CSE Global - 01 Sep 25

• Stock Name & Ticker: CSE Global Limited (SGX:544)

• Timeframe: Daily (1D)

• Date Range: Jan 2025 – Sep 1, 2025

• Bars in Period: ~180

• Last Traded Price: SGD 0.695

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1. Market Structure & Order Flow

• Macro Trend: Strong uptrend since May 2025 (0.375 low → 0.710 high).

• Swing Highs (SH): 0.470 (Mar), 0.465 (Apr), 0.455 (May), 0.710 (Aug).

• Swing Lows (SL): 0.400 (Jan), 0.375 (May), 0.415 (Jun), 0.620 (Aug).

• BOS (Break of Structure): Occurred mid-June when price broke above 0.455 consolidation ceiling → confirmed bullish shift.

• CHoCH: No confirmed bearish CHoCH yet; 0.620 remains the critical structural higher low.

• Momentum:

  • June–July: Strong impulsive legs (wide range bullish bars, high volume).

  • Aug–Sep: Momentum slowing (shorter candles, overlapping price action).

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2. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

• High Volume + Wide Range: Seen in June during breakout above 0.455 → institutional accumulation.

• Absorption Signs: Aug pullbacks (0.62 support) showed elevated volume but limited downside, suggesting demand absorption.

• Volume Divergence: Recent new high at 0.710 lacked proportional volume → possible exhaustion or distribution beginning.

• Clusters: Heavy volume near 0.62–0.68 zone → key demand zone (order flow support).

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3. Institutional Footprint Recognition

• Liquidity Grab: May’s breakdown to 0.375 flushed weak longs before strong V-shape reversal. Classic spring pattern.

• Order Blocks: Bullish order block around 0.415–0.455 (base of breakout).

• Displacement Move: Mid-June breakout candle was wide with strong follow-through → institutional signature.

• Fair Value Gap (FVG): Between 0.52–0.56 (likely to be retested if momentum weakens).

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4. Bar Pattern Recognition

• Reversal Bars: Several pin-bar rejections near 0.620 (buyers defending).

• Continuation Bars: July had multiple stacked green closes with volume → trend confirmation.

• Indecision: Aug–Sep candles mostly spinning tops and doji-type, showing distribution/transition phase.

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5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

• Weekly Trend: Strong bullish impulse (multi-month breakout).

• Daily Trend: Currently consolidating between 0.620–0.710 (range).

• Compression: If price breaks 0.710 with volume → continuation likely. Break below 0.620 = trend reversal.

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6. Psychological Levels

• 0.700: Key psychological round number, acting as short-term resistance.

• 0.600: Next major psychological support.

• ATR Context: Current daily ATR ~0.015–0.02 → expect swing ranges of 2–3 cents.

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7. Risk-Adjusted Setup Identification

• Bullish Scenario: Long entry above 0.710 breakout with volume → targeting 0.760–0.780 (measured move).

• Bearish Scenario: Breakdown below 0.620 → retest of 0.560 then 0.520 (gap-fill zone).

• R/R Zones:

  • Bullish R/R: Long above 0.710 with SL at 0.680 (risk 0.03, reward 0.07 → ~1:2.3).

  • Bearish R/R: Short below 0.620 with SL at 0.650 (risk 0.03, reward 0.10 → ~1:3.3).

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8. Market Regime Classification

• Regime: Transitioning from trending (June–July) to ranging (Aug–Sep).

• Distribution Signs: Volume divergence, overlapping candles, resistance rejection at 0.710.

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9. Institutional Supply/Demand

• Demand Zone: 0.62–0.65 (absorptive buying).

• Supply Zone: 0.70–0.71 (institutional sellers defending).

• Effort vs. Result: Recent volume increase with limited upside suggests supply entering

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🎯 Forward-Looking Bias

• Price is coiling between 0.620–0.710. A decisive break with volume will determine the next leg.

• Institutional footprints suggest accumulation around 0.62 but distribution near 0.71.

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✅ Trade Summary

• Setup: [Buying CSE Global] because of [structural uptrend with strong demand absorption at 0.62 and potential breakout above 0.71] with stops at [0.680] targeting [0.760] for [~1:2.3 R/R].

• Confidence Rating: 7/10

• Key Levels to Watch: Support 0.620, Resistance 0.710, Breakout target 0.760.

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📌 Reminder Checklist Before Execution

• Confirm breakout volume > 20% above 10-day average.

• Ensure clean close above 0.710 (not just intraday wick).

• Place stops beyond structural levels (not arbitrary).

• Respect max risk per trade allocation.

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

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