Monday, June 30, 2025

Bukit Sembawang - 30 Jun 25

Stock Name & Ticker: Bukit Sembawang Estates Ltd (SGX:B61)
Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Date Range Covered: October 2024 – June 30, 2025
Bars in Analysis Period: Approx. 180 trading days


Current Market Regime Classification:

Trending Uptrend with Minor Consolidation (Transition-to-Trend)


Highest Conviction Observations:

1. Market Structure & Order Flow Analysis:

  • Major Swing Highs (SH): 3.68 → 3.67 → 3.63 → 4.04

  • Major Swing Lows (SL): 3.51 → 3.51 → 3.19 → 3.86

  • Break of Structure (BOS):

    • BOS occurred with the breakout above 3.68 in May, followed by a strong rally.

    • Second BOS above 4.04 earlier this month (June).

  • Change of Character (CHoCH):

    • Clear CHoCH on the rally from 3.19 (early May). Marked shift from range-bound behavior to trending behavior.

  • Trend Condition:

    • Currently making higher highs and higher lows.

    • No significant lower low formation since 3.19 base.


2. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR) Analysis:

  • Volume Dry-Up:

    • Seen in April just before the explosive move from 3.19 upward, signaling pre-breakout absorption.

  • Volume Expansion:

    • Heavy volume breakout bar in early May breaking through the 3.63 and 3.67 resistance zones decisively.

  • Recent Volume Behavior:

    • The June move from 3.86 to 4.04 showed moderate volume on the breakout, but lack of strong follow-through volume, suggesting caution for chase entries.

  • Volume Divergence:

    • Latest push above 4.00 lacked proportional volume expansion compared to the May breakout move, indicating possible buyer exhaustion or pause before continuation.


3. Institutional Footprint Recognition:

  • Liquidity Grab / Shakeout:

    • Large downside flush below 3.19 in April followed by immediate reversal and high volume rally—textbook spring action, likely stop-loss run to fuel larger move.

  • Order Block:

    • Demand zone identifiable between 3.19 and 3.50 based on April reversal with strong volume reaction.

  • Displacement Move:

    • Strong directional rally from 3.19 to 4.04 (approx. 25% move in 6 weeks), showing institutional directional commitment.

  • FVG (Fair Value Gap):

    • Gap exists from 3.70–3.80 due to the aggressive May breakout. This area remains untested and may attract future price revisit.


4. Bar Pattern Recognition:

  • Continuation Signals:

    • Multiple bullish continuation bars with controlled pullbacks, shallow retracements post-May breakout.

  • Reversal Signals:

    • No bearish engulfing or strong reversal candles observed after pullback to 3.86, suggesting bulls still in control.

  • Recent Bar Analysis:

    • Current bar (June 30) shows bullish close above 4.00 with higher low relative to 3.86—suggesting breakout retest success.


5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence:

  • Higher Timeframe (Weekly Chart Bias - Not Shown but inferred):

    • Weekly structure likely in uptrend given sustained rally above 3.70 resistance level with strong weekly closes in May and June.

  • Lower Timeframe (Intraday 1H/4H Bias - Not Shown):

    • Likely showing coiled bullish consolidation under 4.04 resistance pre-breakout.


Additional Contextual Factors:

Psychological Levels:

  • Round Number Magnet: 4.00 acting as psychological pivot level.

  • Next Psychological Target: 4.20, followed by 4.50.

ATR Check (Approximation):

  • Recent daily range ~0.08–0.10 SGD, suggesting next target zones for extension should allow for ~0.20–0.30 range progression over coming sessions.

Company Catalysts (Past 90 Days):

  • No confirmed major news spikes visible in charted period.

  • The rally from 3.19 appears technically driven with potential accumulation signs, but external catalyst research advised for confirmation.


Key Price Levels & Risk Management Parameters:

Level TypePriceRationale
Immediate Support3.86Recent swing low, retest zone
Short-term Resistance4.04Current range high, breakout level
Next Bullish Target4.20–4.25Psychological & measured move
Major Support3.70–3.75FVG gap zone + May breakout base
Stop-Loss Buffer ZoneBelow 3.86Protect against breakdown risk

Forward-Looking Bias:

Bullish Bias continuation with primary focus on bullish continuation above 4.04. Expecting breakout above 4.04 with next targets towards 4.20 and 4.25, contingent on volume confirmation. Failure below 3.86 would neutralize short-term bullish thesis.


Trade Summary Sentence Format:

Buying Bukit Sembawang (SGX:B61) because price is holding above 3.86 support post-breakout with recent bullish bar close above 4.00, targeting 4.20 with stops at 3.85 for a 1:2.5 risk-reward ratio.

Confidence Rating: 7.5 / 10


Key Levels to Watch:

  • Support: 3.86 → 3.70

  • Resistance/Targets: 4.04 → 4.20 → 4.25


Quick Pre-Trade Execution Checklist:

✅ Higher timeframe alignment
✅ Volume confirmation on breakout
✅ Clear structural stop placement
✅ Minimum 1:2 risk-reward
✅ Psychological level awareness


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:  1.00%



Sunday, June 29, 2025

Sing Inv & Fin - 27 Jun 25

SING INVESTMENT & FINANCE (S35.SI) | 1D Chart | SGX
Date Range: Sep 2024 – Jun 27, 2025
Number of Bars: ~200 daily bars


🧭 Market Regime Classification

Current Regime: Transition-to-Ranging Phase

  • Previous trending leg (Feb–Apr 2025) topped at 1.16, failed to sustain above.

  • Currently compressing between 1.11 support and 1.14 resistance, forming micro-range near prior high zone (possible re-accumulation or distribution).


🔍 Highest Conviction Observations

1. Swing Structure & Market Context

  • Swing Highs (SH): 1.07 → 1.08 → 1.14 → 1.16 → 1.15

  • Swing Lows (SL): 1.01 → 1.04 → 1.06 → 1.11

  • Break of Structure (BOS) at 1.11 in early June — failed breakdown, quick recovery suggests trap/shakeout.

  • Change of Character (CHoCH): Bullish CHoCH confirmed by strong reversal bar from 1.11 level (mid-June).

2. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

  • Recent volume spike on June 27th accompanied by bullish close = potential absorption or quiet institutional buying at 1.13–1.14 level.

  • Volume dry-up from mid-June to late June during tight consolidation = breakout preparation.

  • April dip to 1.06 marked by climactic volume reversal, indicating possible spring behavior under Wyckoff structure.

3. Institutional Footprint Analysis

  • Order Block Zone: 1.06–1.08 area, tested multiple times post-April panic bar. Price now well above it, reinforcing it as demand.

  • Liquidity Grab: April’s spike down to 1.06 flushed stops from March low (1.11), followed by strong reversal — classic institutional trap.

  • Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 1.08–1.11 — filled and reclaimed, providing support context.

4. Bar Pattern Dynamics

  • Recent Bars: Narrow-range overlapping candles just under 1.14 = coiled inside bar cluster, energy building.

  • Several micro pin bars and spinning tops near 1.14 suggest indecision and testing of supply.

  • Today’s bar (Jun 27): Small body with rising volume = potential test of breakout readiness.

5. Multi-Timeframe & Psych Level Confluence

  • 1.10–1.14 = psychological resistance cluster and supply zone, but repeatedly tested.

  • Compression zone forming under 1.14–1.16 = classic Wyckoff Phase D re-accumulation candidate.

  • Higher timeframes (weekly) show macro structure still bullish post-breakout from long-term base (Q4 2024).


🛡️ Risk Management Parameters

  • Stop Loss: Below 1.11 (recent demand base and breakout invalidation point).

  • Entry Zone: 1.13–1.14 breakout confirmation with volume expansion.

  • Profit Target: 1.20 (measured move of recent 1.11–1.16 swing).

  • Risk-Reward Estimate: ~1:3


🔮 Forward-Looking Bias

  • Bias is bullish contingent on breakout above 1.14 with volume expansion.

  • Failure at 1.14 with rejection may prompt revisit to 1.11–1.10 zone.

  • 1.16 breakout would signal trend resumption toward next psychological resistance at 1.20.


Key Levels to Watch

  • Resistance: 1.14 (minor), 1.16 (major breakout), 1.20 (target)

  • Support: 1.11 (critical), 1.06 (macro demand)

  • Volume Confirmation Needed: on break above 1.14


🔁 Execution Checklist Before Entry

  • Breakout bar must close above 1.14 with expanded volume

  • No immediate rejection wick post-breakout

  • Ensure tight consolidation remains intact prior to breakout

  • Validate macro structure with higher timeframe support


Trade Summary:
Buying S35.SI because price is compressing under resistance with bullish volume absorption and institutional footprint evident, with stops at 1.11 targeting 1.20 for 1:3 R/R.
Confidence Rating: 8/10


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   5.26%



Saturday, June 28, 2025

Vicom - 27 Jun 25

Chart Setup & Context

  • Stock: VICOM LTD (SGX: WJP)

  • Timeframe: Daily (D)

  • Date Range: October 2024 – June 27, 2025

  • Number of Bars: ~180 (9 months)


1. Market Regime Classification

  • Current Regime: Transition to Trending Up

    • Market has shifted from a prolonged low-volume range (Oct 2024 – Mar 2025) into a higher-high, higher-low structure since late March.

    • Clear breakout above structural ceiling near 1.36–1.39, confirming a bullish market regime with increasing momentum.


2. High Conviction Observations

a) Structural Shift and Break of Structure

  • Swing Low: 1.22 (April)

  • Swing Highs: 1.35 → 1.39 → 1.46

  • Break of Structure (BOS) occurred when price broke 1.36 in May with strong bullish bars and volume expansion.

  • Clear Change of Character (CHoCH) in April as market shifted from micro-consolidation to impulse move.

b) Volume-Price Confirmation

  • May–June shows sustained volume expansion supporting price rise → confirms institutional buying.

  • Noticeable volume clusters around 1.35–1.39 → accumulation zone breakout.

  • Volume dry-up pre-April = classic absorption before markup.

c) Institutional Footprint Evidence

  • Order Block Zone: 1.30–1.32 (March consolidation before breakout).

  • Liquidity Grab: Down-spike to 1.22 (April) before sharp reversal — likely spring action.

  • Fair Value Gap (FVG) exists between 1.35–1.39, potential future support test zone.

d) Bar Pattern Microstructure

  • Continuation Bars: Clustered bull candles with small upper wicks and strong closes post-April.

  • Inside Bars near 1.43–1.46 = coiled energy for potential breakout or short-term pullback.

  • Bullish Outside Bar confirmed on June 27 (1.43 → 1.46) = short-term directional bias intact.

e) Psychological & Structural Levels

  • Psychological resistance near 1.50 (round number magnet zone).

  • Recent bar suggests compression just below this level.

  • Key Support Zones: 1.35 (prior BOS) and 1.30 (accumulation shelf).


3. Multi-Timeframe Context

  • Weekly Structure (not shown but implied): Forming a long-term base breakout.

  • Confluence with prior major resistance (1.36–1.39) now acting as support.

  • Price is trading above all recent consolidation zones = bullish control.


4. Risk-Adjusted Setup Identification

  • Entry Zone: Current breakout attempt at 1.46, pending confirmation over 1.47–1.48 on increased volume.

  • Stop Zone: Below 1.35 (confirmed structure and volume node)

  • Target 1: 1.53 (measured move extension)

  • Target 2: 1.60 (round number + projected FVG fill)

  • R/R Estimate: ~1:3 (Entry 1.46 / Stop 1.35 / Target 1.60)


Forward-Looking Bias

  • Price is in breakout territory but testing prior resistance — breakout requires volume confirmation.

  • Ideal scenario: Pullback to 1.39–1.42 zone for re-entry before leg up.

  • Watch for: Break > 1.47 with volume > previous 10-day average for continuation confirmation.


Trade Summary Sentence

Buying VICOM LTD (SGX: WJP) because of confirmed breakout above prior accumulation resistance with stops at 1.35 targeting 1.60 for a 1:3 risk-reward ratio.

  • Confidence Rating: 8/10

  • Key Levels to Watch: Support at 1.35–1.39, resistance at 1.50–1.53, breakout trigger at 1.47+

  • Checklist Before Execution:

    • Volume confirmation on breakout above 1.47

    • Check for false breakout patterns (e.g., long upper wick rejections)

    • Set alerts at 1.42 (pullback zone) and 1.47 (breakout validation)


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend: 3.84%



Friday, June 27, 2025

Pacific Century - 27 Jun 25

PACIFIC CENTURY (SGX: P15) – DAILY TIMEFRAME TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Chart Date Range: August 2024 – 27 June 2025
Bars Analyzed: ~200 daily bars
Current Price: SGD 0.425


🔍 Market Regime Classification: Transitioning to Trending (Bullish Bias)


Highest Conviction Observations

  1. Market Structure & Order Flow

    • Swing Lows: 0.315 → 0.320 → 0.325 → 0.360 → 0.370

    • Swing Highs: 0.345 → 0.340 → 0.405 → 0.430 (current resistance test)

    • Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed above 0.405, now retesting the prior high at 0.430.

    • Recent bullish engulfing bar with a strong close and wide range signals directional intent.

  2. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

    • Volume Expansion on the most recent bar shows strong participation into resistance.

    • Volume Dry-Up occurred during sideways consolidation near 0.370–0.400 (classic absorption phase).

    • Volume pattern suggests professional demand entering just prior to breakout zone at 0.405–0.425.

  3. Institutional Footprint Recognition

    • Prior absorption zone at 0.370–0.380 acted as base; now validated with breakout push.

    • Today’s candle is a displacement bar—wide range, strong close, breaking multiple recent highs.

    • Possible Order Block at 0.370–0.380 region confirmed by large-bodied accumulation candles with low wicks.

  4. Bar Pattern Recognition

    • Latest candle is a bullish wide-range outside bar, breaking multi-day highs with confluence of increased volume.

    • Previous bars showed a multi-bar compression pattern, now resolving to the upside.

    • Absence of upper wick on breakout bar indicates strong bullish conviction and limited supply.

  5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

    • Daily BOS aligns with weekly trend continuation from higher low base near 0.315.

    • Price now challenging multi-quarter high at 0.430, setting the stage for possible breakout continuation.


📊 Price Level & Risk Management Parameters

  • Immediate Resistance: 0.430 (multi-month high; key psychological level)

  • Support (Stop-Loss Zone): 0.370 (last structural low and order block region)

  • Breakout Validation Zone: Close above 0.430 with volume expansion and follow-through

  • Measured Move Target:

    • Initial leg: 0.315 → 0.430 = 0.115

    • Projected target on breakout: 0.430 + 0.115 = 0.545


🧭 Forward Bias & Setup Summary

Buying PACIFIC CENTURY (P15) because of a strong institutional breakout above structure with volume expansion and bullish displacement, with stops at 0.370 targeting 0.545 for a risk-reward ratio of 1:3+.

  • Confidence Rating: 8/10

  • Key Levels to Watch:

    • Resistance: 0.430 (watch for breakout or rejection)

    • Support: 0.400 (mid-level defense) / 0.370 (structure invalidation)

    • Target: 0.485 short-term, 0.545 extended


Pre-Trade Checklist

  • Volume confirmed on breakout

  • Structural BOS with wide-range candle

  • Defined stop below order block

  • Multi-timeframe alignment confirmed

  • Psychological level tested (0.430)


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   12.47%



Frasers Property - 27 Jun 25 - Buy

Transaction Value

SGD 3,480.00

SGD 10.00

SGD 1.13

SGD 0.26

SGD 0.35

SGD 1.06

SGD 12.80

SGD 3,492.80

Buy
FRASERS PROPERTY
Singapore
TQ5
Limit Order
4000
Good for Today
-
SGD 0.870

Cash Upfront
SGD

Thursday, June 26, 2025

BRC Asia - 26 Jun 25

Chart Setup & Context

  • Stock Name & Ticker: BRC Asia Ltd (SGX: BEC)

  • Chart Timeframe: Daily

  • Date Range: Oct 2024 – 26 Jun 2025

  • Bars Analyzed: ~180 daily bars (approx. 9 months)


1. Market Regime Classification: Ranging

Price has remained between 3.10–3.22 since mid-April, indicating a low-volatility range-bound regime with signs of potential re-accumulation or distribution.


2. Highest Conviction Observations

A. Market Structure & Order Flow

  • Trend Analysis:

    • Swing Lows: 2.30 → 2.47 → 2.67 → 3.10 (recent support)

    • Swing Highs: 2.59 → 3.00 → 3.15 → 3.22

    • BOS (Break of Structure): Occurred at 3.00 in Feb 2025 – initiated mid-term uptrend

    • Since 3.22, momentum has decayed and range compression is evident

  • Current Structure: Sideways consolidation between 3.10 (support) and 3.22 (resistance)

B. Volume-Price Relationship

  • Volume Expansion at Key Levels:

    • Feb breakout over 3.00 saw notable volume expansion validating institutional interest

  • Volume Clusters: Sustained activity around 3.10–3.15 shows supply absorption

  • Dry-Up in Recent Weeks: Indicates potential energy build-up for directional move

C. Institutional Footprints

  • Absorption Zones: Detected around 3.10–3.15; narrow candles with high volume in May/June

  • Shake-Out: Single long-wick candle in late June dipping below 3.10 before quick recovery – possible liquidity grab

  • Fair Value Gap (FVG): Exists between 3.00–3.05 (from sharp Feb rally), still unfilled

D. Bar Pattern Recognition

  • Reversal Signatures: Hammer-like wick on recent candle bouncing off 3.05 with low close volatility, showing absorption post trap

  • Continuation Setup: Multi-week compression pattern suggests coiled energy near prior resistance at 3.22

E. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

  • Higher Timeframe (Weekly): Likely shows broader uptrend with consolidation

  • Daily & Weekly Align: Both suggest pause within bullish context, validating consolidation phase above former BOS level (3.00)


3. Key Levels to Watch

TypeLevelSignificance
Resistance3.22Range top – minor supply
Resistance3.15Rejected twice – local supply
Support3.10Recent defense and range base
Support3.00Previous BOS level – major demand
FVG Zone3.00–3.05Inefficient zone, potential revisit

4. Risk-Adjusted Setup Framework

  • Entry Zone Consideration: Pullback near 3.05–3.10 support, with volume absorption signals

  • Stop Loss: Below 2.95 (beneath FVG and structural low)

  • Profit Target Zone: 3.22 (initial), then 3.35 (measured move extension)

  • Risk-Reward Estimate: 1:2.5 if entering ~3.08 with 0.13 stop and 0.27 target range


Forward Bias

  • Bias remains neutral-bullish inside compression zone.

  • Watch for volume expansion above 3.15 or failed breakdowns below 3.10 for direction cues.

  • No commitment until clear breakout or breakdown with supporting volume.


Execution Summary

Selling BRC Asia Ltd (BEC) is not currently supported unless a breakdown below 3.00 confirms.
Buying BRC Asia Ltd because price is consolidating at high with signs of institutional absorption near 3.10, with stops at 2.95, targeting 3.22–3.35 for a risk-reward of 1:2.5.
Confidence Rating: 7/10
Key Levels to Watch: 3.10 (support), 3.22 (resistance), 3.00 (breakdown invalidation), 3.35 (breakout target)


Pre-Execution Checklist

  • Confirm breakout/breakdown from range with volume > 20-day average

  • Multi-timeframe confirmation (weekly candle close > 3.22 or < 3.00)

  • Set hard stop based on structural invalidation, not percent loss

  • Scale out profits near 3.22; hold runners for extension

  • Monitor for sudden catalyst/news near quarter-end (June 30)


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   3.71%



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