Stock: Q & M Dental Group Ltd (QC7, SGX)
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Timeframe: Daily
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Date Range: ~May 2025 → 7 Jan 2026
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Bars: ~170 trading days
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Last Traded Price: ~0.525
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Recent High / Low: 0.560 / 0.480
1. Market Regime Classification (Lead)
Primary regime: Uptrend → Late-stage trend / early transition
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Structure still bullish (HH/HL intact)
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Momentum decelerating near prior highs
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Increasing risk of range expansion or distribution if follow-through fails
2. Market Structure & Order Flow
Swing Structure
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Higher Lows (HLs):
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~0.390 → ~0.440 → ~0.480
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Higher Highs (HHs):
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~0.455 → ~0.505 → ~0.560
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➡ Bullish market structure remains intact
Key Structural Events
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BOS (Bullish):
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Clean break above 0.455 (July) with follow-through to 0.505
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Continuation BOS:
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Break above 0.505 (Nov) → displacement to 0.550–0.560
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No confirmed CHoCH yet
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Latest pullback holds above prior HL (~0.480–0.500 zone)
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3. Volume–Price Relationship (VPR)
High-Quality Signals
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Aug–Sep rally (0.39 → 0.50):
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Expanding volume + wide-range up bars → professional participation
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Pullbacks:
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Volume contracts, ranges compress → healthy demand control
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Cautionary Signals
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At 0.55–0.56 highs:
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Volume not expanding meaningfully
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Upper wicks + smaller real bodies → supply absorption / profit-taking
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Effort vs Result:
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Increasing effort (volume) producing limited upside = distribution risk
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4. Institutional Footprints & Smart Money
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Accumulation Base:
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~0.38–0.40 (Aug)
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High volume, narrow ranges → strong absorption
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Order Block (Demand):
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~0.48–0.50
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Last bearish cluster before impulsive leg to 0.56
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Liquidity Grab (Minor):
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Brief push above ~0.55 with rejection → stop-run, not acceptance
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FVG:
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Inefficient zone ~0.46–0.48 (already respected on pullback)
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5. Bar-by-Bar Behavior (Recent Cluster)
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Near highs (~0.55–0.56):
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Repeated upper-wick rejection bars
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No decisive wide-range breakout close
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Last few sessions:
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Small-range bars, mixed closes → indecision
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Volume neutral → awaiting catalyst
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➡ Classic pause at resistance, not yet breakdown.
6. Psychological & Key Levels
Resistance
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0.550–0.560:
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Prior high + round-number psychology
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Needs range expansion + volume to clear
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Support
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0.500–0.505:
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Structural support + former breakout
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0.480:
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Last higher low (trend invalidation level)
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7. High-Conviction Observations (Top 5)
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Structure remains bullish, no CHoCH yet
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Momentum weakening near highs → late-trend behavior
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Volume confirms accumulation on dips, not at highs
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0.50 zone is critical institutional demand area
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Break above 0.56 must be decisive or risk mean reversion
8. Risk-Adjusted Trade Framework (Technical Only)
Bullish Continuation Scenario
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Entry Zone: 0.50–0.505 (pullback into demand)
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Stop: Below 0.48 (structural HL)
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Targets:
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T1: 0.56
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T2: 0.60–0.62 (measured move)
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R:R: ~1:2.5 to 1:3
Failure / Transition Scenario
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Trigger: Daily close < 0.48 with volume
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Implication: CHoCH → range or distribution
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Downside Magnet: 0.44–0.45 prior structure
9. Forward-Looking Bias & What to Watch
Bias: Cautiously bullish, conditional
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Bull case requires volume-backed acceptance above 0.56
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Otherwise expect range 0.50–0.56 with rising distribution risk
Key Tell:
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High volume + wide-range close above 0.56 = trend continuation
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High volume rejection at highs = institutional selling
Bottom Line
This is a structurally sound uptrend entering a decision zone. Institutions are defending higher lows, but not aggressively bidding highs. Patience is required—let volume resolve direction before committing size.
Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.
Dividend: 2.10%

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