Kimly - 14 Jan 2026

Chart Setup & Context

• Stock: Kimly Ltd (SGX)

• Ticker: 1D0

• Timeframe: Daily (1D)

• Date Range: May 2025 → 14 Jan 2026 (approx. 8 months)

• Bars Analyzed: ~170–180 daily bars

• Last Traded Price: 0.410

• Recent High: 0.415

• Recent Low (swing): 0.380

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1. Market Regime Classification (Lead Assessment)

Current Regime: Mature Uptrend → Late-Stage Expansion (Trend Continuation with Caution)

• Structural bias remains bullish (HH/HL intact).

• However, momentum compression is visible into the 0.410–0.415 zone.

• Risk has shifted from trend initiation to trend management.

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2. Market Structure & Order Flow

Primary Structure Evolution

Phase 1 – Accumulation Base (May → early Jul)

• Tight range between 0.315–0.320

• Low volatility, persistent overlapping bars

• Volume contraction → classic institutional accumulation

• No downside follow-through despite multiple tests

Phase 2 – Structural Break (mid-Jul)

• BOS above 0.320

• Wide-range bullish bar with volume expansion

• Confirms transition from range → trend

Phase 3 – Trend Development (Aug → Oct)

• Higher highs: 0.350 → 0.375

• Higher lows: 0.350 → 0.360 → 0.365

• Pullbacks shallow (≈38–50%) → strong demand control

Phase 4 – Displacement & Re-accumulation (late Oct → Nov)

• Sharp impulsive push 0.375 → 0.400

• Followed by tight consolidation 0.380–0.395

• Volume dries up during consolidation → bullish continuation signature

Phase 5 – Current Expansion (Dec → Jan)

• Break above 0.400 psychological level

• New HH at 0.415

• Structure intact, but pace accelerating into prior untested supply

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3. Swing Map (Key Structural Levels)

• Major Swing Lows (SL):

  • 0.315 → 0.350 → 0.360 → 0.380

• Major Swing Highs (SH):

  • 0.380 → 0.375 (minor) → 0.400 → 0.415

• Trend Definition:

  • Clean HH / HL sequence → no CHoCH yet

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4. Volume–Price Relationship (VPR)

High-Quality Institutional Signals

• Jul breakout:

  • High volume + wide range → genuine demand, not retail chase

• Aug–Sep pullback:

  • Lower volume on down bars → lack of supply, bullish

• Nov consolidation:

  • Volume contraction + narrow ranges → re-accumulation

• Jan push to 0.415:

  • Volume expanding again → confirms initiative buyers

Effort vs Result (Critical)

• Recent bars show increasing effort (volume) with incremental price gains

• This suggests approaching supply, not yet rejection

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5. Institutional Footprints & Smart Money Concepts

• Order Block (Demand):

  • 0.375–0.380 (last bearish cluster before impulsive move to 0.400)

• Liquidity Zone:

  • Stops likely stacked above 0.400

  • Current push into 0.410–0.415 = liquidity consumption phase

• No Upthrust Yet:

  • No wide-range rejection or high-volume failure bar at highs

  • Hence: distribution not confirmed

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6. Bar Pattern & Microstructure Analysis

• Inside Bar Clusters:

  • Repeated near 0.385–0.390 → energy build-up

• Breakout Bars:

  • Close near highs, minimal upper wicks → strong acceptance

• Current High Bar (0.415):

  • Upper wick present but no volume climax

  • Indicates testing, not rejection (yet)

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7. Psychological & Reference Levels

Level	Significance
0.415–0.420	Immediate supply / expansion ceiling
0.400	Major psychological & structural breakout
0.380	Trend-defining higher low
0.360–0.365	Prior accumulation shelf

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8. Risk-Adjusted Trade Zone Mapping (Technical Only)

High-Probability Zones

Pullback Continuation Zone (Preferred)

• 0.390–0.400

• Look for:

  • Volume contraction

  • Small-range bars

  • Failed downside follow-through

Trend Invalidation Level

• Below 0.375

• Break = CHoCH → reassess entire bullish thesis

Risk Logic (Framework-Aligned)

• Stops must be structural, not percentage-based

• Best R:R comes from pullbacks, not breakout chasing at 0.415

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9. Market Context (Technical Only)

• This is a steady, institutionally-controlled advance, not a speculative spike

• Volatility expansion is orderly, not erratic

• No evidence of retail blow-off or panic participation

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10. Highest-Conviction Observations (Summary)

1. Clean HH/HL structure since July → dominant bullish control

2. Multiple volume dry-ups before expansions → smart money accumulation

3. Break and hold above 0.400 → psychological acceptance

4. Current advance lacks climax volume → trend not exhausted

5. Risk now asymmetric → reward still up, but entry selectivity critical

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Forward-Looking Bias & Key Levels

Bias:

• Bullish continuation, with rising probability of short-term consolidation

Watch Closely:

• Acceptance vs rejection at 0.415–0.420

• Quality of any pullback into 0.400

• Volume behavior on red bars (supply returning or not)

What Would Change the Bias:

• High-volume rejection + close below 0.395

• Structural break below 0.375 (CHoCH)

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

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