CSE Global - 28 Jan 2026

Chart Setup & Context

• Stock: CSE Global Limited

• Ticker: SGX: 544

• Timeframe: Daily (1D)

• Date Range: ~Jun 2025 → 28 Jan 2026

• Approx. bars: ~160–170 trading days

• Last traded price: SGD 1.10

• Session read: Strong close near highs (+2.8%), expanding participation

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Market Regime Classification (Lead)

Established bullish trending regime

• Persistent HH/HL sequence, shallow pullbacks, strong follow-through after breakouts

• No structural damage since the Nov impulse; pullbacks have been corrective, not distributive

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1. Market Structure & Order Flow

Primary structure

• HL ladder: ~0.42 → 0.62 → 0.67 → 0.90

• SH ladder: ~0.77 → 1.01 → 1.10 (current)

BOS / CHoCH

• Major BOS: Early Nov breakout above ~0.77 with displacement (wide range, volume expansion) → trend acceleration.

• No bearish CHoCH since; subsequent consolidations held above prior HLs, confirming control by demand.

Momentum health

• Pullbacks are compressed in range with overlapping candles → momentum pauses, not decay.

• Breakouts show range expansion with closes near highs → initiative buying.

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2. Advanced Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)

• Nov impulse: High volume + wide range = professional participation.

• Post-impulse base (0.95–1.01): Volume contraction + tight spreads = absorption / re-accumulation.

• Recent push to 1.10: Volume expansion resumes → breakout validation, not a low-liquidity drift.

Effort vs Result

• Several high-volume sessions with limited downside progress around ~0.95–1.00 → strong hands absorbing supply.

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3. Institutional Footprints (SMC / Wyckoff)

• Order Block (Demand): Last bearish bar before Nov displacement (~0.86–0.90). Clean reaction on retests.

• FVG: Minor inefficiency left in the Nov impulse (~0.88–0.92). Already partially mitigated; unlikely to be fully filled unless regime changes.

• Re-accumulation: Wyckoff-style continuation after the Nov markup—tests held above the prior range high.

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4. Bar Pattern Recognition

• Continuation signals:

  • Inside-bar clusters during Dec base → energy compression.

  • Bullish closes near highs on breakout days → initiative demand.

• Reversal risk check:

  • No climatic blow-off bar at highs yet (no ultra-wide spread with extreme volume and weak close).

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5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

• Weekly bias: Bullish (clean higher-low structure; weekly closes strong).

• Daily execution: Aligns with weekly—no timeframe conflict.

• Compression: Daily consolidations resolving in the direction of weekly trend → high-probability continuation environment.

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6. Psychological & Reference Levels

• 1.00: Major psychological pivot — now acceptance above.

• 1.10: Immediate resistance / discovery zone (being tested).

• Prior references: ~1.01 (former SH, now support), ~0.90 (structural HL).

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7. Risk-Adjusted Setup Identification

High-probability zones

1. Break-and-hold continuation

   • Entry logic: Acceptance above 1.10 with volume.

   • Invalidation: Daily close back below 1.05.

   • R:R: Targets via measured move from 0.90→1.10 (~0.20) projects 1.25–1.30 (≥1:2).

2. Pullback-to-support

   • Entry logic: Controlled retrace into 1.00–1.02 with volume dry-up.

   • Invalidation: Loss of 0.95 (structural HL).

   • R:R: 1:3 achievable if trend resumes to measured targets.

Trade management

• Stops beyond structure, not arbitrary.

• Scale partials near extension zones; trail remainder under rising HLs.

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8. Supply/Demand & Order-Flow Imbalances

• Demand clearly dominant above 0.90.

• No evidence of distribution (no failed highs with expanding sell volume).

• Any sharp spike beyond 1.10 followed by immediate rejection would signal a liquidity grab—watch the close.

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Highest-Conviction Observations (3–5)

1. Clean BOS with displacement in Nov set the trend.

2. Absorption + volume contraction during Dec base confirmed re-accumulation.

3. Acceptance above 1.00 flipped psychology from resistance to support.

4. Current highs lack exhaustion signatures—trend likely not finished.

5. Risk is well-defined at structural levels, favoring continuation trades.

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Forward-Looking Bias & Key Levels

• Bias: Bullish continuation while above 1.00 / 0.95.

• Watch:

  • Acceptance vs rejection at 1.10.

  • Volume behavior on any pullback into 1.01.

  • First sign of bearish CHoCH would be a failure below 0.90 (not present).

Bottom line: This is a textbook institutional uptrend—trade pullbacks and confirmed breakouts, not tops.

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

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