ISEC - 22 Sep 2025

• Stock: ISEC Healthcare Ltd (Ticker: 40T.SI, SGX)

• Timeframe: Daily (Apr 2025 – Sep 2025)

• Bars Analyzed: ~120 daily candles

• Last Traded Price: 0.345 SGD (Sep 22, 2025)

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1. Market Structure & Order Flow

• Trend Classification:

  • Major structure: Ranging / Sideways (0.315–0.380 zone dominant).

  • Long-term high: 0.475 (May 2025) → progressively lower highs (0.460, 0.450, 0.425, 0.380, 0.370).

  • Lows: 0.350 → 0.325 → 0.315 → 0.250 (capitulation), then mild recovery.

• Break of Structure (BOS):

  • June: break below 0.350 confirmed bearish shift.

  • August: BOS at 0.315 → 0.250 (selling climax).

• Change of Character (CHoCH):

  • Recovery above 0.335 in Sep, stabilizing around 0.345 (potential bottoming).

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2. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

• Capitulation Spike: 0.250 low came with extreme volume → likely retail panic + institutional absorption.

• Absorption Zones:

  • 0.315–0.335 → multiple re-tests with supportive volume.

• Volume Divergence:

  • Price stabilized (0.335–0.370) but volume steadily declined → lack of conviction.

• Climactic Activity: Wide bar drop to 0.290 (July) then sharp rebound → institutional shakeout.

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3. Institutional Footprints

• Liquidity Grab: The 0.250 low was a stop-run beneath the obvious 0.315–0.325 support.

• Order Block Zone: The last bearish candle before rebound (around 0.315–0.325) → potential institutional demand block.

• Fair Value Gap (FVG): Exists between 0.335–0.350 (thin liquidity, repeated fills).

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4. Bar Pattern Recognition

• Reversal Bars:

  • Strong rejection wick at 0.250 with immediate rebound → classic Spring action (Wyckoff Accumulation Phase C).

• Continuation Bars:

  • Inside-bar clusters around 0.335–0.345 → coiling energy.

• Indecision: Spinning tops around 0.365–0.370 show supply still overhead.

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5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

• Weekly timeframe bias: Still range-to-downtrend, but daily attempting base-building.

• Confluence: 0.315–0.325 zone has strong overlap across multiple timeframes → key demand area.

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6. Psychological & Key Levels

• Round number magnet: 0.350 acting as pivot.

• Key Resistance: 0.370, 0.380, 0.425.

• Key Support: 0.335, 0.315, major floor 0.250.

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7. Market Regime

• Classification: Transition from bearish trend → early accumulation/range regime.

• Characteristics: Volatility compressing, volume drying, range-bound structure.

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8. Institutional Supply/Demand Zones

• Demand (Support): 0.315–0.325 (strong absorption), 0.250 (capitulation base).

• Supply (Resistance): 0.370–0.380 cluster, 0.425 order block.

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📌 Forward-Looking Bias

• Bullish case: Holding above 0.335–0.345 could trigger a short-covering rally toward 0.370–0.380.

• Bearish case: Failure at 0.345 → retest 0.315; break below reopens 0.250 liquidity zone.

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🎯 Trade Summary

• Setup: Range accumulation with institutional absorption signs.

• Buying ISEC Healthcare Ltd at 0.345 because of absorption at 0.315–0.325 and Spring action at 0.250, with stops at 0.315, targeting 0.370–0.380 for ~1:2.5 R/R.

• Confidence Rating: 6.5 / 10

Key Levels to Watch:

• Support: 0.335 / 0.315 / 0.250

• Resistance: 0.370 / 0.380 / 0.425

✅ Checklist Before Execution:

• Confirm volume expansion on breakout >0.370

• Validate higher lows >0.335

• Monitor SGX healthcare sector rotation

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

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