Hyphens Pharma - 13 Jun 25

HYPHENS PHARMA (SGX:1J5) – Daily Chart Bar-by-Bar Technical Analysis (13 June 2025)
Chart Timeframe: Daily
Date Range Covered: ~12 months (June 2024 – June 2025)
Bars Analyzed: ~250

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📊 Current Market Regime: Transition → Early Breakout Attempt

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🔍 Highest Conviction Observations:

1. Macro Market Structure & Trend Context:

   • Range-Bound Market from June 2024 to April 2025 between 0.270–0.295.

   • Break of Structure (BOS) confirmed in early May 2025 with breakout above multi-touch 0.295 resistance, peaking at 0.305.

   • Change of Character (CHoCH) occurred mid-May as the price failed to break lower from the 0.275 retest—signaling demand re-entry.

2. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR) Analysis:

   • Climactic Buy Volume visible in early May breakout (April’s 0.260 low to 0.300 high).

   • Wide Range Up Bars on Expanding Volume indicate institutional accumulation.

   • Recent High Volume but Narrow Spread (13 June bar) → Suggests potential absorption at 0.305 level (institutional selling or supply re-entry).

3. Institutional Footprint Detection:

   • Order Block Likely Formed at 0.275 zone (last down move before explosive up bar on heavy volume).

   • Liquidity Grab Likely at 0.260–0.270 zone in April before directional move (stop sweep of prior lows).

   • Displacement Move confirmed in May with no retracement until 0.300 (clean bullish impulse).

4. Bar Pattern Recognition:

   • 13 June 2025 Bar: Tall upper wick, closes near open (0.300), high of 0.305.

     • Potential Upthrust Action—false breakout over 0.300 met with supply.

     • Requires confirmation by next bar for bearish reversal signal.

   • Multiple Inside Bars clustered in April-May reflect accumulation before breakout.

5. Psychological and Technical Levels:

   • 0.300 is a strong round number resistance, consistently tested and currently acting as a ceiling.

   • Previous resistance 0.295 now serves as key support.

   • Volume cluster formed between 0.280–0.295 → potential reaccumulation zone.

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🎯 Key Levels:

• Immediate Resistance: 0.305 (recent high) → psychological and technical ceiling.

• Support Zones:

  • 0.295 (prior range high, potential support on retest).

  • 0.275–0.280 (order block + demand zone from April breakout).

• Breakout Trigger: Clean daily close above 0.305 on volume expansion.

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🧠 Risk Management Framework:

• Stop Placement: Below 0.275 (beneath demand base and order block).

• Target Projection:

  • First target: 0.320 (measured move of 0.025 from 0.275 base breakout).

  • Secondary target: 0.340 (next round number + fib extension).

• Risk-Reward Setup: From 0.300 entry → Stop: 0.274 | Target 1: 0.320 → 1:2 RRR

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📌 Forward-Looking Bias:

• Bias: Moderately bullish with potential short-term consolidation unless price is rejected again at 0.305.

• Watch for:

  • Confirmed bullish close >0.305 on volume expansion for breakout confirmation.

  • Breakdown of 0.295 support would negate current bullish structure and imply retest of 0.275.

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✅ Pre-Trade Execution Checklist:

• Volume confirmation above 20-day average on breakout

• Candlestick follow-through beyond 0.305

• No large upper wick on breakout candle

• Risk defined with stop below 0.275

• Confirm alignment with higher timeframe bias (weekly chart)

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Trade Summary Format:
Buying HYPHENS PHARMA (SGX:1J5) because of a confirmed structure breakout above a long-term range with strong volume footprint, with stops at 0.274, targeting 0.320 for a 1:2 risk-reward ratio.
Confidence Rating: 7.5 / 10
Key Levels to Watch: 0.305 (breakout), 0.295 (support), 0.275 (order block)

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

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