Lendlease Reit - 17 Oct 2025

Stock: Lendlease Global Commercial REIT (SGX: JYEU)
Timeframe: Daily (D1)
Date Range: February 2025 – October 2025
Bars Analyzed: ~180 daily bars
Last Close: 0.635 SGD
High: 0.655 SGD
Low: 0.440 SGD

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1️⃣ Market Structure & Order Flow

• Macro Structure: Uptrend confirmed from mid-June onward (higher highs and higher lows).

• Swing Highs/Lows:

  • SH: 0.535 → 0.520 → 0.655

  • SL: 0.440 → 0.465 → 0.515 → 0.600

• Break of Structure (BOS): BOS occurred above 0.520 in late July, confirming bullish structural shift.

• Change of Character (CHoCH): Minor CHoCH occurred at 0.655 → 0.600 (temporary pullback).

• Current Structure: Higher Low potentially forming at 0.600, resuming bullish structure.

• Momentum: Slight momentum decay since early October — smaller ranges, overlapping candles, and mixed closes — indicating consolidation before next expansion.

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2️⃣ Volume–Price Relationship (VPR)

• Volume Signature:

  • July–August: Volume expansion on breakout through 0.520 → institutional entry confirmation.

  • September: Sustained high volume, wide bars → professional participation.

  • Early October: Reduced range + steady volume → absorption at 0.600–0.630 zone.

• Effort vs. Result: Large effort (volume) with shallow pullback → accumulation phase continuation.

• Conclusion: Volume pattern supports institutional absorption, not distribution.

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3️⃣ Institutional Footprint Recognition

• Liquidity Grabs:

  • Downward wicks below 0.600 in early October show liquidity sweep → stop hunts before reversal.

• Order Blocks:

  • Bullish order block identified near 0.600–0.610 (last bearish candle before strong upward move).

• Fair Value Gaps (FVG):

  • Small unfilled gap 0.625–0.635 (likely retest zone).

• Displacement Move:

  • Strong bullish displacement from 0.515 → 0.655 with clean structure and minimal retrace → institutional demand zone confirmed.

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4️⃣ Bar Pattern Recognition

• Recent Bars:

  • Alternating small-bodied bars with long lower wicks near 0.630 → demand absorption.

  • No confirmed bearish engulfing or distribution top yet.

• Continuation Setup:

  • The 0.600–0.655 consolidation forms a bullish pennant, with 38–50% retracement of prior impulse — typical continuation setup.

• Measured Move Target:

  • If breakout above 0.655 holds, measured move target ≈ 0.710–0.720.

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5️⃣ Multi-Timeframe Confluence

• Weekly Structure: Uptrend intact; higher highs and higher lows since June.

• Daily: Consolidating bullish continuation pattern.

• Confluence: Both weekly and daily structures align bullishly.

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6️⃣ Psychological & Key Levels

• Psychological Levels: 0.600 (key support), 0.650 (intermediate resistance), 0.700 (psychological breakout level).

• Previous High/Low Zones: 0.655 (swing high), 0.440 (swing low).

• ATR Context: Current daily range (≈0.010) is near average → balanced volatility, no climax.

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7️⃣ Market Regime Classification

• Current Regime: Transitioning from trending to consolidation (bullish bias).

• Accumulation/Absorption phase ongoing between 0.600–0.640 before potential markup.

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8️⃣ Institutional Supply/Demand

• Demand Zones: 0.600–0.610 (high-probability accumulation zone).

• Supply Zones: 0.655–0.665 (short-term resistance; liquidity resting above).

• Effort/Result: No breakdown despite repeated testing of 0.630 → strong absorption = institutional buying footprint.

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9️⃣ Catalyst Context (Last 90 Days)

• No major negative fundamental catalysts observed. SGX REIT sector remains yield-supportive.

• Volume surges likely technical/rotational rather than news-driven.

• Stable sector conditions support technical continuation scenarios.

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10️⃣ Forward Bias & Scenario Planning

Primary Scenario (Bullish Continuation)

• Trigger: Break and daily close above 0.655 with volume expansion.

• Target 1: 0.700

• Target 2: 0.720 (measured move completion)

• Stop Zone: Below 0.600 structural support.

• Risk/Reward: ≈ 1:3.

Alternate Scenario (Deeper Pullback)

• Failure to hold 0.630 → retest 0.600 demand.

• Only breakdown below 0.595 invalidates bullish bias and reverts to range.

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📊 Key Levels to Watch

Zone	Type	Bias
0.600–0.610	Demand / Bullish Order Block	Support
0.655	Resistance / Liquidity Pool	Breakout Watch
0.700–0.720	Target Zone	Profit-taking area

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✅ Summary & Trade Framework

Bias: Bullish continuation within absorption zone
Structure: Higher Highs and Higher Lows intact
Institutional Activity: Accumulation near 0.600–0.630 confirmed
Volume: Healthy absorption after displacement
Market Regime: Transitional (consolidating uptrend)

📈 Buying JYEU because price is consolidating above institutional demand at 0.600 with absorption evidence and higher-timeframe bullish structure, with stops below 0.595 and targets at 0.700–0.720 for a 1:3 risk-reward ratio.
Confidence Rating: 8.2 / 10

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Pre-Trade Execution Checklist:
☑ Higher-timeframe bias aligned
☑ Volume confirms structural support
☑ Defined stop below order block
☑ Breakout volume confirmation pending

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

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