Wednesday, January 07, 2026

Q&M Dental - 07 Jan 2026

  • Stock: Q & M Dental Group Ltd (QC7, SGX)

  • Timeframe: Daily

  • Date Range: ~May 2025 → 7 Jan 2026

  • Bars: ~170 trading days

  • Last Traded Price: ~0.525

  • Recent High / Low: 0.560 / 0.480


1. Market Regime Classification (Lead)

Primary regime: Uptrend → Late-stage trend / early transition

  • Structure still bullish (HH/HL intact)

  • Momentum decelerating near prior highs

  • Increasing risk of range expansion or distribution if follow-through fails


2. Market Structure & Order Flow

Swing Structure

  • Higher Lows (HLs):

    • ~0.390 → ~0.440 → ~0.480

  • Higher Highs (HHs):

    • ~0.455 → ~0.505 → ~0.560

Bullish market structure remains intact

Key Structural Events

  • BOS (Bullish):

    • Clean break above 0.455 (July) with follow-through to 0.505

  • Continuation BOS:

    • Break above 0.505 (Nov) → displacement to 0.550–0.560

  • No confirmed CHoCH yet

    • Latest pullback holds above prior HL (~0.480–0.500 zone)


3. Volume–Price Relationship (VPR)

High-Quality Signals

  • Aug–Sep rally (0.39 → 0.50):

    • Expanding volume + wide-range up bars → professional participation

  • Pullbacks:

    • Volume contracts, ranges compress → healthy demand control

Cautionary Signals

  • At 0.55–0.56 highs:

    • Volume not expanding meaningfully

    • Upper wicks + smaller real bodies → supply absorption / profit-taking

  • Effort vs Result:

    • Increasing effort (volume) producing limited upside = distribution risk


4. Institutional Footprints & Smart Money

  • Accumulation Base:

    • ~0.38–0.40 (Aug)

    • High volume, narrow ranges → strong absorption

  • Order Block (Demand):

    • ~0.48–0.50

    • Last bearish cluster before impulsive leg to 0.56

  • Liquidity Grab (Minor):

    • Brief push above ~0.55 with rejection → stop-run, not acceptance

  • FVG:

    • Inefficient zone ~0.46–0.48 (already respected on pullback)


5. Bar-by-Bar Behavior (Recent Cluster)

  • Near highs (~0.55–0.56):

    • Repeated upper-wick rejection bars

    • No decisive wide-range breakout close

  • Last few sessions:

    • Small-range bars, mixed closes → indecision

    • Volume neutral → awaiting catalyst

➡ Classic pause at resistance, not yet breakdown.


6. Psychological & Key Levels

Resistance

  • 0.550–0.560:

    • Prior high + round-number psychology

    • Needs range expansion + volume to clear

Support

  • 0.500–0.505:

    • Structural support + former breakout

  • 0.480:

    • Last higher low (trend invalidation level)


7. High-Conviction Observations (Top 5)

  1. Structure remains bullish, no CHoCH yet

  2. Momentum weakening near highs → late-trend behavior

  3. Volume confirms accumulation on dips, not at highs

  4. 0.50 zone is critical institutional demand area

  5. Break above 0.56 must be decisive or risk mean reversion


8. Risk-Adjusted Trade Framework (Technical Only)

Bullish Continuation Scenario

  • Entry Zone: 0.50–0.505 (pullback into demand)

  • Stop: Below 0.48 (structural HL)

  • Targets:

    • T1: 0.56

    • T2: 0.60–0.62 (measured move)

  • R:R: ~1:2.5 to 1:3

Failure / Transition Scenario

  • Trigger: Daily close < 0.48 with volume

  • Implication: CHoCH → range or distribution

  • Downside Magnet: 0.44–0.45 prior structure


9. Forward-Looking Bias & What to Watch

Bias: Cautiously bullish, conditional

  • Bull case requires volume-backed acceptance above 0.56

  • Otherwise expect range 0.50–0.56 with rising distribution risk

Key Tell:

  • High volume + wide-range close above 0.56 = trend continuation

  • High volume rejection at highs = institutional selling


Bottom Line

This is a structurally sound uptrend entering a decision zone. Institutions are defending higher lows, but not aggressively bidding highs. Patience is required—let volume resolve direction before committing size.


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   2.10%



No comments:

Post a Comment

Singapore Stock Investment Research