Q&M Dental (SGX: QC7) – Daily Chart Analysis (1D) as of August 1, 2025
Analysis Window: October 2024 – August 1, 2025 (~200 bars)
Last Traded Price: 0.390 SGD
🔍 Market Regime Classification:
Transitioning from Uptrend to Distributional Range
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Recent climactic top at 0.455 followed by a broadening retracement on declining volume suggests weakening bullish pressure.
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Current structure presents potential for distribution phase completion or early reversal if support breaks.
✅ Highest Conviction Observations:
1. Trend Structure & Order Flow (Macro to Micro):
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Swing Lows (SL): 0.245 → 0.305 → 0.390 (Potential breakdown developing)
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Swing Highs (SH): 0.305 → 0.455 (major top)
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Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed below 0.400 support zone on today's bar with increasing selling pressure.
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Trend Momentum Decay: Recent candles show overlapping small bodies with lower highs/lows = loss of directional energy.
2. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR):
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Climactic Volume at 0.455 was not sustained – followed by lower highs and declining volume = distribution.
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Last 5 sessions show low-to-moderate volume on selloff, indicating passive distribution rather than panic.
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Absorption Signature observed near 0.425 – heavy volume, tight range → smart money likely selling into strength.
3. Institutional Footprint Evidence:
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Liquidity Grab: False breakout above 0.455 led to swift selloff – classic upthrust action.
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Order Block: Strong demand cluster at 0.305-0.325 zone (May rally origin) may act as potential re-test area.
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Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 0.370 and 0.395 likely to be revisited on continuation move.
4. Bar Pattern & Microstructure:
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Last 5 bars = Lower Highs & Lower Lows with mild volume = controlled markdown.
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No major reversal bar (pin/engulfing) evident yet.
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Today's bar: full-bodied red candle, breaking previous consolidation floor at 0.395 = bearish intent.
5. Multi-Timeframe Bias & Compression Zone:
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Likely compression forming between 0.455 (macro resistance) and 0.370 (mid-term demand).
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Compression wedge resolution may yield a directional expansion move soon – prepare for breakout breakdown.
🎯 Key Price Levels & Trade Planning
| Type | Price Level (SGD) | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| Resistance | 0.455 | Upthrust top – major distributional pivot |
| Supply Zone | 0.425 – 0.440 | Institutional distribution zone |
| Support | 0.370 | FVG + minor shelf from June |
| Demand Zone | 0.305 – 0.325 | Origin of May rally + potential institutional reloading zone |
| Breakdown Trigger | 0.390 | Recent swing low break with follow-through |
| Breakout Trigger | 0.415 | Would negate micro bearish structure |
🛡️ Risk Management Parameters
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Stop Loss (short bias): Above 0.415 (prior swing high / invalidation of breakdown)
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Primary Target: 0.370 (FVG fill / support retest)
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Secondary Target: 0.325 (order block retest zone)
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Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:2.5 (Entry 0.390, SL 0.415, TP 0.325)
🔮 Forward Bias & Key Watch Areas
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Bias: Bearish-to-neutral short-term, pending retest of 0.370 support.
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Watch for volume pickup or reversal bar near 0.370 for any bullish shift.
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If 0.370 fails, next significant structural level = 0.305.
✅ Trade Summary Format
Selling Q&M Dental (QC7) because of confirmed structural breakdown with volume confirmation at 0.390, with stops at 0.415, targeting 0.325 for a risk-reward of ~1:2.5,
Confidence Rating: 7/10
📋 Pre-Execution Checklist
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Is the daily close below 0.390 confirmed?
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Is volume on breakdown stronger than prior consolidation?
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Is the setup aligned with broader market/sector weakness?
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Are catalysts or news due that may invalidate technicals?
Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.
Dividend: 2.31%
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