Friday, December 05, 2025

LHN - 05 Dec 2025

LHN Limited (41O) — Daily Chart

Timeframe: 1D
Date Range: ~Apr 2025 → 5 Dec 2025
Bars Analyzed: ~160
Last Traded Price: 0.690

1. Market Regime Classification (Current State)

LHN is currently in a transition → early accumulation regime after a sharp markdown from 1.08.
Key signatures:

Selling pressure weakening (shorter red bar ranges).
Volume tapering into late November → early December (possible absorption).
Sideways base forming around 0.63 – 0.69.

Bias: Early signs of accumulation but no confirmed reversal yet.

2. Highest Conviction Observations (Top 5)

1. Major Structural Top Identified at 1.080 With Clear Distribution

The wide-range upthrust into 1.08 followed by immediate failure = institutional offloading.

2. Repeated Attempts to Hold the 0.775–0.780 Zone Failed → Confirming BOS Down

This was a key CHoCH → BOS in early September.

3. Current Base Between 0.63–0.69 Shows Absorption

Multiple small-range bars with declining volume = strong hands absorbing supply.

4. Volume Spike in Late Oct / Early Nov Was Followed by Poor Upward Result

High effort → poor result = persistent supply.

5. Near-term liquidity pool sits above 0.715–0.730

This is the first upside magnet if price can sustain above 0.70.

3. Market Structure & Order Flow Analysis

Primary Swing Structure

SH (Major): 1.080
SH (Prior): 0.915
SL: 0.775 → 0.780 → current base 0.63 region

Break of Structure Events

BOS Down:
- Break below 0.775 (Aug)
- Break below 0.780 (Sep)
- Confirms transition into a downtrend

CHoCH Attempts:

Mid-Oct bounce looked like a CHoCH attempt but failed due to lack of volume follow-through.

Trend Momentum Decay:

Large, decisive red bars early in the decline.
Recently → small overlapping bars = sell momentum weakening.

4. Volume-Price Relationship Analysis (VPR)

Key Signatures:

High volume + wide spread around 1.08
→ distribution / exit liquidity for institutions.
Low volume drift downward (Nov)
→ selling exhaustion, potential accumulation.
Volume divergence
- Price made lower lows (0.64)
- But volume decreased
  → bearish momentum fading.
Early Dec small-range up bars on slightly higher volume
→ early accumulation footprints.

5. Institutional Footprint Recognition

Liquidity Grabs

Wick beyond 0.775 during August pullback = classic stop-run before further markdown.

Order Blocks

Bearish OB: 1.02–1.08 (strong selling zone)
Bullish OB Candidate: 0.63–0.66 (current absorption)

Fair Value Gaps (FVG)

FVG on the run from 0.90 → 1.08 (likely to be filled only in a major cyclical reversal)

Displacement

Strong displacement down from 0.90 → 0.75
No similar displacement upward yet → bulls not in control.

6. Bar Pattern Recognition

Reversal Bars

Several hammer-like bars around 0.64–0.68
→ BUT most on low volume → weak conviction.

Continuation Patterns

Series of lower-high compressions in Oct → textbook bearish continuation.

Indecision Bars

Multiple dojis at current base
→ typical near accumulation/support zones.

7. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

Weekly Chart:
- Shows a clear markdown from 1.08.
- Weekly volume basing around ~0.65 suggests mid-term accumulation.
Daily Chart:
- Matches: transition → early accumulation.

Confluence supports bottoming attempts, not a confirmed reversal.

8. Psychological Levels

0.700 = near-term psychological barrier.
0.750 = former support → now resistance.
0.600 = major downside psychological level if base fails.

9. Supply/Demand Imbalance Zones

Demand

0.63–0.66 = absorption zone
Signs of strong hands accumulating small quantities.

Supply

0.70–0.73: Light supply, first liquidity magnet
0.75–0.78: Heavy supply where prior supports flipped to resistance
0.90+: Major distribution area

10. Key Catalytic Levels (Actionable Zones)

Upside Key Levels

Level	Significance
0.700	Break → unlocks short-term momentum
0.715–0.730	First liquidity cluster; common mean-reversion target
0.775–0.780	Heavy distribution; requires strong volume to reclaim
0.915	Macro recovery target if trend reversal forms

Downside Key Levels

Level	Significance
0.660	Base of current absorption
0.630	Critical support; break = continuation down
0.600	Psychological round number + liquidity pool

11. Risk-Adjusted Setup Identification

Most Probable Short-Term Scenario

Slow grind upward toward 0.700 – 0.720 if current absorption continues.

Bullish Setup

Entry: Break + hold above 0.700 with volume > 20-day average
Stop: Below 0.660
Targets:
- T1: 0.720
- T2: 0.750
- T3: 0.780
RR: ~1:2.5 to 1:3

Bearish Setup

Invalidation level: Break below 0.630
Target: 0.600 → 0.575 zone

12. Forward-Looking Bias

Primary Bias:

Neutral → Slightly bullish, pending confirmation above 0.70.

Why?

Selling exhaustion
Absorption at base
Declining volatility
Improving bar structure

Key Trigger to Confirm Reversal:

Daily close above 0.720 with expanding volume.

Summary (Ultra-Concise)

LHN has moved from distribution → markdown → early accumulation.
Base building at 0.63–0.69 with absorption.
First bullish trigger at 0.700; momentum improves only above 0.720.
Heavy supply zones remain at 0.75–0.78 and 0.90+.
Bias cautiously bullish but not fully reversed.

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend: 2.90%