Thursday, August 07, 2025

HRNetGroup - 07 Aug 25

 HRNETGROUP (CHZ.SI) – SGX – Daily Chart Analysis (Nov 2024–Aug 7, 2025)
Chart Timeframe: Daily
Bars Analyzed: ~180
Last Traded Price: 0.705 SGD
Regime Classification: Transitioning from Accumulation to Emerging Uptrend


🔍 Top Technical Observations

1. Market Structure & Order Flow

  • Swing Lows: 0.670 (Feb & May), 0.650 (Jun), 0.655 (Jul) – consistent demand absorption around this base.

  • Swing Highs: 0.700 (Dec, Apr, Jul), 0.715 (Apr) – significant supply zone repeatedly tested.

  • Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed in late July → price closed decisively above 0.700 psychological resistance.

  • Microstructure: Multiple higher lows since mid-June, clean upward staircase → suggests emerging bullish structure.

2. Volume-Price Relationship

  • Volume Expansion on Rally: Notably increasing from mid-June to early July, aligning with price lift-off from 0.655 → institutional activity confirmation.

  • Volume Contraction at Resistance: Tight bars with low volume in recent sessions near 0.705–0.710 → classic volume dry-up pre-breakout behavior.

  • Absorption: Seen during early consolidation at 0.700 in Dec/Apr → institutional buyers absorbing supply before marked-up move.

3. Institutional Footprint Recognition

  • Order Block: 0.650–0.670 zone from mid-June shows repeated rejections and accumulation behavior → potential smart money entry base.

  • Liquidity Grab: Sharp drop to 0.650 in June followed by V-shaped reversal → spring-type action targeting weak retail stops.

  • Fair Value Gap (FVG): Area between 0.685–0.695 from early July may act as magnet on pullbacks.

4. Bar Pattern Recognition

  • Recent Tight Range Cluster: Last 5 bars showing small-bodied candles with declining volume just beneath 0.710 → coiling behavior, possible inside bar complex.

  • No Bearish Rejection: Despite hitting resistance, bears have failed to push price down → strength concealed in consolidation.

  • Volume Spike Confirmation: Watch for breakout > 0.710 on above-average volume for institutional breakout confirmation.

5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

  • Weekly Context: This daily bullish structure emerges after a long weekly base (6+ months) → multi-timeframe breakout aligning.

  • Key Confluence Zone: 0.700 – serves as historical S/R + psychological level + BOS zone → strong pivot for continuation or failure.


🧠 Institutional Behavior Assessment

  • Accumulation Detected: Clear accumulation footprint around 0.650–0.670 with progressive higher lows, absorption candles, and spring-type traps.

  • Lack of Retail Momentum: Absence of chase volume at highs implies smart money may still be building positions → potential re-accumulation at current range.


🧭 Risk-Adjusted Setup Identification

ParameterValue
Entry ZoneBreakout > 0.710 (daily close confirmation)
Stop-Loss PlacementBelow 0.690 (under recent swing low)
Initial Target0.740 (measured move from base breakout)
Extended Target0.765 (April high projection + momentum extension)
RRRApprox. 1:2.5 to 1:3.3 depending on target
Position Sizing Zone0.700–0.705 (tight invalidation point)

✅ Key Levels & Execution Notes

  • Support: 0.700 (pivot), 0.690 (swing low), 0.670 (long-term demand)

  • Resistance: 0.710 (minor), 0.740 (projected), 0.765 (major)

  • ATR Zone (Daily): 0.010–0.015 → any breakout should exceed this range for validity.


📌 Trade Summary

Buying HRNETGROUP (SGX: CHZ) because price is consolidating beneath resistance after a breakout structure with absorption and volume dry-up, with stops at 0.690 targeting 0.740 for a 1:2.5 risk-reward ratio.

  • Confidence Rating: 7.5/10

  • Bias: Bullish continuation above 0.710

  • Key Trigger: Breakout with volume above 0.710

  • Market Context: Emerging from re-accumulation base with compression pattern → potential expansion phase imminent.


✅ Pre-Execution Checklist

  • Wait for daily close > 0.710 on expanding volume

  • Confirm no sudden news catalysts disrupting technical thesis

  • Validate broader sector/market strength (SGX midcaps)

  • Align position size with R-multiple and risk profile


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   5.67%



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