Friday, July 18, 2025

Netlink NBN Trust - 18 Jul 25

NETLINK NBN TR (SGX: CJLU) – Daily Chart 
Timeframe: Daily
Date Range: Late October 2024 to 18 July 2025
Bars Analyzed: ~180


🔍 Current Market Regime:

Transitioning from Accumulation to Emerging Uptrend

  • Evidence of sustained higher lows since April 2025

  • Clear breakout above mid-structure resistance of 0.880 with rising volume

  • Potential change of character (CHoCH) confirmed with break above 0.890


Highest Conviction Observations

  1. Market Structure & Order Flow:

    • Swing Lows: 0.845 (Jan), 0.850 (Apr), 0.865 (Jun)

    • Swing Highs: 0.880 (Feb), 0.930 (May)

    • Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed at 0.880 and again at 0.890 with bullish continuation

    • Trend now showing higher highs and higher lows – transition toward bullish regime

  2. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR):

    • Accumulation Zone: Long, low-vol consolidation between Mar–Jun near 0.850–0.865

    • Volume Dry-Up → Expansion: Clear dry-up at 0.865, followed by breakout volume mid-July

    • Latest bar shows volume expansion with bullish close, confirming demand presence

  3. Institutional Footprints:

    • Likely order block at 0.850 zone (long-bodied bullish reversal from demand zone)

    • Smart Money accumulation likely from April–June (tight ranges + controlled pullbacks)

    • Potential Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 0.875–0.885 zone, now being used as support

  4. Bar Pattern Analysis:

    • Multiple small-bodied candles with higher lows → sign of absorption

    • Latest bars show consistent bullish closes with minor upper wicks → controlled mark-up

    • Minor inside bars mid-July have broken to upside with increasing range → flag breakout

  5. Psychological & Technical Confluence:

    • Stronghold reclaim of round number 0.900 psychological resistance

    • Previous resistance (0.880) now acting as support after flip – classic S/R role reversal

    • Next supply zone located near 0.915–0.930, the May double-top


📊 Multi-Timeframe Confluence

  • Likely weekly higher low confirmed off 0.850 zone

  • Daily structure building a base for higher timeframe shift

  • Compression breakout in progress, with potential to test 0.930–0.940


⚠️ Risk Management & Execution Strategy

  • Entry Zone Consideration: 0.895–0.900 (on retest or consolidation breakout)

  • Stop Loss: Below recent swing low support at 0.880 (structure invalidation zone)

  • Target 1: 0.915 (minor resistance)

  • Target 2: 0.930 (recent high)

  • Target 3 (Extension): 0.950 (psych level + projected range expansion)

  • Risk-Reward Ratios:

    • To 0.915 → ~1.25

    • To 0.930 → ~1.5

    • To 0.950 → ~2.5


📅 Forward-Looking Bias & Key Levels to Watch

  • Bullish bias as long as 0.880 holds

  • Watch for consolidation above 0.900 with volume retention

  • Break above 0.915–0.930 = confirmation of breakout regime

  • Volume anomalies or sudden reversals near 0.930 could indicate supply reload zone


🧠 Trade Summary Statement Format:

Buying CJLU because price broke out above multi-month resistance with expanding volume and bullish structure, with stops at 0.880 targeting 0.930 and 0.950 for a 1:1.5 to 1:2.5 R:R setup.
Confidence Rating: 7.5 / 10
Key Levels: Support – 0.880 / 0.865 | Resistance – 0.915 / 0.930 / 0.950

Pre-Execution Checklist:

  • Retest confirmation of 0.900?

  • Volume holding above 20-bar average?

  • No bearish reversal bar before entry?

  • Reward-to-risk ≥ 1:2?

  • Clean exit plan?


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:  5.89%



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