Wednesday, June 18, 2025

Pan United - 18 Jun 25

PANUNITED (SGX: P52) – Daily Chart | Oct 2024–18 Jun 2025 | ~180 Bars


📊 Current Market Regime: Trending Bullish

  • Confirmed Uptrend: Series of higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL) since April 2025.

  • Momentum Expansion: Sustained wide-range bullish candles accompanied by increasing volume post-breakout.

  • Institutional Continuity: Evidence of professional buying and order flow dominance with minimal retracement phases.


🔍 High Conviction Observations

1. Market Structure & Order Flow Analysis

  • Swing Map:

    • SH/SL levels: 0.515 → 0.570 → 0.540 → 0.655 → 0.570 → 0.690 → 0.790 (current HH).

    • Break of Structure (BOS): 0.655 BOS in late April led to strong directional continuation.

    • No CHoCH seen; structure remains intact and trending.

  • Trend Momentum:

    • Expansion bars in May suggest fresh institutional entry.

    • No signs of exhaustion—bar ranges remain wide, directional follow-through is strong.


2. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

  • Volume Signature:

    • May 2025 breakout: High volume + wide-range bullish bar = institutional breakout confirmation.

    • 0.690 retest (early June): Low volume dip followed by bullish continuation = volume dry-up + absorption at HL.

    • Current range bars show moderate volume on upside follow-through, indicating sustained interest.

  • Volume Divergence:

    • Not present. Price highs are validated with proportional volume surges.


3. Institutional Footprint Recognition

  • Liquidity Grab:

    • Early April dip to 0.570 = classic spring pattern. False breakdown below support, immediately reversed.

  • Order Block:

    • Bullish OB near 0.660 (final down bar before vertical rally). Untested = potential support on pullback.

  • Displacement Move:

    • From 0.690 breakout through 0.750 = clean vertical move, no significant retrace. Indicates institutional pressure.


4. Bar Pattern Recognition

  • Continuation Structure:

    • Bullish flag post-0.690 breakout (early June): narrow consolidation resolved to the upside.

    • Inside bar clusters prior to June 13–17 formed coiled setup, broken by bullish engulfing bar on June 18.

  • No bearish reversal patterns (no pin bars, outside bars with upper rejection, or volume divergence).


5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

  • Weekly Chart Bias (not shown but inferred):

    • Likely aligned bullish; daily trend strength implies higher timeframe support.

  • Compression Zone Breakout:

    • Multi-month range (0.515–0.655) resolved decisively in May = structural shift confirmed.


🛡️ Risk Management & Trade Parameters

  • Entry Zone: Continuation entry above 0.790 with confirmation (gap-up or strong follow-through bar).

  • Stop Loss: Below 0.750 (recent minor HL support, structural invalidation zone).

  • Target Zone: 0.860–0.880 based on measured move projection (flagpole from 0.690 to 0.790).

  • Risk-to-Reward: ~1:2.25 based on 0.040 risk vs. 0.090 reward zone.


🔮 Forward-Looking Bias & Key Levels to Watch

  • Immediate Resistance: Psychological round number at 0.800, followed by 0.860 extension.

  • Support Zones: 0.750 (bullish OB) and 0.690 (prior breakout level).

  • Volume Confirmation Needed: Watch for volume expansion on next breakout to validate strength.

  • Catalyst Note: Corporate actions or sector rotation may accelerate or pause price action.


✅ Final Setup Summary

Buying PANUNITED (P52.SI) because the stock is in a confirmed institutional-led uptrend following a multi-month breakout, with strong volume participation and no sign of reversal.
Stops at 0.750, targeting 0.860 for a 2.25R setup.

Confidence Rating: 8.5/10
Key Levels: Support – 0.750 / 0.690 | Resistance – 0.800 / 0.860
Execution Checklist:

  • Confirm breakout candle with expanding volume

  • Ensure no bearish divergence

  • Set alerts near target zone to manage partial profits


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   3.16%



No comments:

Post a Comment

Singapore Stock Investment Research