Yeo Hiap Seng - 03 Nov 2025

• Stock: Yeo Hiap Seng Ltd (Y03.SGX)

• Timeframe: Daily (Jan – Nov 2025)

• Bars in period: ~220 trading sessions

• Last traded price: SGD 0.615

• Market phase: Extended range-bound consolidation between 0.590 – 0.635

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1. Market Structure & Order Flow

Structural Mapping

• Major Swing Lows (SL): 0.530 (May), 0.565 (July)

• Major Swing Highs (SH): 0.635 (Aug), 0.615 (recent resistance retest)

• Market Regime: Ranging — consistent oscillation between defined horizontal supply (0.615–0.635) and demand (0.565–0.590).

• Break of Structure (BOS): July saw BOS above 0.595 → led to a strong impulsive move to 0.635 (clear institutional displacement).

• Change of Character (CHoCH): Failure to sustain above 0.635 → reverted to equilibrium at 0.590 (distribution behavior).

Order Flow Tone

• Momentum Decay: Post-August, candle ranges compressed and overlap increased → signals exhaustion of bullish momentum.

• Current microstructure: Slight upward bias within the range; 0.615 retest underway, testing for breakout potential.

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2. Advanced Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

Volume Signature Analysis

• High Volume + Small Range (Absorption): Seen in mid-July and early September near 0.590–0.600 → institutional accumulation under resistance.

• Volume Expansion + Wide Range: July breakout bar from 0.565 → 0.615 was accompanied by strong volume → professional drive.

• Volume Divergence: From Aug–Oct, price retests near 0.615 showed declining volume → weakening buyer conviction.

• Recent bars: Light volume with tight spread → coiled energy phase, possible pre-breakout setup.

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3. Institutional Footprint Recognition

• Liquidity Grab: False breakout above 0.635 (Aug) triggered stops before rapid reversal → classic Upthrust Action (Wyckoff Phase B/C).

• Order Blocks:

  • Demand Order Block: 0.560–0.575 (origin of July breakout).

  • Supply Order Block: 0.615–0.635 (origin of Aug rejection).

• Fair Value Gap (FVG): Exists between 0.580–0.595 from July move — potential magnet zone if rejection resumes.

• Displacement Move: Strong institutional impulse July 5–15 → confirmed smart money interest during that leg.

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4. Bar Pattern Recognition

• Reversal Bars: Multiple upper-wick rejections at 0.615–0.620 showing overhead supply.

• Continuation Bars: Inside bar clusters in Sept–Oct → compression before expansion.

• Indecision Bars: Recent spinning tops near 0.610–0.615 indicate balance between buyers and sellers, likely awaiting catalyst or liquidity grab.

• No clear engulfing or breakout confirmation yet → market still rotational.

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5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

• Weekly: Neutral → sideways structure. Key levels (0.565–0.635) visible on both daily and weekly → strong confluence.

• Daily: Currently mid-range → equilibrium zone between high (0.635) and low (0.565).

• Bias: Await directional break confirmation from this compression.

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6. Psychological & Technical Levels

• Round numbers: 0.600, 0.650 act as psychological pivots.

• Key levels:

  • Resistance: 0.615–0.635 (major supply)

  • Support: 0.565–0.590 (accumulation zone)

  • Breakout trigger: Close > 0.635 with expanding volume

  • Breakdown trigger: Close < 0.565 with strong volume

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7. Risk-Adjusted Setup Mapping

• Scenario A (Bullish breakout):

  • Entry: Breakout above 0.635 with volume > 2× average

  • Stop: 0.615 (below structure)

  • Target: 0.680 (previous supply zone projection)

  • Risk-Reward: ≈ 1:2.5

• Scenario B (Range continuation):

  • Buy near 0.575–0.585 with stop 0.560

  • Target: 0.615–0.630

  • Risk-Reward: ≈ 1:2

• Scenario C (Bearish rejection):

  • Short rejections at 0.630–0.635 with stop 0.645

  • Target: 0.585–0.570

  • Risk-Reward: ≈ 1:3

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8. Market Regime Classification

• Current regime: Ranging / Transitional

  • Tight compression range

  • Low volatility

  • Reduced conviction from both sides

  • Likely awaiting breakout catalyst

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9. Institutional Supply-Demand Zones

Zone Type	Price Range (SGD)	Interpretation
Demand Zone	0.560–0.580	Accumulation area from prior breakout
Supply Zone	0.615–0.635	Distribution zone with previous rejection
Equilibrium	0.590–0.600	Fair value – neutral zone

Effort vs. Result: High effort on upswings → moderate price advancement → absorption by supply.

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10. Comprehensive Market Context

• Sector: Consumer defensive (Food & Beverage) — tends to lag in high-beta rallies, range compression consistent with sector behavior.

• Relative strength: Neutral vs. SGX index; not showing broad-market divergence.

• No macro trend confirmation until breakout above 0.635.

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📈 Forward Bias Summary

Bias	Direction	Confirmation Needed	Probability	Volume Condition
Primary	Sideways / Neutral	Breakout > 0.635 or Breakdown < 0.565	70%	Moderate Volume
Bullish Breakout	Above 0.635	Close > 0.635 + volume surge	20%	High Volume
Bearish Breakdown	Below 0.565	Close < 0.565	10%	High Volume

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✅ Execution Summary

Buying Y03 only if price breaks above 0.635 with expanding volume, with stop at 0.615, targeting 0.680 for 1:2.5 R/R,
Confidence Rating: 6.5 / 10

Key Levels to Watch:

• Resistance: 0.615 / 0.635

• Support: 0.585 / 0.565

• Breakout confirmation: Daily close above 0.635 on 2× volume

Pre-Trade Checklist:
☑ Confirm volume expansion
☑ Watch for false breakout wicks
☑ Align with weekly structure
☑ Set stop-loss before execution

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   3.25%