Sabana Reit - 03 Oct 2025

• Stock Name: Sabana Industrial REIT

• Ticker Symbol: M1GU (SGX)

• Timeframe: 1D (Daily)

• Date Range: Approx. Jan 2025 – Oct 2025

• Bars Analyzed: ~180

• Last Traded Price: SGD 0.445

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1. Market Structure & Order Flow Analysis

• Trend Structure:

  • Clear uptrend from Apr (0.33 low) to Sep (0.45 high) with successive higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).

  • Swing Lows (SL): 0.330 → 0.360 → 0.385 → 0.400

  • Swing Highs (SH): 0.370 → 0.410 → 0.430 → 0.450

  • No clear Break of Structure (BOS) detected; trend remains intact.

• Momentum Assessment:

  • Recent bars show tight ranges and overlapping closes → momentum decelerating near resistance (0.45).

  • Potential accumulation or absorption zone forming at highs.

• Institutional Behavior:

  • Strong buying pressure noted in mid-June and early August (wide up-bars with large volume).

  • Current range between 0.440–0.450 likely represents institutional absorption before potential markup or pullback.

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2. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

• Volume Signature Observations:

  • June–August: High volume with wide ranges = institutional push (professional accumulation).

  • September–October: Moderate volume with small ranges = absorption phase (smart money positioning).

• Critical Volume Patterns:

  • Volume Dry-Up above 0.44 suggests breakout preparation.

  • No panic or climactic volume visible → controlled price action.

  • Volume Divergence: Price holds highs while volume decreases → likely consolidation before next expansion.

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3. Institutional Footprint Recognition

• Liquidity Grabs: Noticeable around 0.385 and 0.395 levels (false downside breaks with strong recovery).

• Order Blocks:

  • Bullish order block: 0.385–0.400 zone → prior sell-to-buy zone before strong impulsive leg.

• Fair Value Gap (FVG): Minor imbalance between 0.415–0.425; may act as support if price retraces.

• Current Institutional Behavior: Accumulation/Absorption near resistance → institutions likely building position before next leg up.

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4. Bar Pattern Recognition

• Continuation Structure:

  • Consecutive small-bodied bars between 0.445–0.450 = coiling structure (potential breakout).

  • Possible bullish flag consolidation; depth <30% retracement → strong trend continuation potential.

• Reversal Patterns: None confirmed; no major bearish engulfing or pin bars near highs.

• Transition Signals: Lateral drift, not exhaustion yet.

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5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

• Higher Timeframe (Weekly): Structure likely bullish from broader accumulation since Q1 2025.

• Daily (Current): Price consolidating near recent highs, aligned with higher timeframe trend → bullish confluence.

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6. Psychological & Key Levels

• Support Zones: 0.400 (structural & volume-based), 0.385 (liquidity zone).

• Resistance Zones: 0.450 (current high), 0.460 (potential breakout target).

• Psychological Round Numbers: 0.45 acting as barrier; 0.50 as next major target zone.

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7. Market Regime Classification

• Current Regime: Transition from trending → micro-range (absorption phase).

• Bias: Bullish continuation expected if breakout volume exceeds recent averages.

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8. Risk-Adjusted Setup

• Entry Zone: Breakout above 0.450 with volume confirmation (>150% of average).

• Stop-Loss: Below 0.440 (below structure support).

• Profit Targets:

  • TP1: 0.460 (near-term breakout)

  • TP2: 0.480 (measured move projection)

• Risk–Reward Ratio: Approx. 1:3

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9. Forward-Looking Bias

• If volume expands on breakout → likely markup continuation toward 0.48–0.50.

• Failure to hold 0.440 → short-term retracement to 0.415 FVG zone before reattempt.

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Trade Summary

Buying M1GU (Sabana Industrial REIT) because institutional absorption and coiled structure indicate breakout potential above 0.450, with stops at 0.440, targeting 0.480 for a 1:3 risk–reward ratio.
Confidence Rating: 8/10

Key Levels to Watch:

• Support: 0.400 / 0.385

• Resistance: 0.450 / 0.480

• Structural confirmation: Daily close above 0.450 with high volume

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Execution Checklist ✅

• Confirm breakout candle closes above 0.450

• Validate breakout volume > 150% of 20-day average

• Check for false breakout rejection wick

• Maintain stop discipline below structure

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

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