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Stop-Loss Zone: Below 1.28 (last consolidation zone and order block)
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Target Zone: 1.44–1.46 (based on measured move from base structure)
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Risk-Reward Estimate: Entry near 1.37, SL at 1.27, TP at 1.45 = 1:4 R:R
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Partial Profit Zone: 1.40 (psychological + midpoint resistance)
5. Forward-Looking Bias & Summary
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Structure, volume, and price action all suggest institutional accumulation and breakout continuation
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No significant signs of exhaustion or reversal
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As long as price holds above 1.30, bias remains bullish
Trade Summary Format
Buying O5RU because of a confirmed breakout above structural resistance at 1.30 with strong institutional volume, stops at 1.27 targeting 1.45 for a 1:4 risk-reward ratio.
Confidence Rating: 8.5/10
Key Levels to Watch
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Support to Hold: 1.30, 1.28
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Breakout Validation: Hold above 1.37 with expanding volume
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Next Resistance: 1.44–1.46 (projected measured move)
✅ Pre-Execution Checklist
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Multi-timeframe alignment confirmed
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Volume validates breakout structure
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No reversal patterns present
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Defined stop and target with >1:3 R:R
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No imminent news catalyst that could disrupt technical play
Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.
Dividend: 6.86%
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