Tat Seng Pkg - 06 Aug 25

TAT SENG PKG (T12.SI) – Daily Chart Analysis
Exchange: SGX
Chart Timeframe: 1D
Date Range: Oct 2024 – Aug 6, 2025 (~200 bars)
Last Traded Price: 0.930 SGD

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🔍 Current Market Regime: Transitioning from trending to consolidation with volatility expansion

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🔑 High Conviction Observations

1. Macro to Micro Market Structure Assessment

• Trend Evolution:

  • Early Phase: Sideways from Oct '24 to Feb '25 with support at 0.770.

  • Breakout Initiation: Clear shift in Mar '25 when price broke above swing highs at 0.820 and 0.890 – BOS confirmed.

  • Intermediate Structure: Higher lows from 0.730 → 0.820 → 0.885, and higher highs from 0.850 → 0.890 → 0.960 indicate uptrend continuation.

  • Recent CHoCH: Failed follow-through above 0.960, and drop below 0.920 signals possible change of character (CHoCH).

2. Volume-Price Relationship Analysis

• Absorption & Demand Footprint:

  • March–April: Strong volume clusters with narrow-body bars (accumulation zone) around 0.730–0.820 range.

  • May–July: Consistent volume expansion with wide-body directional moves – indicates professional participation.

  • Recent Bars (Aug): Large red candle with high volume at the top (~0.960) followed by decline = potential buying climax and profit-taking.

3. Institutional Activity & Smart Money Concepts

• Liquidity Grab Evidence:

  • The spike to 0.960 cleared prior highs around 0.890 with immediate retracement = classic bull trap and stop raid.

• Fair Value Gap (FVG):

  • Imbalance zone identified between 0.890 – 0.920 following strong displacement move in July. Price may revisit this demand area for testing.

• Order Block Identification:

  • Last significant bullish candle before breakout from 0.850 base now acts as bullish order block support.

4. Bar Pattern Recognition & Contextual Candlestick Behavior

• Aug 5–6: Two-bar reversal setup:

  • Strong bearish engulfing after a doji-like hesitation near 0.950 indicates supply rejection.

  • Follow-up green bar on Aug 6 shows recovery but lacks range – signals indecision after aggressive selling.

• High-Volume Bearish Bar (Aug 1): Long upper wick + high volume = buying climax / possible upthrust action.

5. Psychological Levels & Risk Zones

• Key Psychological Round Numbers:

  • 0.900 (support/resistance pivot) – price has oscillated around this zone multiple times.

  • 1.000 – major round number and potential magnet zone if 0.960 is broken with strength.

• Swing Support Zones:

  • 0.885 → 0.850 → 0.820 – key downside zones with evidence of prior demand and volume defense.

• ATR Consideration:

  • Current daily ranges have expanded significantly, signaling volatility spike – potential for wide price swings, increasing both risk and reward potential.

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📊 Key Price Levels & Execution Zones

Type	Price Level (SGD)	Rationale
Resistance Zone	0.950 – 0.960	Liquidity grab, previous top, supply rejections
Pivot Zone	0.900 – 0.920	Battle zone between bulls and bears
Support Cluster	0.885 – 0.850	Prior consolidation and volume accumulation
Institutional Demand	0.820	Order block and BOS origin zone

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⚠️ Risk Management Framework

• Stop Loss Zone: Below 0.850 (below last accumulation zone and key order block)

• Profit Target Zone 1: 0.960 retest

• Profit Target Zone 2: 1.000 psychological magnet if momentum resumes

• Risk-Reward Estimate: ~1:2.5 if entry near 0.900 with stop at 0.850 and target at 0.960+

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🔮 Forward Bias & Key Levels to Watch

• Bias: Neutral-to-Bullish with caution – strong uptrend may be pausing or transitioning.

• Trigger Levels:

  • Bullish Continuation: Break and close above 0.960 with volume > average

  • Bearish Shift: Close below 0.850 with wide range and above-average volume

• Catalyst Watch: Seek recent earnings/corporate news that may explain spike to 0.960 and assess sustainability (pending catalyst research recommended).

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📝 Trade Summary Sentence

Buying TAT SENG PKG (T12.SI) because of prior institutional accumulation and recent high-volume pullback into support with stops at 0.850 targeting 0.960 for 1:2.5 R:R, confidence rating: 7/10.

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✅ Execution Checklist

• Price confirmation above 0.920 with increasing volume

• Entry near 0.900 with tight risk below 0.850

• No major bearish catalysts pending

• Monitor higher timeframe structure (weekly) for alignment

• Use partial profit at 0.950 to de-risk

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

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