Stock: Venture Corporation Limited (V03, SGX)
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Timeframe: Daily (approx. 9 months, Jan–Sep 2025)
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Bars in analysis period: ~180 trading days
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Last traded price: SGD 14.03
2. Market Structure & Order Flow Analysis
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Trend Structure:
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Swing Low (SL): 10.17 (Apr 2025) – major pivot low
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Higher Lows (HL): 10.92 (Jun), 11.05 (Jul), 13.01 (Sep)
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Swing Highs (SH): 13.10 (Feb), 13.05 (Mar), 12.78 (Apr), 14.03 (Sep high, new breakout)
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BOS: Clear break above 13.10–13.05 supply zone in Aug → confirms bullish structural shift
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Momentum: Strong trending with shallow pullbacks, indicative of institutional flow
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Institutional vs. Retail Behavior:
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Absorption visible around 12.50–13.00 zone (tight price action + volume clusters in Aug before breakout)
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Shake-out in Apr–May with false breakdown below 11.00 → reversed quickly with institutional absorption
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3. Advanced Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)
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High volume + small range (absorption): Repeated around 12.80–13.20, confirming strong hands defending breakout base
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Volume Expansion: Aug breakout above 12.50 had strong volume follow-through → institutional confirmation
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Volume Divergence: Recent highs forming with slightly lower relative volume → possible short-term exhaustion ahead
4. Institutional Footprint Recognition
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Liquidity Grab: April sell-off to 10.17 was a liquidity sweep → flushed weak longs, re-accumulation followed
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Order Block: Bullish order block at 12.50–12.80 (last consolidation before impulsive rally)
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Displacement Moves: Aug–Sep rally = clean displacement, shallow retracements → institutional control
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Fair Value Gap (FVG): 12.80–13.20 gap zone remains untested → possible revisit if profit-taking triggers
5. Bar Pattern Recognition
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Continuation: Multiple inside bar complexes during Aug rally = energy build-up before breakouts
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Reversal Bars: April–May sell climax had hammer-type bars with huge volume → reversal confirmed
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Current zone: Sep candles = strong-bodied breakouts, no exhaustion wicks → trend continuation still intact
6. Multi-Timeframe Confluence
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Weekly: Strong bullish engulfing from July–Aug, breaking 6-month range → higher timeframe bias bullish
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Daily: Clear trend alignment with weekly → momentum intact
7. Psychological Levels
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Round levels:
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14.00 just breached → potential psychological resistance turned support
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15.00 = next institutional magnet level
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ATR expansion: Current candles wider than prior months → volatility increasing in favor of trend continuation
8. Market Regime Classification
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Trending regime
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Higher highs, higher lows
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Strong follow-through on breakouts
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Pullbacks remain shallow (23–38% retracements)
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9. Institutional Supply/Demand Analysis
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Demand zones:
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12.50–13.00 (absorption & order block)
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11.00–11.20 (liquidity sweep reversal base)
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Supply zones:
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Thin until 15.00 → major psychological supply overhead
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10. Forward Bias & Execution Plan
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Bias: Bullish continuation until signs of exhaustion (divergence or failed retest)
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Key Levels:
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Support: 13.00, 12.50
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Resistance: 14.50, 15.00
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Risk line: Below 12.80 (order block zone)
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11. Trade Summary
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Setup: Buying V03 because of bullish BOS above 13.10 with institutional absorption at 12.50–13.00, confirmed by volume expansion.
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Stops: Below 12.80
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Targets: 15.00 (1st), 16.20 (2nd measured move)
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Risk-Reward: ~1:3
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Confidence Rating: 8/10
📌 Pre-trade checklist:
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Wait for retest of 13.80–14.00 breakout zone or continuation pattern confirmation
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Confirm volume expansion on next leg up
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Avoid entry on extended daily candles (chasing risk)
✅ Final View: Buying V03 because of structural breakout and institutional absorption at 12.80–13.00, with stops at 12.80 targeting 15.00 for 1:3 R:R.
Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.
Dividend: 5.35%
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