CapitaLandInvest - 26 Jan 2026

Chart Setup & Context

• Stock: CapitaLand Investment Limited

• Ticker: SGX: 9CI

• Timeframe: Daily (1D)

• Date Range: ~Jun 2025 → 26 Jan 2026

• Bars Analyzed: ~150+ daily bars

• Last Traded Price: ~3.05

• Recent High: ~3.07

• Major Low in range: ~2.48

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1. Market Regime Classification (Lead)

Transition → Strong Trending (Bullish Expansion Phase)

• Clear range → breakout → expansion sequence

• Current price is in impulse extension, not a mature distribution phase

• Regime has shifted decisively from accumulation/range to markup

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2. Market Structure & Order Flow Analysis

A. Macro Structure (Jun → Dec)

• Defined Range: ~2.55 – 2.82

• Multiple equal highs (~2.73–2.82) → classic liquidity ceiling

• Multiple higher lows (2.51 → 2.58 → 2.61)
  ➡️ Compression = accumulation

Key Structural Levels

• Range High (Supply): ~2.82

• Range Low (Demand): ~2.55

• Spring Low: ~2.48 (Dec flush)

B. Structural Events

• Spring / Shakeout:

  • Late Dec drop to 2.48

  • Wide wick + high volume

  • Immediate recovery → retail stops cleared

• BOS (Break of Structure):

  • Clean close above 2.82

  • Follow-through bars with expanding ranges

• No CHoCH detected yet — structure remains intact

➡️ Structure = higher highs & higher lows, accelerating

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3. Advanced Volume–Price Relationship (VPR)

Key Volume Signatures

• High volume + small range (Dec)
  → Institutional absorption below 2.60

• Volume dry-up during early Jan consolidation
  → Breakout preparation

• Volume expansion on breakout (2.82 → 3.05)
  → Valid professional participation

Effort vs Result

• Prior rallies (Aug–Nov): high effort, limited upside → capped by supply

• Current rally: high effort + strong result → supply removed

➡️ This is not retail FOMO behavior — it is controlled expansion.

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4. Institutional Footprint Recognition

Smart Money Concepts

• Liquidity Grab:

  • Flush to 2.48 below obvious support

• Order Block:

  • Last bearish cluster ~2.58–2.62 before vertical move

• Displacement Move:

  • 2.82 → 3.05 with minimal overlap

• Fair Value Gaps (FVG):

  • Inefficiency zone ~2.88–2.95 (likely first retracement target)

Wyckoff Interpretation

• Phase C: Spring (Dec)

• Phase D: SOS + LPS (Jan)

• Now in Markup Phase

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5. Bar Pattern Recognition

Breakout Bars

• Multiple wide-range bullish bars

• Closes near highs

• Minimal upper wicks → no selling pressure

No Reversal Bars Present

• No shooting stars

• No climactic blow-off volume yet

• No bearish engulfing at highs

➡️ Trend is healthy, not exhausted

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6. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

• Daily breakout aligns with:

  • Weekly range high (~2.80–2.85)

  • Psychological level 3.00

• No higher-timeframe resistance until ~3.20–3.30 zone

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7. Psychological & Reference Levels

Level	Role
3.00	Psychological acceptance (now above)
2.95	Minor pullback / FVG fill
2.82	Major structure support (former range high)
2.60	Institutional demand zone
2.48	Spring low (invalidation level)

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8. Risk-Adjusted Setup Identification

A. Chasing Risk (High)

• Buying at 3.05+ = poor R:R

• ATR extension visible

B. High-Probability Zones

1. Pullback to 2.95–2.90

   • FVG + prior micro consolidation

2. Deeper pullback to 2.82

   • Former resistance → strongest support

   • Best structure-defined stop

Sample Trade Framework (Illustrative)

• Entry Zone: 2.82–2.90

• Invalidation: Daily close < 2.75

• Targets:

  • T1: 3.20 (measured move)

  • T2: 3.35–3.40 (weekly extension)

• R:R: ~1:3+

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9. Institutional Supply/Demand Assessment

• Supply at 2.80–2.85 fully absorbed

• No visible overhead supply yet

• Current price discovery phase

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10. Highest-Conviction Observations (Summary)

1. Textbook accumulation → spring → breakout

2. Breakout is volume-validated, not thin

3. No distribution signatures at highs

4. Pullbacks are likely buy-the-dip, not trend reversals

5. Risk is now entry-location-dependent, not trend-dependent

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Forward-Looking Bias

Bullish continuation, with expectation of:

• Short-term consolidation or shallow pullback

• Higher highs after digestion

• Watch for failed retest of 2.82 as the first real warning

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:    3.93%