Stock Name: Singapore Land Group Limited
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Ticker Symbol: U06.SI
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Exchange: SGX
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Timeframe: 1D (Daily)
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Date Range: Approx. Feb 2024 – Oct 2025
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Bars in Analysis Period: ~200
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Last Traded Price: 3.08 SGD
1️⃣ MARKET STRUCTURE & ORDER FLOW ANALYSIS
Trend Structure:
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Clear uptrend from May to September 2025 with sequential higher highs (2.37 → 3.29) and higher lows (2.02 → 2.80).
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Break of Structure (BOS): Detected in late September as price failed to hold above 3.24–3.29 resistance and formed a lower high.
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Change of Character (CHoCH): Present in early October with a decisive drop below 3.00, suggesting a transition from uptrend to range/early distribution.
Momentum & Overlap:
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Bar ranges have compressed since mid-September — overlapping candles indicate momentum decay.
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Current phase appears to be distribution → range formation.
Institutional vs. Retail Behavior:
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Large green absorption candles in July–August (high volume, moderate progress) — clear institutional accumulation prior to breakout.
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Late September wide-range bearish bar on heavy volume signals potential institutional distribution.
2️⃣ ADVANCED VOLUME–PRICE RELATIONSHIP (VPR)
Volume Signature Analysis:
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Rising volume during the July–August breakout confirmed genuine institutional participation.
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Volume divergence now visible — new highs in September were not supported by matching volume, a sign of exhaustion.
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Current low-volume retracement to 3.00–3.10 zone = testing phase.
Key Volume Observations:
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High Volume + Narrow Range (Oct): Absorption — smart money possibly defending 3.00.
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Low Volume + Decline (recent bars): Weak selling interest → consolidation.
3️⃣ INSTITUTIONAL FOOTPRINT RECOGNITION
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Liquidity Grab: Likely at 3.29 (September top) — retail buyers trapped above round number breakout.
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Order Block: 2.90–2.95 zone (last bullish base before August rally) – acts as institutional demand zone.
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Fair Value Gap (FVG): Between 2.80–2.95; may attract retest before resumption.
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Displacement Move: July–August vertical rally shows institutional accumulation confirming control.
4️⃣ BAR PATTERN RECOGNITION
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Reversal Bars: Late September bearish engulfing bar confirmed top at 3.29.
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Continuation Patterns: Currently forming inside-bar cluster (3.00–3.12 range) — compression pattern before next impulse.
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Indecision Bars: Recent dojis near 3.08 reflect indecision between accumulation and further correction.
5️⃣ MULTI-TIMEFRAME CONFLUENCE
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Weekly Chart Bias: Still bullish overall; long-term structure intact unless 2.80 breaks.
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Daily Chart Bias: Neutral to corrective; short-term range 2.95–3.20.
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Confluence Zones:
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Support: 2.90–2.95 (order block + volume base)
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Resistance: 3.20–3.25 (previous supply + trapped liquidity zone)
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6️⃣ PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVELS
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Round Number 3.00: Key institutional defense area.
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3.20–3.25: Psychological resistance and potential liquidity sweep zone.
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2.80: Critical swing low; loss invalidates medium-term bullish bias.
7️⃣ RISK-ADJUSTED SETUP IDENTIFICATION
Potential Long Setup (Reaccumulation Scenario):
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Entry Zone: 2.95–3.00 (if absorption confirmed)
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Stop: Below 2.85 (beneath structure)
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Target: 3.24–3.30 (previous swing high)
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Risk–Reward: ~1:3
Potential Short Setup (Distribution Continuation):
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Entry Zone: 3.15–3.20 rejection
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Stop: Above 3.30
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Target: 2.85–2.90
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Risk–Reward: ~1:2.5
8️⃣ MARKET REGIME CLASSIFICATION
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Current Regime: Transition/Range after a strong uptrend.
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Characteristics: Decreasing volume, overlapping bars, and failed follow-through above 3.20–3.25.
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Institutional Behavior: Defensive — potential redistribution unless demand reactivates at 2.90–3.00.
9️⃣ INSTITUTIONAL SUPPLY/DEMAND ANALYSIS
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Demand Zone: 2.90–2.95 → prior accumulation + absorption evidence.
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Supply Zone: 3.20–3.25 → previous breakout failure + trapped liquidity.
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Effort vs. Result: Recent downswings show higher volume with smaller results → absorption, not active distribution (possible reaccumulation base).
🔟 COMPREHENSIVE MARKET CONTEXT
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Singapore property stocks have generally tracked SGX real estate index, currently stabilizing after strong Q3 momentum.
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No visible panic volume → market likely awaiting new catalyst (e.g., earnings, macro guidance).
🎯 FORWARD-LOOKING BIAS
Primary Bias: Neutral-to-bullish consolidation unless 2.85 breaks.
Secondary Bias: Short-term range-bound trade between 2.95–3.20 until post-earnings catalyst.
✅ Key Levels to Watch
| Zone Type | Price Level | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Resistance | 3.24–3.29 | Distribution zone / liquidity trap |
| Mid-Level | 3.10–3.15 | Short-term mean reversion zone |
| Support | 2.90–2.95 | Institutional demand base |
| Invalid Level | <2.85 | Structure breakdown |
🧠 Trade Summary Format
Buying U06 near 2.95–3.00 because of absorption and institutional demand zone defense, with stops below 2.85, targeting 3.25 for a 1:3 risk-reward ratio.
Confidence Rating: 7.5 / 10
Checklist Before Execution:
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Confirm volume absorption at 2.95–3.00
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Wait for daily bullish confirmation candle (close > 3.12)
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Avoid entries ahead of earnings release
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Maintain disciplined position sizing (<2% risk)
Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.
Dividend: 1.46%
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