ParkwayLife Reit - 11 Jul 25

PARKWAYLIFE REIT (SGX: C2PU) – Daily Chart (Nov 2024 to 11 Jul 2025)
Chart Scope: Approx. 180 bars (Daily timeframe)
Current Price: SGD 4.03

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📊 Market Regime Classification:

Ranging to Transition Regime
• Price oscillating between ~3.98 support and 4.31 resistance since May
• Absence of directional conviction; tightening range with low momentum
• Evidence of short-term shakeouts and false break attempts

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🔍 High-Conviction Observations:

1. Market Structure & Order Flow Analysis:
   • Clear swing lows: 3.60 → 3.69 → 3.76 → 3.92 → 3.98
   • Swing highs: 3.87 → 3.83 → 4.02 → 4.28 → 4.31 → 4.23
   • Recent CHoCH from uptrend to range occurred post-4.31 peak
   • Price compressing into a potential re-accumulation range above 3.98–4.00 support

2. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR):
   • Volume Cluster between 3.98–4.10 area — suggests institutional positioning
   • Volume spike and fade pattern near highs (4.28, 4.31) shows potential retail euphoria followed by supply absorption
   • Recent sessions show low-volume drift down – passive sell pressure, not aggressive supply

3. Institutional Footprints:
   • False breakout at 4.31: wide-range up bar on spike volume followed by immediate reversal → likely liquidity grab
   • Order block zone visible at 4.00–4.05: last bullish base before move to 4.31
   • Displacement up from 3.98 to 4.23 in June with strong effort; follow-through tested and holding

4. Bar Pattern Recognition:
   • Bar cluster forming narrow ranges (inside bar complexes) near 4.03 → coil energy buildup
   • No follow-through on bearish engulfing candles since 4.23 high – suggests buyers defending 4.00
   • Last few bars show contracting range + low volume → volatility compression ahead of potential expansion

5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence:
   • Weekly structure remains intact above 3.92; broader trend still neutral-bullish unless 3.92 breaks
   • Daily and weekly both showing support overlap around 3.98–4.00, creating a high-value confluence zone

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📌 Key Levels to Watch:

• Immediate Support: 4.00 (psychological + structural + order block base)

• Critical Swing Support: 3.92 (if broken = shift to bearish bias)

• Immediate Resistance: 4.10 (bar cluster ceiling)

• Major Resistance: 4.28–4.31 (previous high + failed breakout)

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🧠 Risk-Adjusted Trade Framework:

• Entry Zone: 4.02–4.05 (within absorption range and near previous OB)

• Stop Loss: Below 3.92 (break of structure + invalidation of accumulation)

• Profit Targets:
  • TP1: 4.23 (range mid + resistance)
  • TP2: 4.31 (prior high and liquidity zone)

• Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:2.8 (risk ~0.10, reward ~0.28)

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✅ Trade Summary:

Buying PARKWAYLIFE REIT because price is compressing within a defined demand zone (3.98–4.05) with institutional absorption signs and potential volatility expansion brewing, with stops at 3.92 targeting 4.31 for a 1:2.8 risk-reward ratio.

Confidence Rating: 7.5 / 10
Current Market Bias: Accumulation within range; upside breakout favored
Checklist Before Execution:
✔ Confirm sustained support above 4.00
✔ Watch for bullish expansion bar + volume spike
✔ Ensure broader index doesn’t show REIT sector weakness

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:  4.96%