Tai Sin Electric - 05 Sep 2025

Stock: Tai Sin Electric Limited (SGX: 500)
Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Date Range Covered: Aug 2024 – Sep 6, 2025
Bars Analyzed: ~290 bars
Last Traded Price: SGD 0.520

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⚙️ 1. Market Regime Classification

• Current Regime: Transitioning from Uptrend to Potential Distribution

• Evidence: Recent lower highs after a parabolic run into 0.575 followed by volatile shakeouts and a test of prior breakout zones.

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📈 2. Market Structure & Order Flow

• Primary Trend: Uptrend since June 2025 (break above 0.405 range highs).

• Key Swing Highs (SH):

  • 0.430 (Feb 2025),

  • 0.575 (Aug 2025 – current top)

• Key Swing Lows (SL):

  • 0.385 (Apr 2025),

  • 0.405 (Jul 2025 breakout level),

  • 0.500 (short-term support retest)

• Break of Structure (BOS):

  • Price broke below short-term HL at ~0.530 after peak at 0.575 → sign of weakening structure

• Change of Character (CHoCH):

  • Failed to make new high above 0.575; recent swing low broke through 0.520, indicating transition from markup to distribution.

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📊 3. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

• Climactic Volume Bar (Sep 5, 2025):

  • Extremely high volume with wide-range down bar closing near the low → potential selling climax or institutional shakeout.

• Subsequent Bar (Sep 6):

  • Bullish bar with absorption characteristics (small body, elevated volume) → potential test of supply.

• Volume Divergence:

  • As price hit 0.575, volume did not increase proportionately → suggests buyer exhaustion.

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🧠 4. Institutional Footprint Recognition

• Shakeout Signal:

  • The sharp move down to ~0.500 on extreme volume likely flushed late buyers (retail) → followed by potential smart money absorption.

• Order Block (OB):

  • Bullish OB forming around 0.500 - 0.505 → strong reaction zone and possible demand re-entry.

• Fair Value Gap (FVG):

  • Gap between 0.500 - 0.520 created by violent sell-off and absorption → likely to be retested and filled.

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📉 5. Bar Pattern & Structure

• Bearish Outside Bar (Sep 5):

  • Followed by a smaller range bullish bar (Sep 6) → Possible reversal if follow-through confirms.

• Current Setup:

  • Potential Spring formation if 0.500 holds and leads to markup.

  • Watch for bullish engulfing or breakout bar above 0.530 for confirmation.

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🧭 6. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

• Daily Trend (Analyzed Chart): Showing early signs of distribution / transition.

• Likely Weekly Trend: Still bullish but vulnerable to pullback towards 0.475 - 0.500 if 0.530 is not reclaimed.

• Compression Zone:

  • 0.500 – 0.530 showing high activity; potential decision zone.

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📌 7. Key Technical Levels

Type	Price Level	Significance
Resistance	0.530	Near-term rejection zone
Supply	0.575	Local top, failed breakout
Demand	0.500	Recent low with high volume
Support	0.475	Below volume bar, potential stop run
Key Range	0.500–0.530	Institutional decision area

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⚠️ 8. Risk-Adjusted Setup & Trade Management

• Potential Long Setup:

  • If price consolidates above 0.520–0.530 with volume contraction, look for breakout bar with expanding volume.

• Invalidation Level:

  • Below 0.495 (under the wide-range bar low)

• Target Zone:

  • 0.560–0.575 retest (prior swing high zone)

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✅ Trade Summary Format

Buying Tai Sin Electric Ltd because 0.500 shows signs of institutional absorption after climactic selloff, with stops at 0.495, targeting 0.575 for a 1:3.5 risk-reward ratio.
Confidence Rating: 7.5 / 10
Key Levels to Watch:

• 🔼 Resistance: 0.530 / 0.575

• 🔽 Support: 0.500 / 0.475

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📋 Pre-Execution Checklist

• Confirm break above 0.530 on above-average volume

• Watch for failed breakdown retest (spring confirmation)

• Position sizing aligned with SL at 0.495

• Ensure higher timeframe (weekly) bias remains intact

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:  4.62