Stock Name / Ticker: Far East Hospitality Trust (Q5T.SI)
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Exchange: SGX (Singapore Exchange)
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Chart Timeframe: Daily (1D)
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Date Range: February 2025 → October 2025 (~8 months)
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Number of Bars in Period: ~180 daily bars
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Last Traded Price: SGD 0.600
🔍 1. Market Structure & Order Flow Analysis
Trend Structure
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Swing Lows (SL): 0.495 (Apr), 0.550 (Jun), 0.575 (Sep)
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Swing Highs (SH): 0.580 (Mar), 0.615 (Aug), 0.615 (Oct)
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Structure: Market transitioned from downtrend (Feb–Apr) → accumulation (Apr–Jun) → mild uptrend (Jul–Sep) → range (Sep–Oct).
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Current Regime: Ranging consolidation between 0.575–0.615 after prior uptrend.
Momentum Decay
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Price shows shrinking candle ranges since late August → early October, indicating momentum loss and potential distribution or pause phase.
Breaks of Structure (BOS) / CHoCH
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BOS up: 0.575 (July) — breakout led to 0.615.
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CHoCH down: None confirmed yet; price remains above structural low 0.575.
🔸 2. Advanced Volume–Price Relationship (VPR)
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Rising volume (Jul–Aug) confirmed institutional participation during the rally from 0.555 → 0.615.
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Volume compression (Sep–Oct) signals absorption or re-accumulation— institutions possibly holding long positions.
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High Volume + Small Range (Oct) = absorption near 0.600 support zone.
Interpretation: Strong hands absorbing supply between 0.595–0.600.
🏛️ 3. Institutional Footprint Recognition
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Liquidity grab: False breakdown in April (0.495) followed by immediate reversal → classic spring accumulation.
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Order Block: 0.555–0.575 zone (last bearish range before strong move up in July).
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Fair Value Gap (FVG): 0.560–0.570 range remains partially unfilled — possible retest zone.
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Displacement Move: July impulse (0.555→0.615) — clean institutional move, minimal retrace.
📊 4. Bar Pattern Recognition
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Reversal Bars:
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Hammer-type bar at 0.495 (April) → strong reversal confirmation.
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Continuation Patterns:
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Inside bar complexes observed around 0.575–0.600 (coiling structure before expansion).
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Indecision Bars:
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Spinning tops in October near 0.600 indicate equilibrium — awaiting breakout trigger.
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🕰️ 5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence
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Weekly structure: Higher swing low formed at 0.550 → supports bullish higher timeframe bias.
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Daily chart: Sideways accumulation within upper third of the recent range.
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Confluence Zone: 0.575–0.600 = strong multi-timeframe demand zone.
💰 6. Psychological Level Integration
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Round numbers: 0.600 acts as both psychological & structural support.
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Resistance: 0.615 (supply zone from Aug highs).
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Support: 0.575 (BOS origin zone).
ATR (14) ≈ 0.010–0.012 → current daily range at low volatility level → ideal pre-breakout compression.
📈 7. Risk-Adjusted Setup Identification
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High-Probability Zone:
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Long interest around 0.595–0.600 (demand + absorption zone).
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Stop below 0.575 (structural invalidation).
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Target 0.615–0.625 (resistance zone / range expansion).
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Risk–Reward: ≈ 1:2.5 ratio.
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Position sizing: Should respect defined risk below 0.575.
⚙️ 8. Market Regime Classification
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Regime: Ranging / Accumulation within broader uptrend.
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False Break Frequency: Low since August; controlled price action → accumulation bias.
🧩 9. Institutional Supply–Demand Analysis
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Demand Zone: 0.575–0.600 (institutional absorption evident).
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Supply Zone: 0.615–0.625.
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Effort vs Result: High effort (volume) at 0.600 with minimal downside = absorption by strong hands.
🧠 10. Comprehensive Market Context
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Sector: REITs / Hospitality sector (Singapore).
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Macro: Sector stabilizing post-interest rate peak — supportive backdrop.
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Correlation: Moves in line with SGX REIT index recovery since July.
🧭 Elite Technical Summary
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Market Regime: Ranging / Late Accumulation
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Bias: Slightly bullish (structure intact above 0.575)
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Key Levels:
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Support: 0.575 → 0.600
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Resistance: 0.615 → 0.625
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Volume Context: Absorption and compression phase; breakout watch.
🎯 Trade Summary Format
[Buying] Far East Hospitality Trust (Q5T.SI) because institutional absorption near 0.600 indicates re-accumulation after July impulse with stops at 0.575 targeting 0.625 for a 1:2.5 risk–reward ratio.
Confidence Rating: 7.5 / 10
Key Levels to Watch: 0.575 (support), 0.600 (pivot), 0.615 (breakout trigger).
Confirmation Trigger: Daily close above 0.615 with volume expansion (>30% average volume).
Pre-Execution Checklist ✅
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Confirm breakout with above-average volume
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Risk limited below 0.575
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Check SGX REIT sector strength alignment
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Monitor for false breakout wicks around 0.615
Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.
Dividend: 6.67
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