Thursday, August 28, 2025

Tai Sin Electric - 28 Aug 2025

Tai Sin Electric Limited (SGX: 500) on the daily timeframe (Nov 2024 – Aug 2025)


🔎 Chart Setup & Context

  • Stock Name & Ticker Symbol: Tai Sin Electric Limited (SGX: 500)

  • Chart Timeframe & Date Range: Daily, Nov 2024 – Aug 28, 2025

  • Bars in Analysis Period: ~190 trading days

  • Last Traded Price: 0.520 SGD


1. Market Structure & Order Flow Analysis

  • Trend Structure:

    • Long consolidation phase (Nov–Jun) between 0.385–0.410 with repeated rejections.

    • Break of Structure (BOS): July breakout above 0.410–0.430 initiated a strong uptrend.

    • New swing highs: 0.430 → 0.410 → 0.575 (Aug).

    • Change of Character (CHoCH): Post-0.575 peak, failure to make higher highs, retracement back to 0.505–0.520 zone.

  • Momentum Decay:

    • Early July–Aug rally had wide impulse bars with expanding volume (strong institutional participation).

    • Post-0.575, price shows smaller-bodied candles with overlapping ranges → loss of momentum.


2. Advanced Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

  • Accumulation Phase: Nov–Jun → low volatility, steady volume, absorption signs around 0.385–0.410.

  • Breakout Confirmation: July surge → volume expansion with wide-range candles (professional buying).

  • Climactic Action: At 0.575 top → high volume + rejection wick → possible profit-taking.

  • Current Phase: Declining volume on pullback → suggests no aggressive selling yet, potential consolidation.


3. Institutional Footprint Recognition

  • Liquidity Grab: Sharp push above 0.575 likely triggered retail breakout buys → immediately reversed.

  • Order Blocks:

    • Demand zone: 0.500–0.505 (last bearish candle before breakout run).

    • Supply zone: 0.560–0.575 (distribution zone).

  • Fair Value Gaps (FVG): 0.470–0.490 gap from fast rally may act as magnet if weakness persists.


4. Bar Pattern Recognition

  • Reversal Bar: 0.575 top formed shooting star-like rejection with strong volume → exhaustion.

  • Continuation Bars: July rally contained multiple wide-bodied trend bars confirming displacement.

  • Recent Action: Current candles show lower wicks near 0.505–0.520 = demand defense.


5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

  • Weekly Chart Context (higher timeframe bias): Breakout from multi-month base (0.385–0.410) → bullish long-term bias.

  • Daily Chart: Now in pullback/retracement phase, testing prior breakout structure at 0.505–0.520.

  • Confluence zone = 0.505–0.520 demand + psychological 0.500.


6. Psychological Level Integration

  • Key Round Numbers:

    • 0.500 → major psychological support.

    • 0.600 (unreached) → potential upside magnet.

  • Previous Highs: 0.575 = strong resistance.

  • ATR Context: Recent moves expanded ATR from ~0.01 to ~0.03, indicating volatility surge.


7. Risk-Adjusted Setup Identification

  • Bullish Scenario: Hold above 0.505–0.520 demand → potential retest of 0.560–0.575.

  • Bearish Scenario: Break below 0.500 → opens gap-fill toward 0.470–0.490.

  • Risk-Reward Map:

    • Long near 0.505 with stops 0.495, target 0.575 → ~1:3 R/R.

    • Short only valid if decisive breakdown below 0.495 on volume expansion.


8. Market Regime Classification

  • Nov–Jun: Ranging regime (accumulation).

  • Jul–early Aug: Trending regime (strong displacement).

  • Late Aug: Transition regime (pullback/consolidation).


9. Institutional Supply/Demand

  • Demand Imbalance: 0.505–0.520 defended repeatedly.

  • Supply Imbalance: 0.560–0.575 cluster = distribution zone.

  • Effort vs. Result: High effort near 0.575 with no upside result = institutional selling footprint.


10. Comprehensive Market Context

  • Sector correlation check required vs. SGX industrial/electrical peers → relative strength analysis.

  • Stock appears to be in sector rotation accumulation breakout → institutions showing interest.


✅ Trade Summary

Buying Tai Sin Electric Limited (SGX:500) because price is defending institutional demand at 0.505–0.520 after a breakout from multi-month accumulation, with stops at 0.495 targeting 0.575 for ~1:3 R/R.

  • Confidence Rating: 7.5/10

  • Key Levels to Watch:

    • Support: 0.505–0.520, then 0.495, 0.470.

    • Resistance: 0.560–0.575, then 0.600.


📌 Checklist Before Execution:

  • Confirm higher timeframe support alignment.

  • Watch intraday volume behavior near 0.505–0.520.

  • Validate no negative company catalyst undermines technical structure.


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:  4.62%





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