Thursday, June 26, 2025

BRC Asia - 26 Jun 25

Chart Setup & Context

  • Stock Name & Ticker: BRC Asia Ltd (SGX: BEC)

  • Chart Timeframe: Daily

  • Date Range: Oct 2024 – 26 Jun 2025

  • Bars Analyzed: ~180 daily bars (approx. 9 months)


1. Market Regime Classification: Ranging

Price has remained between 3.10–3.22 since mid-April, indicating a low-volatility range-bound regime with signs of potential re-accumulation or distribution.


2. Highest Conviction Observations

A. Market Structure & Order Flow

  • Trend Analysis:

    • Swing Lows: 2.30 → 2.47 → 2.67 → 3.10 (recent support)

    • Swing Highs: 2.59 → 3.00 → 3.15 → 3.22

    • BOS (Break of Structure): Occurred at 3.00 in Feb 2025 – initiated mid-term uptrend

    • Since 3.22, momentum has decayed and range compression is evident

  • Current Structure: Sideways consolidation between 3.10 (support) and 3.22 (resistance)

B. Volume-Price Relationship

  • Volume Expansion at Key Levels:

    • Feb breakout over 3.00 saw notable volume expansion validating institutional interest

  • Volume Clusters: Sustained activity around 3.10–3.15 shows supply absorption

  • Dry-Up in Recent Weeks: Indicates potential energy build-up for directional move

C. Institutional Footprints

  • Absorption Zones: Detected around 3.10–3.15; narrow candles with high volume in May/June

  • Shake-Out: Single long-wick candle in late June dipping below 3.10 before quick recovery – possible liquidity grab

  • Fair Value Gap (FVG): Exists between 3.00–3.05 (from sharp Feb rally), still unfilled

D. Bar Pattern Recognition

  • Reversal Signatures: Hammer-like wick on recent candle bouncing off 3.05 with low close volatility, showing absorption post trap

  • Continuation Setup: Multi-week compression pattern suggests coiled energy near prior resistance at 3.22

E. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

  • Higher Timeframe (Weekly): Likely shows broader uptrend with consolidation

  • Daily & Weekly Align: Both suggest pause within bullish context, validating consolidation phase above former BOS level (3.00)


3. Key Levels to Watch

TypeLevelSignificance
Resistance3.22Range top – minor supply
Resistance3.15Rejected twice – local supply
Support3.10Recent defense and range base
Support3.00Previous BOS level – major demand
FVG Zone3.00–3.05Inefficient zone, potential revisit

4. Risk-Adjusted Setup Framework

  • Entry Zone Consideration: Pullback near 3.05–3.10 support, with volume absorption signals

  • Stop Loss: Below 2.95 (beneath FVG and structural low)

  • Profit Target Zone: 3.22 (initial), then 3.35 (measured move extension)

  • Risk-Reward Estimate: 1:2.5 if entering ~3.08 with 0.13 stop and 0.27 target range


Forward Bias

  • Bias remains neutral-bullish inside compression zone.

  • Watch for volume expansion above 3.15 or failed breakdowns below 3.10 for direction cues.

  • No commitment until clear breakout or breakdown with supporting volume.


Execution Summary

Selling BRC Asia Ltd (BEC) is not currently supported unless a breakdown below 3.00 confirms.
Buying BRC Asia Ltd because price is consolidating at high with signs of institutional absorption near 3.10, with stops at 2.95, targeting 3.22–3.35 for a risk-reward of 1:2.5.
Confidence Rating: 7/10
Key Levels to Watch: 3.10 (support), 3.22 (resistance), 3.00 (breakdown invalidation), 3.35 (breakout target)


Pre-Execution Checklist

  • Confirm breakout/breakdown from range with volume > 20-day average

  • Multi-timeframe confirmation (weekly candle close > 3.22 or < 3.00)

  • Set hard stop based on structural invalidation, not percent loss

  • Scale out profits near 3.22; hold runners for extension

  • Monitor for sudden catalyst/news near quarter-end (June 30)


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   3.71%



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