Bund Center - 02 Oct 2025

• Stock Name & Ticker: Bund Center Investment Ltd (SGX: BTE)

• Chart Timeframe: Daily

• Date Range Shown: Dec 2024 – Oct 2025 (~10 months, ~200 bars visible)

• Last Traded Price: 0.405 SGD (Thu 2 Oct 2025)

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1. Market Structure & Order Flow

• Trend Structure:

  • Early 2025: Range-bound between 0.355 – 0.390. Multiple swing highs around 0.385/0.390, swing lows around 0.350/0.355.

  • July–Sept 2025: Strong breakout above 0.415 → parabolic move to 0.520 (new swing high).

  • Late Sept–Oct 2025: Sharp pullback to 0.405, creating lower high + lower low sequences → possible transition from uptrend to corrective regime.

• Break of Structure (BOS):

  • BOS upwards at 0.415 (Aug 2025) confirmed trend shift bullish.

  • CHoCH now as price failed to hold above 0.420 support (Oct 2025).

• Momentum Decay:

  • Bars from mid-Sept show long upper wicks, wider ranges, and increasing overlap.

  • Strong selling pressure as buyers lost control near 0.500–0.520.

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2. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

• Uptrend Phase (Jul–Sept): Volume expansion on breakouts (healthy institutional participation).

• Climax: Extremely high volume at 0.520 top → wide spread bar → exhaustion.

• Pullback Phase:

  • High volume down-bars with limited retracement up = institutional distribution.

  • Volume divergence: price pulled back strongly, but declining volumes show selling momentum may be slowing.

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3. Institutional Footprints

• Liquidity Grab: Break above 0.500 likely triggered retail breakout buying before immediate reversal → classic upthrust action.

• Order Block: Strong bullish order block formed around 0.380–0.400 (July accumulation zone).

• FVG: Gap-like inefficiency from 0.420–0.450, now filled → suggests institutional rebalancing.

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4. Bar Pattern Recognition

• Top Formation: Bearish engulfing + volume climax around 0.520.

• Current Zone (0.405): Multiple small-bodied bars with tails → indecision + potential absorption.

• Reversal Bar: Not yet confirmed; need a strong bullish engulfing above 0.420 to suggest demand returning.

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5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

• Weekly Bias: Still bullish macro trend (above 0.350 long-term base).

• Daily Bias: Corrective bearish → testing prior support at 0.400/0.385.

• Confluent Zone: 0.385–0.400 = major pivot → key battleground for buyers/sellers.

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6. Psychological & Structural Levels

• Round Numbers: 0.400 (current support), 0.450 (resistance), 0.500 (psychological trap level).

• ATR Context: Recent ranges expanded sharply; volatility high → stop placements must account for wide moves.

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7. Risk-Adjusted Setup

• Bullish Scenario: Accumulation above 0.385–0.400 with bullish reversal bar confirmation.

• Bearish Scenario: Breakdown below 0.385 → opens path back to 0.355–0.350 support.

• RR Framework: If long from 0.400, stop 0.380, target 0.450 → 1:2.5 RR.

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8. Market Regime

• Transitioning from strong uptrend → corrective consolidation regime.

• Volatility high, suggesting institutional shakeout.

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High-Conviction Observations

1. Exhaustion confirmed at 0.520 with high volume and reversal.

2. Support test ongoing at 0.400; breakdown risks retest of 0.355.

3. Volume declining on sell-off, hinting that selling pressure may be absorbed.

4. Institutional footprints suggest July breakout zone (0.380–0.400) is critical demand.

5. Next directional bias will be set by whether 0.400 holds or breaks.

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Forward Bias & Trade Summary

• Bias: Watching for accumulation signs at 0.385–0.400; otherwise, continuation lower to 0.355.

• Trade Summary:

  • Buying BTE if 0.400 support holds, because this level aligns with institutional order block and prior breakout zone, with stops at 0.380 targeting 0.450 for a 1:2.5 RR.

  • Confidence Rating: 6.5/10 (needs bullish confirmation candle).

Key Levels to Watch:

• Support: 0.400 / 0.385 / 0.355

• Resistance: 0.420 / 0.450 / 0.500

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✅ Pre-Execution Checklist

• Wait for bullish confirmation bar above 0.420.

• Ensure volume expansion on reversal.

• Position sizing to risk no more than 1–2% equity.

• Prepare exit plan if 0.385 breaks.

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

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