Thursday, July 31, 2025

Credit Bureau Asia - 31 Jul 25

CREDITBUREAUASIA (SGX: TCU) – DAILY CHART ANALYSIS (31 JULY 2025)
Chart Timeframe & Period: Daily; ~10 months (Oct 2024 – Jul 2025)
Number of Bars: ~200
Last Traded Price: 1.39 SGD
Regime Classification: Transitioning from Range to Potential Breakout


🔍 Highest Conviction Observations

1. Macro Market Structure Shift: Range to Breakout Attempt

  • Clear horizontal structure from Dec 2024 to Jul 2025 between 1.16 support and 1.38–1.40 resistance.

  • Most recent candle closes at 1.39, re-testing major horizontal resistance at 1.40, previously tested in early May 2025.

  • No clear higher high yet beyond the 1.40 swing top — confirmation needed for full breakout classification.

2. High Volume + Small Range = Institutional Absorption

  • Final bar (31 Jul) shows notable volume surge but very tight price spread (1.39 close) = Absorption likely at resistance.

  • Institutional presence suspected — testing supply before breakout or shaking out premature longs.

  • Historical behavior supports this: prior high-volume bars (Apr and May 2025) also failed to break out, suggesting distribution zones were present.

3. Volume-Price Relationship Indicates Test of Resistance

  • Volume expansion into resistance without full breakout = caution for bull trap potential.

  • No volume divergence detected yet – volume is increasing into the move (bullish if confirmed).

  • Note: Previous high-volume candles in April led to immediate reversals (e.g., 1.34 → 1.16 sharp sell-off), hinting at supply just above.

4. Liquidity Grab Watch Above 1.40

  • Strong likelihood of liquidity spike above 1.40 to trigger stops and test hidden supply.

  • Expect potential false breakout (Upthrust) followed by fade back into range if no follow-through on volume.

5. Recent Bar Structure: Strength Building

  • Past 7–10 sessions formed a tight coiling pattern (mini flag) between 1.34–1.38.

  • Breakout candle on Jul 30 was wide-range and high-volume, followed by current absorption bar (Jul 31), showing potential displacement move initiation.

  • Suggests Smart Money preparing to mark up if follow-through occurs above 1.40 with sustained volume.


📊 Key Technical Levels

LevelTypeReasoning
1.40ResistanceMulti-month range top & double top zone
1.38Short-term SupportRecent breakout point — watch for throwback
1.31Range MidpointMinor support inside prior structure
1.16Major SupportKey demand zone tested multiple times
1.44–1.48Target ZoneProjected range expansion (R = H-L = 1.40 - 1.16 = 0.24) added to breakout point

📉 Risk Management Framework

  • Stop Loss: Below 1.38 (invalidates breakout thesis)

  • Target 1: 1.44 (measured move projection)

  • Target 2: 1.48 (extended projection)

  • Risk-Reward Estimate: Approx. 1:3 if entered at 1.39, stop at 1.37, target 1.44

  • Caution: Wait for clean breakout AND retest confirmation or strong follow-through volume to validate entry


🔮 Forward-Looking Bias

  • Bullish bias if 1.40 is decisively cleared with wide-range candle + volume expansion (> last 3-day average).

  • Neutral bias if price stalls or reverses from 1.40, suggesting continued range behavior.

  • Bearish fade possible if false breakout confirmed via lower close back into 1.36 zone.


Pre-Execution Checklist

  • Clean breakout above 1.40 with volume > 2x 10-day average

  • No immediate rejection wick or strong selling above 1.40

  • Retest of 1.38–1.39 with low volume and successful bounce

  • Broader market/sector support for upside continuation

  • News/catalyst alignment (if any) for sustainable move


Trade Summary Format:
Buying CREDITBUREAUASIA (SGX: TCU) because price is testing multi-month resistance at 1.40 with institutional absorption and volume expansion, with stops at 1.37 targeting 1.44 for 1:3 risk-reward ratio.
Confidence Rating: 7/10
Key Levels to Watch: 1.40 (breakout), 1.38 (retest), 1.44 (target), 1.16 (invalidator)


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   2.88%



SIA Eng - 31 Jul 25

SIA Engineering (SGX: S59) – Daily Chart Analysis (31 July 2025)
Timeframe: 1D
Analysis Period: ~9 months (~200 bars)
Last Traded Price: 3.07 SGD


🔍 Current Market Regime: Transitioning from Trending to Potential Reversion (early Distribution signs)


📌 Highest Conviction Observations:

  1. Major Trend Structure & Recent Break of Momentum

    • Swing Low: 1.87 (April 2025), followed by strong uptrend.

    • Swing High: 3.28 (July 2025) marks the current major high.

    • First Clear CHoCH: Break below 3.15 minor support with expanding red bars = initial structural weakness.

    • Momentum Decay Evident: Smaller-bodied green bars transitioning into wide-range red bars; volatility expanding with bearish pressure.

  2. Volume-Price Relationship Breakdown

    • Climactic Volume at 3.28 Top: Volume spike on July 10–12 with rejection wicks = potential buying climax.

    • High Volume Wide Range Down Bars (HV WRB): Several strong down days post-3.40 with expanding volume = professional selling.

    • Absorption Identified: On July 24 and 26, notable volume with minimal upward movement = institutional distribution pattern.

  3. Institutional Footprint & Liquidity Analysis

    • Liquidity Grab at 3.40+: Quick upside fake-out beyond prior resistance zone into thin liquidity, followed by sharp reversal.

    • Fair Value Gap (FVG) Zone: 3.12–3.20 remains untested with minimal price interaction; likely revisit for mitigation.

    • Order Block Zone: Bearish order block formed at 3.20–3.28 (July 15–18) = area of institutional sell interest.

  4. Reversal Bar Clusters & Transition Signals

    • Bearish Engulfing + Wide Red Bars: July 25–30 bars confirm reversal.

    • Inside Bar Breakdown: Narrow range compression July 21–24 followed by range expansion confirms breakdown.

    • Outside Bar on July 29: Failure to reclaim midpoint; closing weak shows continuation.

  5. Psychological & Volume Anchors

    • Round Number Support Test at 3.00: Current price testing psychological and historical congestion.

    • Volume Spike near 3.05: Potential demand stepping in—but no confirmation of reversal yet. Requires further testing or reversal bar setup.


📉 Price Structure & Key Levels

  • Support Zones:

    • 3.00 (psychological & minor historical structure)

    • 2.87–2.90 (prior minor pullback from early June)

    • 2.50 (gap origin / pre-trend launch point)

  • Resistance Zones:

    • 3.20–3.28 (distribution zone / order block)

    • 3.40 (failed breakout zone)


📊 Risk-Adjusted Setup Mapping

  • Current Bias: Short-biased with caution near 3.00 – price is at key support.

  • Stop Placement for Short Entry: Above 3.28 distribution high.

  • Profit Target Zones:

    • TP1: 2.90

    • TP2: 2.60

  • Potential RRR: 1:2.5 if short near 3.10–3.15 with stop at 3.30 and target at 2.60.


🔭 Forward Outlook & Confluence Zones

  • Watch for Reaction at 3.00: Weak bounce = continuation; strong rejection bar with rising volume = possible temporary low.

  • Gap Fill Potential: Downside vacuum remains toward 2.60–2.70 zone if 3.00 fails.

  • Higher Timeframe Alignment: Weekly trend remains bullish, but daily shows intermediate correction – MTF compression nearing.


✅ Summary Trade Sentence Format:

Selling SIA Engineering (S59) because of confirmed distribution at 3.28 with breakdown from key support at 3.15, with stops at 3.30 targeting 2.60 for 1:2.5 risk-reward,
Confidence Rating: 7/10


🎯 Key Levels to Watch

  • Support: 3.00 / 2.87 / 2.60

  • Resistance: 3.15 / 3.28 / 3.40

  • Volume Markers: High volume near 3.05 needs confirmation for reversal attempt.


🧾 Execution Checklist:

  • Confirm bearish follow-through below 3.00

  • Watch volume behavior on bounce attempts

  • Align with sector and broader SGX sentiment

  • Avoid chasing; look for retracements to short from supply zones


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:  2.61%



Wednesday, July 30, 2025

iFast - 30 Jul 25

IFAST Corporation (SGX:AIY) | Daily Chart | Analysis Date: 30 July 2025
Analysis Period: ~9 months (Nov 2024 – Jul 2025) | Bars Analyzed: ~180
Last Traded Price: SGD 8.88


CURRENT MARKET REGIME: STRONG UPTREND / POTENTIAL CLIMACTIC MOVE


HIGH-CONVICTION OBSERVATIONS

  1. Macro Structure – Uptrend Confirmation

    • Swing Highs (SH): 7.93 → 8.83 → [8.88 current]

    • Swing Lows (SL): 7.18 → 6.18 → 6.67 → 6.38 (higher lows forming)

    • Break of structure occurred post-6.67 → 7.23 breakout, followed by an explosive rally—indicating a trend acceleration phase.

    • Current rally displays displacement behavior: minimal retracement, consistent higher closes.

  2. Volume-Price Relationship – Climax Behavior Detected

    • Last 3 bars show vertical price movement with expanding volume, especially today’s candle:

      • Wide Range + High Volume = professional activity OR terminal move.

      • Possible Buying Climax (BC) forming; price has surged ~40%+ in under 10 sessions.

    • Compare to prior highs: volume at 8.83 was strong but lacked this degree of verticality, suggesting institutional interest has returned aggressively.

  3. Institutional Footprints – Demand Imbalance & Fair Value Gap

    • Strong order block demand zone identified at 6.38–6.67, confirmed by tight consolidation and sharp rejection.

    • Price now far above recent demand—indicating possible Fair Value Gap between 7.25–8.00 that may require filling on pullback.

    • Last significant liquidity grab likely at 6.18–6.38 zone (May lows), setting up base for current impulse move.

  4. Bar Pattern & Breakout Structure

    • Recent session formed a breakaway gap with no overlap from prior candle—high probability of institutional markup phase.

    • No reversal bars yet; no pin bars, doji, or outside reversal patterns—momentum intact.

    • Current bar is a bullish Marubozu (no wick), with significant bullish conviction.

  5. Psychological & Structural Levels

    • Price broke through prior highs (8.83, Mar 2025) with aggressive volume, confirming psychological clearance of resistance.

    • Next potential magnet: round number SGD 9.00, followed by measured move projection:

      • Prior impulse: 6.67 → 8.83 = +2.16

      • Projected target if breakout holds = 8.83 + 2.16 = 10.99


MULTI-TIMEFRAME CONFLUENCE

  • Weekly likely showing strong breakout from 6-month accumulation range.

  • Strong confluence between daily BOS and potential weekly demand shift.


RISK-MANAGEMENT PARAMETERS

  • Stop Loss Zone: Below recent breakout zone (≈7.50) or conservative trailing stop below 8.00 psychological area.

  • Target Zones:

    • Initial: 9.50 (psychological magnet)

    • Extended: 10.99 (measured move)

  • Minimum RR Setup:

    • Entry: 8.88

    • Stop: 7.50

    • Target: 10.99

    • RR ≈ 1:3


FORWARD-LOOKING BIAS

  • Expectation of short-term continuation, but risk of terminal move pullback is high.

  • Strong hands likely to begin distribution above 9.00–9.50, monitor volume shift and reversal candles.

  • Watch for FVG reversion pullbacks toward 8.00–7.50 for high-RR re-entry opportunities.


TRADE SUMMARY FORMAT

Buying IFAST (SGX:AIY) because of a strong institutional breakout above multi-month resistance with wide-range bullish candles and volume confirmation, with stops at 7.50 targeting 10.99 for a 1:3 risk-reward ratio.
Confidence Rating: 8.5/10


KEY LEVELS TO WATCH

  • Support: 8.00 / 7.50 / 6.67 (prior BOS)

  • Resistance: 9.00 / 9.50 / 10.99

  • Volume Watch: Dry-up on consolidation or surge with reversal wicks


✅ TRADE EXECUTION CHECKLIST

  • Confirm no bearish reversal bar on next session

  • Watch pre-market volume and gap behavior

  • Adjust position sizing to reflect extended move risk

  • Consider partials at 9.50 for profit-locking


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:  0.70%



UOB Kay Hian - 30 Jul 25

  • Stock: UOB Kay Hian (SGX: U10)

  • Timeframe: Daily

  • Analysis Period: ~9 months (Oct 2024 – Jul 30, 2025)

  • Number of Bars: ~190

  • Last Traded Price: 2.39 SGD


🔍 1. Market Structure & Order Flow Analysis

  • Primary Structure: Strong uptrend, recently accelerating into parabolic territory.

  • Swing Highs/Lows:

    • HH: 2.65 (recent peak)

    • HLs: 1.65 → 1.77 → 2.03 → explosive rally to 2.65

  • BOS: Confirmed bullish BOS above 2.03 (July breakout)

  • CHoCH Potential: Watch for CHoCH if price breaks below 2.20 (minor HL zone).

  • Trend Momentum: Peaked — recent bars show increasing range with volume, then abrupt downside bar suggesting momentum exhaustion.


🏦 2. Institutional vs. Retail Behavior

  • Absorption Evidence:

    • Late May–June: multiple tight-range bars with above-average volume near 1.84 → institutional absorption before breakout

  • Climactic Volume:

    • July 26–29: wide range, high volume bars → potential buying climax

  • Shakeout Risk:

    • Today’s bar (Jul 30) shows sharp downside rejection from highs, likely flushing weak hands.


📈 3. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

  • Volume Spike:

    • Volume surged on the breakout above 2.03 (mid-July), followed by two high-volume bearish candles — volume divergence suggests distribution.

  • Wide Range Down Bar (Jul 30):

    • High volume, long body = potential professional selling

  • Volume Cluster:

    • Heavy volume between 2.30–2.65 — may act as a supply zone moving forward.


🧠 4. Institutional Footprints

  • Liquidity Grab:

    • Break above 2.50 on Jul 29 likely served as a liquidity sweep triggering buy stops → immediate reversal

  • Order Block:

    • Final bullish candle before sharp move down near 2.50–2.60 = potential bearish OB

  • Displacement:

    • July breakout from 2.03 → 2.65 is a clear displacement, now under retracement phase


📉 5. Bar Pattern Recognition

  • Reversal Bars:

    • Jul 29–30: two-bar bearish engulfing setup post-climax

  • Continuation Failures:

    • Price failed to sustain above 2.60, printing lower highs = reversal probability increasing

  • Doji/Indecision:

    • No true dojis here, but current body structure leans bearish continuation


6. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

  • Likely Weekly Overbought Zone:

    • Based on daily parabolic run, weekly structure likely hitting long-term resistance

  • Watch for weekly confirmation:

    • If this week closes below 2.30 → weekly CHoCH likely confirmed


🔢 7. Psychological Levels

  • Round Number Influence:

    • 2.50 and 2.00 acted as psychological magnets

  • Today’s Close at 2.39:

    • Holding just above 2.35–2.38 intraday structure — watch 2.30–2.35 for support test

  • ATR Expansion:

    • Bar range has sharply widened = volatile regime shift


🛡 8. Risk-Adjusted Setup Identification

  • Potential Short Setup:

    • Entry near 2.39 if pullback fails to reclaim 2.50

    • Stop-loss: above 2.65 (failed breakout high)

    • Target 1: 2.20 (minor HL support)

    • Target 2: 2.03 (key breakout base)

    • RR: ~1:2.5 to 1:3 if managed correctly

  • Caution: Volatility elevated, use reduced sizing


🧭 9. Market Regime

  • Current Regime: Transitioning from Trend to Distribution

    • Evidence: Wide range bars, climactic volume, failed breakout, engulfing reversal

    • Bias: Bearish correction or range consolidation likely

Forward Bias & Execution Plan

  • Bias: Short-term bearish retracement/correction

  • Key Support: 2.30 → if breaks, opens 2.03 retest

  • Key Resistance: 2.50–2.60 (supply zone)

  • Structural Breakdown Zone: Below 2.20 confirms short-term trend reversal

  • Volume Control Point: Monitor activity near 2.35 — acts as volume node


📌 Trade Summary Format

Selling UOB Kay Hian (SGX: U10) because a climactic volume breakout failed with bearish engulfing bar and supply zone rejection, with stops at 2.66, targeting 2.03 for approx. 1:3 RR.
Confidence Rating: 8/10


Checklist Before Execution

  • Confirm breakdown below 2.35 on volume

  • Align with broader SGX index tone

  • Monitor if 2.50 is retested and rejected

  • Risk manage with adjusted sizing (due to volatility)


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:  3.85%



Tuesday, July 29, 2025

Global Inv - 29 Jul 25

  • Stock Name & Ticker: GLOBAL INV, SGX:B73

  • Timeframe: Daily (1D)

  • Analysis Period: ~10 months (Oct 2024 – 29 Jul 2025)

  • Total Bars in Period: ~200

  • Last Traded Price: SGD 0.130


Current Market Regime: Transitioning from Accumulation to Breakout Attempt


High-Conviction Observations

1. Market Structure & Order Flow

  • Swing Highs (SH): 0.121 → 0.124 → 0.127 → 0.130 → [New Break at 0.130]

  • Swing Lows (SL): 0.117 → 0.119 → 0.121 → Higher Lows Intact → Bullish structure forming

  • Recent BOS: Break above 0.130 attempts to breach the horizontal resistance band formed since April.

  • Structure Type: Former tight range resolving into an emerging uptrend, suggesting early-stage trend formation.

  • Bar Range Behavior: Recently expanding ranges on up bars with reduced overlap—trend momentum building.


2. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

  • Volume Expansion: Recent up-bar breaking 0.130 showed clear volume increase, validating breakout interest.

  • Previous Volume Clusters: Notable volume spikes on 0.117 low (Feb & Mar) signaling possible institutional accumulation zone.

  • Absorption Signatures: March–May consolidation showed tight bars with medium volume, indicative of supply absorption before lift-off.

  • Volume Dry-Up: June–early July saw a volume lull near 0.128–0.130 resistance—classic breakout prep phase.


3. Institutional Footprint Recognition

  • Order Block Formation: Feb & Mar lows near 0.117 followed by strong demand-led candles—potential bullish order block.

  • Fair Value Gaps (FVG): Minor FVG observed between 0.123–0.125 from early April likely to act as demand revisit zone if pullback occurs.

  • Displacement Candle: Today’s break bar shows wide range with volume lift—early displacement behavior.


4. Bar Pattern Recognition

  • Current Bar: Wide range green candle closing at high with volume expansion — bullish breakout bar.

  • Pattern Evolution: Multi-bar tight compression (early July) → breakout bar today = coiled energy released.

  • Prior Consolidation: Series of narrow-body bars in July = volatility contraction.


5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence & Psychological Levels

  • Higher Timeframe Bias: Likely in reaccumulation zone on weekly timeframe; price compressing under resistance.

  • Psychological Price Point: 0.130 round number—current key breakout level.

  • ATR Observation: This bar’s range exceeds recent ATR levels—momentum ignition behavior.


Forward-Looking Bias & Execution Zone Parameters

Trade Summary Format:

Buying GLOBAL INV (SGX:B73) because price has broken out of a multi-month accumulation base with volume confirmation, with stops at 0.125 targeting 0.138–0.140 for 1:3+ risk-reward ratio.


Confidence Rating: 8/10

Based on structure breakout, volume validation, and psychological level confluence.


Key Levels to Watch:

  • Support: 0.125 (structure support), 0.121 (prior SH pivot), 0.117 (institutional block zone)

  • Resistance/Target Zone: 0.138 (measured move), 0.140 (next psychological barrier)

  • Break Confirmation: Needs second day follow-through above 0.130 to confirm strength


Execution Checklist:

  • ✅ Breakout bar with volume expansion

  • ✅ Higher low structure intact

  • ✅ Psychological breakout level cleared

  • ✅ Low-risk entry near 0.130 breakout

  • 🔄 Await continuation/failure signal next 1–2 bars


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:  6.15%



Monday, July 28, 2025

YZJ Fin Holding - 28 Jul 25

Technical Analysis Report
Stock: YZJ FIN HLDG (SGX:YF8)
Chart Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Date Range: October 2024 – July 28, 2025
Bars Analyzed: Approx. 200+


🔎 Current Market Regime: Strong Bullish Trend (Trending Regime)


Top 5 High-Conviction Observations:

1. Market Structure & Trend Momentum

  • Swing Lows (SL): 0.395 → 0.625 → 0.680 → 0.875

  • Swing Highs (SH): 0.445 → 0.810 → 0.760 (lower high), then a BOS at 0.875 → 0.940 (current high)

  • Break of Structure (BOS): Clear BOS above 0.810 after consolidation between May–June

  • Trend Acceleration: March–April rally shows increasing bar size and volume (institutional push), followed by tight consolidation and new impulsive move in July—indicates strong continuation.

2. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

  • Volume Expansion: Large green bars with volume spike during July breakout from 0.735-0.875 zone = institutional breakout validation

  • Volume Dry-Up (May–June): Tight range with declining volume near 0.695–0.735 = absorption and re-accumulation phase

  • Recent Volume Consistency: Recent climb from 0.875 to 0.940 accompanied by steady rising volume, not parabolic = healthy advance

3. Institutional Footprint Evidence

  • Liquidity Grab at 0.680: Price swept below May low (~0.695) then reversed with sharp up-move, classic spring setup

  • Order Block Zone: Bullish demand block established around 0.680–0.735; strong bullish reaction afterward

  • Displacement Move: Strong directional bars in mid-July with minimal retracement confirm institutional momentum shift

4. Bar Pattern & Price Behavior

  • Continuation Bars: Series of narrow-bodied inside bars post-breakout (0.875–0.910) showing healthy consolidation; no sharp rejections or long wicks

  • Measured Move Target: Initial impulse (0.680 to 0.875 = 0.195); projected from breakout (0.875 + 0.195 = target ~1.070)

  • No Reversal Bars: Absence of shooting stars or bearish engulfing indicates strong buyer control near highs

5. Confluence & Risk Zones

  • Psychological Level Resistance: Testing the SGD 1.00 psychological round number soon

  • Key Support Zone: 0.875–0.910 = previous breakout resistance now acting as support

  • Stop-Loss Zone: Just below 0.875 (invalidates breakout structure)

  • Risk-Reward Estimate: Entry near 0.940, stop at 0.865, target 1.070 = ~1:2 R:R


Key Price Levels

LevelTypeRationale
1.070Measured Move TargetProjection from breakout
1.000Psychological ResistanceRound number barrier
0.940Current PriceTesting new highs
0.875–0.910Support ZoneRecent breakout base
0.680Major Swing LowSpring / order block base

Forward Bias & Key Watchpoints

  • Bias remains bullish unless 0.875 fails

  • Watch volume behavior near 1.000 – break above with expansion = next leg likely

  • A pullback to 0.910–0.875 range on low volume would offer a potential reload zone


Trade Summary Sentence

Buying YF8 because of confirmed institutional breakout from accumulation base at 0.735 with stops at 0.865 targeting 1.070 for a 1:2 risk-reward ratio.
Confidence Rating: 8.5 / 10
Key Levels to Watch: Support at 0.875, breakout continuation above 0.945, resistance at 1.000 and 1.070


✅ Pre-Execution Checklist

  • Volume confirms breakout? ✅

  • Stop below structure? ✅

  • Measured move aligns with market structure? ✅

  • Risk/reward > 1:2? ✅

  • No reversal bars at highs? ✅


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:  2.34%



Sunday, July 27, 2025

Aztech Global - 25 Jul 25

Technical Analysis Report: AZTECH GBL (SGX: 8AZ) — Daily Chart (Oct 2024 – 26 Jul 2025)
Total Bars Analyzed: ~200 bars
Current Price: SGD 0.680 (+4.62%)


1. Market Regime Classification: Transition → Emerging Uptrend

  • Transitional Structure after steep markdown to SGD 0.495 low in May 2025.

  • Current leg shows signs of early uptrend formation with higher highs/lows from June to July.

  • Breakout attempt through prior lower high resistance at SGD 0.610 confirmed with bullish momentum candle on increasing volume.


2. Highest Conviction Observations

🔹 Structural Shift & Order Flow

  • Swing Low (SL): 0.495 → 0.530 → 0.550 (ascending)

  • Swing High (SH): 0.610 broken cleanly → current bar testing 0.680

  • Change of Character (CHoCH) evident at 0.610 breakout; suggests end of accumulation

  • BOS confirmation above 0.610 with today’s candle; next key resistance: 0.685–0.730

🔹 Volume-Price Dynamics

  • Volume expansion on breakout bar (25 Jul) + wide range body → indicates institutional follow-through

  • Prior consolidation between 0.495–0.610 showed volume clusters near 0.530 and 0.550 (likely accumulation)

  • No divergence observed – price and volume aligned bullishly

🔹 Institutional Footprint

  • Possible Order Block near 0.550–0.565 zone (prior down bar before sharp rally)

  • Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 0.565–0.610 from impulsive breakout candle

  • Displacement move now in play – strong bullish leg with minor pullbacks

🔹 Bar Pattern Recognition

  • Last 3 bars show tight rising range with strong bodies → confirms momentum continuity

  • No exhaustion wick yet on current bar, indicating rally may still have fuel

  • No reversal signals visible yet – buyers in control

🔹 Psychological Level / Key Resistance Zones

  • 0.685 = current test zone; prior pivot resistance

  • 0.730 = next meaningful resistance (previous structure high)

  • Psychological magnet: SGD 0.700 → potential intraday stall


3. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

  • Daily TF: Showing trend initiation

  • Weekly TF (not shown): Likely forming double bottom or base above long-term support

  • Compression breakout from multi-month range → trend alignment forming


4. Risk-Adjusted Setup Map

  • Support Zone: 0.610 (breakout base), 0.550 (accumulation base)

  • Stop Placement: Below 0.610 breakout level (structural invalidation)

  • Profit Target Zones: 0.730 (measured move), 0.800 (prior March swing high)

  • Risk-Reward Estimate: Entry at 0.680, SL at 0.605, TP at 0.800 → ~1:1.7 R:R (slightly below ideal 1:2)


5. Forward-Looking Bias

  • Bias: Bullish Continuation

    • Price action and volume support further upside toward 0.730–0.800

    • Short-term retests of 0.660–0.610 possible if momentum slows

  • Catalyst Watch: Pending quarterly earnings (based on typical SGX cycle), prior volume spike near “E” likely event-driven


Execution Summary

Buying AZTECH GBL (8AZ.SGX) because price broke out of multi-month range with expanding volume through 0.610 and is now challenging 0.685 resistance, with stops at 0.605 targeting 0.800 for ~1:1.7 risk-reward ratio.
Confidence Rating: 7.5/10
Key Levels to Watch:

  • Resistance: 0.685 (current), 0.730, 0.800

  • Support: 0.610 (breakout base), 0.550 (institutional accumulation)


Pre-Execution Checklist:

  • Confirm volume continuation next bar above 0.685

  • Set alerts at 0.685 and 0.730

  • Validate weekly structure for alignment

  • Prepare scale-out strategy near 0.730


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   11.76%



Saturday, July 26, 2025

HC Surgical - 25 Jul 25

HC SURGICAL (SGX:1B1) – DAILY CHART ANALYSIS (25 JULY 2025)
Timeframe: Daily
Bars in Analysis Period: ~200+ bars (Oct 2023–Jul 2025)
Market Regime: Transitional to Early Ranging Phase


High Conviction Observations:

  1. Market Structure & Order Flow

    • Major Swing Lows (SL): 0.240 (Feb '24 & Oct '24), 0.255 (May '24), 0.270 (Mar '24, Jan '25, May '25) – forming a broad, stable demand base.

    • Swing Highs (SH): 0.285 (Jul '24), 0.295 (Nov '24), 0.310 (Feb '25), 0.335 (Jul '25).

    • Recent Break of Structure (BOS): Clear BOS occurred in mid-July 2025 breaking above 0.310 and tagging 0.335 – signals transition from range to bullish attempt.

    • Change of Character (CHoCH): Occurred post-Dec '24 when buyers defended 0.270 and pushed to 0.310 again – early signal of accumulation breakout attempt.

  2. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

    • Climactic Volume on 0.335 candle (Jul '25): High volume + wide bar suggests institutional breakout push, but sharp rejection back to 0.300 shows potential buying climax or trap.

    • Volume Dry-Up Zones: Noticeably low volume through May–Jun '25 while price hovered at 0.290–0.300 → indicates coiled accumulation phase.

    • Volume Expansion on Upside Break (Jul '25): Volume breakout from 0.300-0.310 was validated, but immediate fade suggests lack of sustained conviction.

  3. Institutional Footprints

    • Absorption Evidence: Repeated high volume tests at 0.270–0.290 in Q1–Q2 2025 yielded minimal downside progress → institutional support zone.

    • Liquidity Grab: Spike to 0.335 pierced above multiple highs (0.310, 0.295) before sharply retracing – textbook liquidity sweep likely trapping late buyers.

    • Order Block: Bullish order block exists at 0.270–0.290 zone, coinciding with prior institutional absorption.

  4. Bar Pattern Recognition

    • Reversal Pin Bar (Jul 24): Long upper wick at 0.335 on expanding volume = potential buying climax.

    • Continuation Bars (Jul 22-23): Strong green-bodied candles on rising volume showing institutional push, but follow-through faltered.

    • Inside Bars Cluster (May–Jun '25): Tight range action between 0.285–0.300 indicated energy coil prior to breakout.

  5. Multi-Timeframe & Psychological Confluence

    • Higher Timeframe Context: Weekly chart likely shows long-term range base formation.

    • Round Number Levels: 0.300 held as key psychological pivot; 0.350 is next magnet if structure sustains.

    • ATR Compression Zone: Pre-breakout compression suggests volatility expansion cycle in play.


Execution Framework

  • Entry Consideration: Pullback into 0.290–0.300 demand zone offers low-risk re-entry for continuation.

  • Stop Loss: Below 0.270 (beneath demand zone and institutional footprint)

  • Targets:

    • TP1: 0.335 (prior high)

    • TP2: 0.350 (gap fill + psychological resistance)

  • Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:2.5 to 1:3 depending on entry near 0.300


Trade Summary Format

Buying HC SURGICAL (1B1.SI) because of structural breakout from long-term accumulation zone with confirmed volume expansion with stops at 0.270, targeting 0.335 and 0.350 for a risk-reward of 1:2.5 to 1:3,
Confidence Rating: 7.5 / 10


Key Levels to Watch

  • Support Zones: 0.270 (critical demand), 0.290 (minor support)

  • Resistance Levels: 0.335 (supply test), 0.350 (psychological magnet)

  • Structural Pivot: 0.310 (former breakout level now retest area)


Execution Checklist

  • Confirm bullish continuation on decreasing pullback volume

  • Entry near 0.300 with tight stop below structure

  • Watch for false breakdown below 0.290 (trap possibility)

  • Monitor volume expansion on any attempt toward 0.335+


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   4.38%



Singapore Stock Investment Research