Thursday, June 12, 2025

Suntec - 12 Jun 25

SUNTEC REIT (T82U.SI) — DAILY CHART ANALYSIS (SGX)
Timeframe: Daily
Date Range: July 2024 – June 12, 2025
Bars in Range: Approx. 230 trading sessions
Market Regime Classification: Ranging with Transitional Elements


๐Ÿ” Highest Conviction Observations

  1. Market Structure and Order Flow

    • Swing Highs (SH): 1.22 → 1.38 → 1.28 → 1.24 → 1.21 → 1.18

    • Swing Lows (SL): 1.05 → 1.12 → 1.10 → 1.03

    • Change of Character (CHoCH): Clear CHoCH after the 1.38 peak (Oct 2024) signaled loss of bullish structure. Price formed a lower low (1.12) and failed to reclaim previous highs.

    • Current Structure: Ranging between 1.03 support and 1.18 resistance, with micro-compression around 1.13–1.14.

    • Trend Momentum: Decay evident with increasingly overlapping bars, tighter ranges, and a horizontal slope in price since late April 2025.

  2. Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

    • Volume Climax Events:
      • Nov 2024: High volume on breakdown into 1.12 region → panic liquidation.
      • Apr 2025: Massive volume spike on sharp drop to 1.03 → classic selling climax.

    • Absorption Signals:
      • May–June 2025: Several high volume + small spread days at 1.13–1.14 level → potential institutional absorption at base.

    • Volume Dry-Up:
      • Recent sessions (late May to mid-June): very low volume compression beneath 1.15 → signaling possible breakout staging.

  3. Institutional Footprint Recognition

    • Liquidity Grab:
      • April 2025 breakdown to 1.03 swept prior lows (1.10–1.12) and sharply reversed → spring-type action aligning with Wyckoff accumulation.

    • Fair Value Gap (FVG):
      • Large inefficiency between 1.15–1.18 (post breakdown gap in April) → unfilled and may attract price.

    • Order Block Identification:
      • Last red candle before May rebound from 1.03 at 1.06 area → acts as a bullish order block and support pivot.

  4. Bar Pattern and Price Action

    • Recent Pattern:
      • Micro inside bar cluster at 1.13–1.14 → coiling for directional move.
      • Previous sharp down bar into 1.03 now acting as an exhaustion bar.
      • No follow-through on downside indicates probable seller exhaustion.

    • False Breakdown Behavior:
      • April 2025 move below 1.10 was a false break followed by sharp reversion → indicates trap and accumulation phase.

  5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

    • Weekly Structure (not shown, inferred): Strong horizontal structure with long-term support at 1.03–1.05, former resistance-turned-support.

    • Compression across daily bars at long-term support level with evidence of buyer defense and absorption.


๐Ÿ”’ Risk Management & Execution Parameters

  • Entry Consideration: Break and hold above 1.15 on increased volume confirms breakout from compression.

  • Stop Loss Zone: Below 1.10, under compression base and recent support low.

  • Initial Target: 1.18, former structure high and gap origin.

  • Extended Target: 1.24, March 2025 pivot.

  • Reward-to-Risk Estimate: ~2.5:1 if entering on confirmation breakout above 1.15 with stop at 1.10.


๐Ÿ“Š Summary Setup Sentence

Buying SUNTEC REIT because of absorption and base formation at 1.13–1.14 with stops at 1.10 targeting 1.18 for 2.5:1 reward-to-risk.


๐Ÿ“Œ Key Levels to Watch

  • Resistance: 1.15 (breakout trigger), 1.18, 1.24

  • Support: 1.10 (stop zone), 1.03 (spring low)

  • Volume Spike Triggers: Any break above 1.15 with volume > recent average (~double)


✅ Pre-Execution Checklist

  • Confirm volume expansion > 2x average on breakout

  • Verify price closes above 1.15 on breakout bar

  • Set stop below 1.10 with proper position sizing

  • Monitor reaction at 1.18 for profit scale-out opportunity


Confidence Rating: 7.5/10 (building base structure, needs breakout confirmation)


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:  5.70%



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