Jumbo - 06 Nov 2025

Stock: Jumbo Group Limited (SGX:42R)
Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Date Range: Feb 2025 – Nov 2025 (~9 months)
Bars Analyzed: ~180
Last Traded Price: SGD 0.280

---

1. 📉 Market Structure & Order Flow Analysis

• Trend Structure:

  • Series of higher lows (0.245 → 0.250 → 0.275) and higher highs (0.270 → 0.285) confirms a slow uptrend transition from a multi-month accumulation range.

  • Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed above 0.270, followed by sustained closes above 0.275 → suggests structure shift from range to markup.

  • Current price resting near resistance zone (0.280–0.285) with narrow ranges, implying potential absorption before breakout or short-term exhaustion.

• Momentum Decay:

  • Slight bar overlap and reduced volatility post-October = temporary momentum pause, not yet reversal.

• Order Flow:

  • Aggressive volume spikes in August–October indicate institutional interest.

  • Several absorption-type bars (high volume, small range at 0.275–0.280) → accumulation rather than distribution.

---

2. 📊 Volume–Price Relationship (VPR) Analysis

• Volume Signature:

  • High Volume + Small Range (Aug–Oct) → accumulation/absorption.

  • Low Volume Narrow Bars (June–July) → stealth accumulation.

  • Volume Expansion on minor breakout (0.275 → 0.280) validates professional buying.

• Volume Divergence:

  • None yet — rising price supported by steady or rising volume = healthy structure.

• Volume Clusters:

  • Key accumulation zone: 0.245–0.260

  • Decision zone: 0.275–0.285

---

3. 🏦 Institutional Footprint Recognition

• Liquidity Grab:

  • Sharp April dip to 0.200 followed by immediate recovery → spring-type trap (Wyckoff Spring) confirming smart money entry.

• Order Blocks:

  • Bullish order block around 0.245–0.250 now serves as demand base.

  • Last bearish bar before breakout (0.270 → 0.280) marks mini FVG in 0.270 zone – likely retest point.

• Accumulation/Distribution Phase:

  • Classic Wyckoff accumulation confirmed:

    • Phase A: Shakeout (Apr)

    • Phase B: Range absorption (May–Jul)

    • Phase C: Spring (Aug breakout initiation)

    • Phase D: Markup (current)

---

4. 📅 Bar Pattern Recognition

• Continuation Setup:

  • Multiple inside bars (late Oct) indicate coiling energy before expansion.

  • No bearish engulfing or high-volume reversal bar yet = trend still valid.

• Reversal Candles:

  • None major; wicks remain tight with closes near highs.

---

5. ⏱ Multi-Timeframe Confluence

• Weekly Structure:

  • Bullish breakout in progress from 0.25–0.27 range.

  • If weekly candle closes above 0.285, momentum could extend toward 0.300 psychological barrier.

• Daily–Weekly Confluence:

  • 0.275 = key structural retest level aligned on both timeframes.

---

6. 💰 Psychological Level Integration

• Psychological Levels: 0.250 (support), 0.300 (next resistance).

• ATR Context: Normalized volatility, not extended → breakout potential intact.

---

7. ⚙️ Risk-Adjusted Setup Identification

• High-Probability Zone: 0.275 demand zone for pullback entries.

• Stop-Loss Zone: Below 0.265 (invalidates structural higher low).

• Target Zones:

  • TP1 = 0.295 (swing extension)

  • TP2 = 0.305 (measured move projection)

• Risk–Reward Ratio: ~1:3

---

8. 🔍 Market Regime Classification

Regime: Transitioning from Range → Trending (Bullish Markup Phase)

• HH/HL structure forming

• Volume expansion supports trend

• False breakout risk low due to consistent absorption

---

9. 🧠 Institutional Supply/Demand Analysis

• Demand Dominant Zone: 0.245–0.260 (institutional base).

• Supply Overhang: 0.285–0.290 (recent cap).

• Effort vs. Result: High effort (volume) with stable price near highs → hidden accumulation, not profit-taking.

---

🎯 Trade Summary

Buying Jumbo Group Limited (SGX:42R) because price is showing structural breakout from a long accumulation base with volume-backed absorption near resistance, suggesting institutional markup continuation, with stops at 0.265, targeting 0.300–0.305 for a 1:3 R/R.

Confidence Rating: 8.5 / 10
Key Levels to Watch:

• Support: 0.275 / 0.265

• Resistance: 0.285 / 0.300

• Liquidity Pool: 0.245 (prior spring low)

---

Pre-Trade Checklist ✅

• Trend structure confirmed (HH/HL)

• Volume supports move

• No reversal bar at highs

• Defined risk zone

• Favorable R:R ≥ 1:3

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   3.72%