Wednesday, October 15, 2025

Low Keng Huat - 15 Oct 2025

Stock: Low Keng Huat Singapore Ltd (F1E.SI)
Exchange: SGX
Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Date Range: January 2025 – October 2025
Bars Analyzed: ~200
Last Traded Price: 0.605 SGD


🔹 1. Market Structure & Order Flow Analysis

  • Trend Structure:

    • Confirmed uptrend since mid-July 2025, following BOS (Break of Structure) above 0.345 → 0.450 zone.

    • Higher Highs (HH): 0.345 → 0.450 → 0.600

    • Higher Lows (HL): 0.305 → 0.425 → 0.525

    • Structure remains intact; no CHoCH yet.

  • Momentum:

    • Recent bars show shorter ranges with reduced expansion, suggesting momentum cooling.

    • Price consolidating near 0.600–0.620 resistance, indicating potential absorption or supply test.

  • Institutional Footprints:

    • July breakout (0.345 → 0.450) was accompanied by surging volume and wide-range candles, confirming institutional participation.

    • Current tight-range consolidation near highs implies smart money reloading rather than distribution.


🔹 2. Advanced Volume-Price Relationship (VPR) Analysis

  • Volume Signature:

    • July–September: Strong volume expansions on breakouts (professional buying).

    • October: Volume tapering while price holds near highs → absorption phase, not weakness yet.

  • Effort vs. Result:

    • High effort in early October (volume spike near 0.600) produced limited further progress — indicates supply absorption.

    • Lack of heavy selling follow-through confirms buyers still in control.


🔹 3. Institutional Footprint Recognition

  • Order Blocks:

    • Bullish order block identified at 0.525–0.540 — base of last impulsive leg to 0.600.

    • Fair Value Gap (FVG) exists between 0.540–0.565, unfilled → potential pullback magnet if price retraces.

  • Liquidity Grab:

    • No major liquidity sweep yet above 0.620; potential engineered liquidity raid could occur before next leg higher.

  • Displacement:

    • Sharp displacement move in mid-September confirms institutional buy-side imbalance.


🔹 4. Bar Pattern Recognition

  • Recent Candles:

    • Series of narrow-bodied candles post-0.620 high → absorption/indecision, not reversal.

    • No major bearish engulfing or supply exhaustion bar visible.

  • Continuation Potential:

    • Structure resembles a bullish flag or ascending triangle consolidation under 0.620.

    • Measured move projection from prior swing (0.525 → 0.620 = 0.095) → next target ~0.715 if breakout sustains.


🔹 5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

  • Weekly Trend: Strong uptrend continuation from mid-2024 base.

  • Daily Trend: Aligned bullish.

  • 4H Trend: Likely consolidating within daily structure.
    → Full timeframe compression, supporting breakout continuation probability.


🔹 6. Psychological & Structural Levels

TypeLevel (SGD)Observation
Resistance0.620Current short-term top, breakout watch
Support0.525Institutional demand zone
Intermediate0.565FVG zone (potential retest area)
Psychological0.600Key round number; currently holding as support

🔹 7. Risk-Adjusted Setup Identification

  • Bias: Bullish continuation after consolidation near highs.

  • Entry Zone: On confirmed breakout above 0.620 with volume > 150% of 20-day average.

  • Stop Zone: Below 0.565 (below FVG).

  • Target Zone: 0.715 (measured move projection).

  • Risk-Reward: ~1:2.5 assuming 0.055 risk for 0.095 potential.


🔹 8. Market Regime Classification

Regime: Trending → Transitional (absorption near resistance).

  • Still within bullish regime, no sign of topping yet.

  • Possible minor reversion before next leg higher.


🔹 9. Institutional Supply/Demand Analysis

  • Strong demand imbalance between 0.525–0.565 (buyers defending).

  • Supply absorption evident at 0.600–0.620 (volume steady, range narrow).

  • Effort vs. Result indicates professional accumulation, not retail chasing.


🔹 Execution Summary

Market Regime: Trending with absorption near resistance
High-Conviction Observations:

  1. Structural HH–HL sequence intact (0.305 → 0.425 → 0.525 → 0.620).

  2. Volume contraction indicates smart money accumulation.

  3. Order block + FVG confluence supports 0.525–0.565 as key demand.

  4. Breakout above 0.620 targets 0.715 measured projection.

  5. Strong risk-to-reward alignment if traded with volume confirmation.


📊 Trade Summary

Buying F1E because price consolidates under resistance within bullish structure showing institutional absorption, with stops at 0.565 targeting 0.715 for a 1:2.5 risk-reward ratio.
Confidence Rating: 8/10
Key Levels to Watch: 0.565 (demand), 0.620 (breakout), 0.715 (target).


Pre-Execution Checklist

  • Volume confirmation above average at breakout

  • No bearish engulfing on breakout day

  • Maintain position sizing ≤2% of portfolio risk

  • Monitor 0.565 zone for structural failure


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   2.48%



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