Money Max Fin - 15 Aug 2025

Stock: MoneyMax Financial Services Ltd (5WJ.SI)
Exchange: SGX
Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Date Range: Aug 2024 – Aug 2025 (~12 months, ~240 bars)
Last Traded Price: SGD 0.660 (15 Aug 2025, -5.04%)

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1. Market Structure & Order Flow

• Trend Structure:
  • Long consolidation phase (0.295–0.350) from Nov 2024 – Feb 2025.
  • Break of structure (BOS) in Mar 2025 above 0.430, confirming trend transition to bullish regime.
  • Series of higher swing lows (0.310 → 0.380 → 0.435 → 0.625) and higher swing highs (0.430 → 0.575 → 0.670).
  • Current structure still bullish but showing short-term momentum decay after rejection at 0.700.

• CHoCH: First signs of possible short-term reversal with strong rejection candle (15 Aug 2025) closing at 0.660 (-5.04%).

• Momentum: Uptrend has been strong with shallow pullbacks, but recent overlapping bars near 0.670–0.700 suggest supply emergence.

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2. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

• Volume Signature:
  • Breakout rallies (Mar, Jun, Jul 2025) accompanied by volume expansion → institutional buying footprints.
  • Latest surge to 0.670 showed increasing volume but shorter bar ranges → absorption, possible distribution phase.
  • 15 Aug bar: Climactic volume with wide range down = profit-taking or institutional unloading.

• Volume Divergence: New high (0.670) was made with slightly weaker follow-through vs. prior breakout → momentum exhaustion.

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3. Institutional Footprint Recognition

• Liquidity Grab: Likely above 0.670 where late buyers entered, then reversal trapped them.

• Order Block: 0.575–0.600 remains a key bullish order block zone (last consolidation before strong rally).

• Fair Value Gap (FVG): Large gap-like displacement move from 0.435 to 0.575 may be revisited.

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4. Bar Pattern Recognition

• 15 Aug 2025 Bar: Wide red candle with strong close near low → bearish engulfing reversal relative to prior bars.

• Preceding candles (12–14 Aug): Tight consolidation near highs, forming a mini upthrust before breakdown.

• Earlier breakout (Jun–Jul): Classic bullish flag continuation, confirming institutional participation.

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5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

• Daily Bias: Short-term correction inside broader bullish trend.

• Weekly Structure: Still bullish as long as 0.575 support holds.

• Confluent Zone: 0.575–0.600 = multi-timeframe demand area.

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6. Psychological Levels

• 0.700: Round-number rejection, strong resistance.

• 0.500: Former breakout zone, now psychological mid-level support.

• 0.600: Key pivot where buyers/sellers will decide next trend leg.

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7. Risk-Adjusted Setup Identification

• High-Probability Zone: 0.575–0.600 (potential demand re-entry).

• Initial Stop Placement: Below 0.575 (structural invalidation).

• Profit Targets:
  • Conservative: 0.670 retest
  • Aggressive: 0.750 measured move projection

• Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:3 if entry near 0.600, stop at 0.570, target 0.670.

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8. Market Regime Classification

• Primary Regime: Trending bullish (since Mar 2025).

• Current Phase: Transition into short-term corrective regime after exhaustion.

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9. Institutional Supply/Demand

• Supply Zone: 0.670–0.700 (distribution, retail trapped).

• Demand Zone: 0.575–0.600 (institutional accumulation evidence).

• Effort vs. Result: High effort (volume) with limited upside at 0.670 → absorption → distribution signal.

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Forward Bias & Key Levels

• Bullish Bias remains intact long-term while above 0.575.

• Expect short-term correction into demand zone before potential resumption.

• Key Levels:
  • Resistance: 0.670 / 0.700
  • Support: 0.600 / 0.575 (critical structural level)
  • Deep support: 0.500

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Trade Summary

Buying MoneyMax (5WJ.SI) because institutional absorption zone sits at 0.575–0.600 with stops below 0.570, targeting 0.670 for ~1:3 RRR.
Confidence Rating: 7/10

📌 Execution Checklist Before Trade:

• Confirm demand test at 0.600 with volume dry-up.

• Watch for rejection wick or bullish engulfing candle at support.

• Ensure broader SGX market sentiment aligns with bullish bias.

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

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