Tuesday, October 21, 2025

Pan United - 21 Oct 2025

Stock Name & Code: Pan-United Corporation Ltd. (SGX: P52)
Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Date Range: Feb 2025 – Oct 2025
Bars Analyzed: ~180 daily bars
Last Traded Price: SGD 1.15 (+2.68%)


🧭 1. Market Structure & Order Flow Analysis

  • Trend Structure:

    • Strong uptrend from April (SGD 0.57) → peak at 1.26 (Sep).

    • Swing Lows (SL): 0.57 → 0.69 → 0.96 → 1.11.

    • Swing Highs (SH): 0.69 → 0.96 → 1.24 → 1.26.

    • Current Structure: Minor Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside after failing to hold above 1.20; CHoCH forming around 1.11–1.15.

    • Market transitioning from trend to range, with compression between 1.11–1.22.

  • Momentum Decay:

    • Noticeably smaller bar ranges post-August and overlapping candles, indicating momentum fatigue.

    • Institutional profit-taking suspected after the parabolic advance from May–August.

  • Institutional vs. Retail Behavior:

    • Large-bodied bullish bars in July–August on expanding volume → clear institutional buying phase.

    • Recent high volume, small range near 1.10–1.15 suggests institutional absorption, possibly re-accumulation.


🔊 2. Advanced Volume-Price Relationship (VPR) Analysis

  • Volume Signature:

    • High Volume + Small Range (1.10–1.15) = Accumulation.

    • Volume declining on rallies toward 1.20 → loss of aggressive demand.

    • Climactic spike near 1.26 in early September likely marked temporary exhaustion.

  • Critical Volume Patterns:

    • Volume Dry-Up in late October as price consolidates → potential breakout setup brewing.

    • Volume Cluster Zone: 1.10–1.15 → strong institutional interest area.


🧱 3. Institutional Footprint Recognition

  • Liquidity Grabs:

    • Price wicked below 1.11 (previous swing low) then rebounded → classic liquidity sweep.

    • Confirms stop-hunting before potential mark-up phase.

  • Order Blocks:

    • Bullish Order Block: 1.09–1.13 (August base).

    • Bearish Order Block: 1.22–1.26 (September top).

  • Fair Value Gap (FVG):

    • Exists between 1.00–1.05 (July impulse zone). Potential revisit if 1.10 fails.


📊 4. Bar Pattern Recognition

  • Reversal Bars:

    • Bullish pin bars visible near 1.10 (Oct 14–18) → evidence of demand absorption.

    • No strong bearish engulfing confirmation above 1.20 → range continuation expected.

  • Continuation Patterns:

    • Micro flag forming between 1.11–1.20; base compression phase before breakout.

  • Indecision Bars:

    • Multiple dojis in mid-October → indecision before expansion.


⏱ 5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

  • Weekly Structure:

    • Uptrend intact; recent consolidation = healthy pause.

    • Strong demand zone at 1.00–1.10 aligns with daily absorption.

  • Daily Compression:

    • Coiled price range ready for volatility expansion → breakout watch above 1.20 or below 1.10.


💰 6. Psychological Levels & Key Reference Points

  • Psychological Level: SGD 1.00 = major institutional support.

  • Recent Range: 1.10 (support) → 1.20 (resistance).

  • ATR(14): ~0.035 → current bar movements within normal volatility envelope.


⚖️ 7. Risk-Adjusted Setup Mapping

  • High-Probability Zone:

    • Buy Zone: 1.10–1.13 (absorption + prior liquidity grab).

    • Breakout Confirmation: Above 1.20 with volume expansion > 2× average.

  • Stops: Below 1.08 (structural invalidation).

  • Targets: 1.24 → 1.28 (previous highs).

  • Risk–Reward: Approx. 1:3.5 favorable if entered near 1.12.


🧩 8. Market Regime Classification

  • Current Regime: Transition-to-Range Phase after trending run.

  • Traits:

    • Sideways structure (1.10–1.20).

    • Declining volatility.

    • Volume absorption at support → potential reaccumulation phase.


🏦 9. Institutional Supply/Demand Assessment

  • Demand Zone: 1.08–1.13 → strong participation by professionals.

  • Supply Zone: 1.22–1.26 → prior institutional distribution.

  • Effort vs. Result: High volume, minimal downside movement near 1.11 → demand dominance.


🎯 Execution Summary

Market Bias: Bullish-to-Neutral (reaccumulation in progress)
Key Levels:

  • Support: 1.10 → 1.08

  • Resistance: 1.20 → 1.26

  • Breakout Watch: Above 1.20 for trend continuation

Trade Summary:
Buying Pan-United (SGX: P52) because institutional absorption is visible between 1.10–1.13 and structure suggests reaccumulation, with stops below 1.08, targeting 1.24–1.28 for a 1:3.5 risk-reward ratio.
Confidence Rating: 8.0 / 10


Pre-Trade Checklist ✅

  • Confirm volume expansion above 1.20 breakout

  • Monitor 1.10 demand zone for defense

  • Avoid entries during low liquidity sessions

  • Ensure reward > 3× defined risk


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:  2.61%



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