Tuesday, October 07, 2025

Seatrium - 07 Oct 2025

  • Stock Name: Seatrium Limited

  • Ticker Symbol: SGX: 5E2

  • Chart Timeframe: Daily (1D)

  • Date Range: February 2025 – October 2025

  • Bars Analyzed: ~180 trading sessions

  • Last Traded Price: SGD 2.48

  • Session Change: +0.01 (+0.40%)


1️⃣ MARKET STRUCTURE & ORDER FLOW ANALYSIS

Structure Identification:

  • Major Swing Highs (SH): 2.60 (Feb), 2.46 (Jul), 2.39 (Sep)

  • Major Swing Lows (SL): 1.62 (May), 1.99 (Jun), 2.23 (Sep)

  • Market Structure:

    • Downtrend (Feb–May): Clear lower highs and lower lows.

    • Change of Character (CHoCH) in June — higher low (1.99) followed by higher high (2.46).

    • Current uptrend structure intact; price consolidating near prior swing high (2.46–2.50 zone).

Momentum Observation:
Bar overlap has decreased since August — trending momentum building. Wide bars with strong closes near highs indicate institutional buying pressure.

Break of Structure (BOS):

  • BOS above 2.39 (Sept) confirmed continuation of bullish structure.

  • Current price (2.48) testing previous high resistance at 2.46 — potential breakout zone.


2️⃣ ADVANCED VOLUME–PRICE RELATIONSHIP (VPR)

Volume Signatures:

  • April–May: High volume + small range = absorption (institutional accumulation zone near 1.60–1.80).

  • July Rally: High volume + wide range bars → professional movement confirming accumulation breakout.

  • August–September: Declining volume during pullback = healthy retracement.

Current Behavior:

  • Volume expansion resuming as price retests 2.46 zone.

  • No climactic exhaustion visible — suggests controlled institutional re-accumulation rather than distribution.


3️⃣ INSTITUTIONAL FOOTPRINT RECOGNITION

  • Liquidity Grab: Sharp May low (1.62) pierced prior swing support (1.99) before reversal — classic spring-type liquidity sweep.

  • Order Block: Bullish order block near 2.20–2.25, confirmed by strong impulsive leg to 2.46.

  • Fair Value Gap (FVG): Exists between 2.25–2.31, already mitigated during September correction.

  • Current Displacement: Ongoing move from 2.31 to 2.48 is clean directional displacement — controlled institutional advance.


4️⃣ BAR PATTERN RECOGNITION

  • Recent Bars:

    • Consecutive bullish bodies with shallow lower wicks — steady buying.

    • Previous bearish rejection at 2.46 in July now being retested → potential breakout retest setup.

  • No major reversal candles (no pin bars or bearish engulfing) — bullish continuation bias.


5️⃣ MULTI-TIMEFRAME CONFLUENCE

  • Weekly Chart Context (inferred):

    • Likely forming a bullish higher low on weekly structure.

    • 2.60 = major resistance; 2.20 = strong multi-week demand.

  • Daily Structure: Aligns bullishly with likely weekly uptrend — timeframe compression bullish confluence.


6️⃣ PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVELS

  • Round Numbers: 2.00 (prior psychological base), 2.50 (current resistance), 3.00 (next major psychological magnet).

  • ATR Observation: Moderate ATR suggests volatility contraction phase before potential volatility expansion breakout.


7️⃣ RISK-ADJUSTED SETUP IDENTIFICATION

High-Probability Zone Mapping:

  • Entry Zone: 2.46–2.50 (breakout retest confirmation).

  • Stop-Loss: Below 2.31 (recent structural low and order block).

  • Target 1: 2.60 (swing high).

  • Target 2: 2.80 (measured move projection).

  • Risk–Reward: ~1:3 favorable setup.


8️⃣ MARKET REGIME CLASSIFICATION

  • Regime Type: Transition-to-Trending Bullish

  • Evidence:

    • Rising lows and highs.

    • Volume re-expansion.

    • Structural confluence with prior resistance retest.

  • Key Warning: Failure to close above 2.50 may lead to range re-entry (2.31–2.46).


9️⃣ INSTITUTIONAL SUPPLY/DEMAND ZONES

  • Demand Zone: 2.23–2.31 (absorptive behavior confirmed by volume).

  • Supply Zone: 2.50–2.60 (previous rejection area).

  • Observation: Institutions accumulating under resistance → pre-breakout positioning pattern.


🔟 COMPREHENSIVE CONTEXT

  • Sector: Marine/Offshore Engineering – likely tied to oil/energy rotation themes.

  • Relative Strength: Outperforming broader SGX index since June.

  • Seasonality: Q4 tends to favor energy-related names historically.

  • Catalyst Watch: Await upcoming Q3 earnings (potential breakout catalyst).


🎯 TRADE SUMMARY FORMAT

Setup Summary:

  • Bias: Bullish continuation

  • Entry Zone: 2.46–2.50 (breakout retest)

  • Stop: Below 2.31

  • Target: 2.80

  • Risk–Reward Ratio: ~1:3

  • Confidence Rating: 8.5 / 10

  • Key Levels: Support – 2.31 / 2.23 | Resistance – 2.50 / 2.60 / 2.80

Buying Seatrium Limited (SGX: 5E2) because price is retesting prior breakout resistance at 2.46 with volume expansion and bullish structural confirmation, with stops at 2.31 targeting 2.80 for a 1:3 risk–reward ratio.


Trader’s Checklist Before Execution:

  • Confirm breakout with daily close above 2.50

  • Check volume confirmation (>20% above average)

  • Validate no immediate bearish divergence on RSI/MACD

  • Reassess higher timeframe alignment

  • Monitor news catalysts near earnings window


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   0.06%



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