UOL - 22 Aug 25

Technical Analysis of UOL (SGX: U14) – Daily Chart – January 2025 to August 22, 2025.

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Chart Setup & Context

• Stock Name & Ticker: UOL Group Limited (SGX: U14)

• Chart Timeframe: Daily, Jan 2025 – Aug 22, 2025

• Number of Bars Analyzed: ~165 daily bars

• Last Traded Price: SGD 7.36

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1. Market Structure & Order Flow

• Trend Structure:

  • Clear uptrend regime with consistent higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).

  • Swing lows: 5.35 (Apr), 5.61 (May), 5.65 (Jun), 5.84 (Jul).

  • Swing highs: 5.94 (Apr), 6.19 (Jun), 7.35–7.50 (Aug).

  • Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed in June when price broke above 6.00 consolidation → transition to trending regime.

• Momentum: Strengthening through July-Aug with larger bullish bars and less overlap → trend continuation.

• Order Flow: Recent wide-range expansion bars on high volume show institutional participation pushing into new territory above 7.00.

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2. Volume–Price Relationship (VPR)

• Absorption:

  • Between May–Jun, repeated tests around 5.60–5.80 on low volatility + stable volume → accumulation phase.

• Climactic Action:

  • Late Jul – early Aug: very high volume on breakout above 7.00 → possible professional breakout.

• Volume Divergence:

  • Current move above 7.30–7.50 shows slightly declining volume → potential early exhaustion if not sustained.

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3. Institutional Footprints

• Liquidity Grab:

  • Quick dip to 5.35 in Apr flushed weak hands → followed by immediate recovery.

• Order Blocks:

  • Last bearish bar before July breakout (~6.70) → strong demand zone.

• Displacement Moves:

  • Breakout leg from 6.20 to 7.20 was sharp with minimal retracement, showing institutional demand.

• Fair Value Gaps (FVG):

  • Between 6.80–7.00 → may get retested if trend weakens.

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4. Bar Pattern Recognition

• Continuation Bars:

  • Several inside-bar clusters in May and June → energy build-ups before breakouts.

• Reversal Bars:

  • Aug 19–20 showed long upper wick (shooting star type) on high volume at 7.50 → short-term rejection.

• Engulfing:

  • July breakouts confirmed by bullish engulfing bars with strong volume.

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5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

• Higher Timeframe Bias (Weekly):

  • Strong bullish structure, reclaiming multi-year highs.

• Daily & Weekly Alignment: Both timeframes confirm trending regime.

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6. Psychological Levels

• Round Numbers:

  • 7.00 acted as breakout level, now potential support.

  • 7.50 psychological resistance tested, not yet cleared.

• ATR Context:

  • Daily range expansion has increased post-breakout; current ATR ~0.15–0.20.

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7. Risk-Adjusted Setup Zones

• Key Demand Zone: 6.80–7.00 (prior breakout base, order block).

• Resistance Zone: 7.50–7.60 (tested with rejection).

• High-Probability Setup: Buy pullbacks into 7.00 with stops below 6.80, targeting 7.60+.

• Risk–Reward Estimate: ~1:3 if entered near 7.00 with target 7.60.

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8. Market Regime Classification

• Current Regime: Trending (Bullish) – strong higher highs, shallow pullbacks, volume expansion on breakouts.

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9. Institutional Supply/Demand Zones

• Demand: 6.70–7.00 (absorbed supply + breakout level).

• Supply: 7.50–7.60 (short-term profit-taking zone).

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10. Recent Company Catalyst Analysis

• Earnings Marked (E):

  • March and August earnings releases aligned with increased volume and directional price moves → institutions reacting.

• Catalyst Behavior:

  • August spike in volume likely linked to earnings → bullish continuation unless rejection at 7.50 holds.

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Forward-Looking Bias & Levels

• Primary Bias: Bullish, but stretched into resistance.

• Key Levels to Watch:

  • Support: 7.00 / 6.80

  • Resistance: 7.50 / 7.80

• Scenario:

  • Break above 7.50 with volume → next leg higher.

  • Failure at 7.50 → pullback toward 7.00 demand zone.

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📌 Trade Summary

Buying UOL (SGX: U14) because of strong institutional breakout above 7.00 with trend continuation, with stops at 6.80 targeting 7.60–7.80 for a 1:3 risk-reward ratio.
Confidence Rating: 7.5 / 10

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✅ Trader’s Execution Checklist Before Entering:

• Confirm volume expansion on breakout of 7.50.

• Define stop-loss below structural demand (6.80).

• Ensure proper risk sizing (max 1–2% portfolio risk).

• Watch for rejection candles near 7.50.

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

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