Stock: ValueMax (SGX: T6I)
Timeframe: Daily (Nov 2024 – Aug 14, 2025)
Bars in Analysis: ~190 daily bars
Last Traded Price: 0.780 SGD
Market Regime Classification
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Trending Regime: Sustained series of higher highs and higher lows since March 2025.
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Momentum accelerating in July–August with multiple wide-range bullish bars and significant volume expansion.
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Current price action is extended from prior consolidation zones, suggesting potential late-stage trend acceleration.
High-Conviction Observations
1. Market Structure & Order Flow
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Key Swing Lows (SL): 0.425 → 0.465 → 0.480 → 0.505 → 0.570
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Key Swing Highs (SH): 0.520 → 0.535 → 0.750 → current 0.780 zone
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Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed above 0.750 with decisive bullish candle on strong volume.
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Price forming impulsive displacement moves with shallow pullbacks (~20–30%), characteristic of institutional directional pressure.
2. Volume-Price Relationship
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Large volume expansion in early August coinciding with breakout above 0.750 resistance — high-probability institutional breakout confirmation.
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July showed low-volume consolidation (absorption phase) before breakout, aligning with professional accumulation behavior.
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No significant volume divergence yet — higher highs still supported by higher volume.
3. Institutional Footprint Recognition
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Order Block visible in late July around 0.700–0.720 (last bearish candle before explosive move). This is a high-probability demand zone for pullback entries.
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Liquidity grab likely occurred near 0.750 where price briefly pierced resistance, trapped early shorts, then continued upward.
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Current upside move is a displacement leg — minimal retracement, strong conviction.
4. Bar Pattern & Price Action
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August breakout candle was wide-range bullish with high volume — strong follow-through next day.
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Today’s bar shows narrow range with upper wick near 0.785 — potential short-term exhaustion signal if not cleared quickly.
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No major reversal formations yet, but watch for engulfing bearish or outside bar patterns on declining volume.
5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence
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Weekly chart likely shows clean breakout from multi-month range, reinforcing bullish bias.
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Daily structure aligns with weekly trend — compression breakout on lower timeframes adds further confluence.
Key Levels & Risk Zones
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Immediate Support: 0.750 (previous resistance now potential support)
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Demand Zone: 0.700–0.720 (order block & consolidation base)
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Resistance: 0.800 psychological level, followed by 0.850 projection (measured move from 0.570–0.750 leg)
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Stop-Loss Zone for Swing Longs: Below 0.700 to avoid getting trapped in a deeper pullback.
Forward-Looking Bias
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Primary Bias: Bullish continuation unless 0.750 decisively breaks on high volume.
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Potential scenario: Short-term consolidation between 0.750–0.800 before another push toward 0.850+.
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Watch for volume behavior — sustained high volume with narrow pullbacks supports trend continuation; sharp volume spike + reversal bar may signal distribution phase.
Trade Summary:
Buying ValueMax because price broke key 0.750 resistance on high volume with strong institutional order flow, with stops at 0.700 targeting 0.850 for ~1:3 R:R.
Confidence: 8/10
Key Levels to Watch: 0.750, 0.720, 0.800, 0.850
Execution Checklist:
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✅ Price holds above 0.750 on closing basis
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✅ Volume expansion on up days, contraction on down days
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✅ No daily close below 0.700
Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.
Dividend: 3.46%
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