Pacific Century - 27 Jun 25

PACIFIC CENTURY (SGX: P15) – DAILY TIMEFRAME TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Chart Date Range: August 2024 – 27 June 2025
Bars Analyzed: ~200 daily bars
Current Price: SGD 0.425

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🔍 Market Regime Classification: Transitioning to Trending (Bullish Bias)

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✅ Highest Conviction Observations

1. Market Structure & Order Flow

   • Swing Lows: 0.315 → 0.320 → 0.325 → 0.360 → 0.370

   • Swing Highs: 0.345 → 0.340 → 0.405 → 0.430 (current resistance test)

   • Break of Structure (BOS): Confirmed above 0.405, now retesting the prior high at 0.430.

   • Recent bullish engulfing bar with a strong close and wide range signals directional intent.

2. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

   • Volume Expansion on the most recent bar shows strong participation into resistance.

   • Volume Dry-Up occurred during sideways consolidation near 0.370–0.400 (classic absorption phase).

   • Volume pattern suggests professional demand entering just prior to breakout zone at 0.405–0.425.

3. Institutional Footprint Recognition

   • Prior absorption zone at 0.370–0.380 acted as base; now validated with breakout push.

   • Today’s candle is a displacement bar—wide range, strong close, breaking multiple recent highs.

   • Possible Order Block at 0.370–0.380 region confirmed by large-bodied accumulation candles with low wicks.

4. Bar Pattern Recognition

   • Latest candle is a bullish wide-range outside bar, breaking multi-day highs with confluence of increased volume.

   • Previous bars showed a multi-bar compression pattern, now resolving to the upside.

   • Absence of upper wick on breakout bar indicates strong bullish conviction and limited supply.

5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

   • Daily BOS aligns with weekly trend continuation from higher low base near 0.315.

   • Price now challenging multi-quarter high at 0.430, setting the stage for possible breakout continuation.

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📊 Price Level & Risk Management Parameters

• Immediate Resistance: 0.430 (multi-month high; key psychological level)

• Support (Stop-Loss Zone): 0.370 (last structural low and order block region)

• Breakout Validation Zone: Close above 0.430 with volume expansion and follow-through

• Measured Move Target:

  • Initial leg: 0.315 → 0.430 = 0.115

  • Projected target on breakout: 0.430 + 0.115 = 0.545

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🧭 Forward Bias & Setup Summary

Buying PACIFIC CENTURY (P15) because of a strong institutional breakout above structure with volume expansion and bullish displacement, with stops at 0.370 targeting 0.545 for a risk-reward ratio of 1:3+.

• Confidence Rating: 8/10

• Key Levels to Watch:

  • Resistance: 0.430 (watch for breakout or rejection)

  • Support: 0.400 (mid-level defense) / 0.370 (structure invalidation)

  • Target: 0.485 short-term, 0.545 extended

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✅ Pre-Trade Checklist

• Volume confirmed on breakout

• Structural BOS with wide-range candle

• Defined stop below order block

• Multi-timeframe alignment confirmed

• Psychological level tested (0.430)

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   12.47%