KIMLY (SGX: 1D)
Date Range Observed: Aug 2024 – Aug 8, 2025
Bars in Period: ~245 trading sessions
Last Traded Price: 0.365 SGD
1. Market Regime Classification
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Current Regime: Transitioning from extended range-bound accumulation into early uptrend, followed by short-term pullback.
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Price spent ~11 months oscillating between 0.300–0.335, forming a long accumulation base before a sharp breakout in late July 2025.
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Post-breakout, current structure shows two consecutive small-bodied red bars on decreasing volume, suggesting early consolidation rather than full reversal.
2. Market Structure & Order Flow
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Swing Lows (SL): 0.300 (Apr 2025), 0.315 (May 2025), 0.320 (Jul 2025).
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Swing Highs (SH): 0.335 (Feb 2025), 0.370 (Aug 2025 intraday high), 0.380 (recent peak).
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Break of Structure (BOS): Occurred late July 2025 when price closed above 0.335 with strong range and volume.
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Change of Character (CHoCH): None yet confirmed; current pullback remains above prior resistance (0.350–0.355), keeping bullish bias intact.
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Momentum: Strong displacement candle on breakout followed by smaller overlapping bars—momentum cooling.
3. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)
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Pre-Breakout Volume Dry-Up: Noticeable volume contraction in June–early July before explosive breakout, typical of institutional accumulation.
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Breakout Volume Spike: Wide-range bullish bars with highest daily volumes of the year—clear institutional participation.
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Current Pullback Volume: Lower than breakout levels, suggesting lack of aggressive selling pressure (healthy retracement).
4. Institutional Footprints
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Liquidity Grab: Minor shakeout near 0.320 before launch higher, triggering stops of early longs.
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Order Block: 0.330–0.335 zone marks last consolidation before explosive move—likely to act as strong demand.
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Fair Value Gap (FVG): Between ~0.340–0.350 remains unfilled; potential magnet if deeper retracement occurs.
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Displacement Move: Breakout leg from 0.330 to 0.370+ with minimal intraday retracement.
5. Bar Pattern Recognition
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Breakout Bar: Wide green body closing near highs on peak volume—classic professional expansion.
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Pullback Bars: Small-bodied red candles (narrow ranges), closing mid-to-lower range, with decreasing volume—suggestive of controlled pullback, not panic.
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No bearish engulfing or high-volume reversal bar yet.
6. Multi-Timeframe Confluence
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Higher Timeframe (Weekly): Clean breakout from a year-long base; weekly structure bullish unless price closes below 0.335.
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Daily: Still above structural support at 0.350, aligning with weekly bullish bias.
7. Psychological & Key Levels
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Resistance: 0.380 (recent high), 0.400 (psychological round number).
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Support: 0.355 (prior resistance turned support), 0.335 (order block demand zone).
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ATR Consideration: Current ATR expansion suggests volatility phase; pullbacks can be deeper but still trend intact above 0.335.
8. Risk-Adjusted Setup Zones
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Long Entry Zone: 0.350–0.355 (if tested with volume absorption).
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Stop Placement: Below 0.335 (invalidates breakout structure).
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Primary Target: 0.400 psychological resistance.
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Risk-Reward Potential: ~1:3 if entry near 0.355 and target 0.400.
9. Forward-Looking Bias
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Breakout remains intact; pullback is healthy and low-volume.
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Watch for bullish reversal bar near 0.355–0.360 to confirm institutional defense of breakout zone.
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A daily close above 0.370 would signal continuation attempt toward 0.400.
Trade Summary: Buying KIMLY because price is in post-breakout pullback with low-volume retracement, institutional demand likely defending 0.350–0.355 zone, with stops at 0.335 targeting 0.400 for ~1:3 R/R.
Confidence Rating: 7.5/10
Key Levels:
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Support: 0.355 / 0.335
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Resistance: 0.370 / 0.380 / 0.400
Execution Checklist Before Trade:
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✅ Confirm bullish reversal bar at/near 0.355
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✅ Volume must contract further on pullback and expand on up-move
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✅ Higher timeframe (weekly) must maintain bullish candle closes
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✅ Risk size to withstand possible retest of 0.335
Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.
Dividend: 5.48
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