📊 APAC Realty Ltd (SGX: CLN) — Daily (1D)
Date range on chart: ~May 2025 → 13 Jan 2026
Last traded price: S$0.670
Market Regime (Lead)
Transitioning from Distribution → Re-Accumulation → Early Mark-Up
The stock completed a full Wyckoff distribution → markdown → re-accumulation cycle and is now attempting a structural trend reversal back into a mark-up phase.
1️⃣ Macro Market Structure
Primary swings
| Phase | Price | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
| Major Low (SL) | 0.325 | Capitulation low (May–Jun) |
| Major High (SH) | 0.795 | Distribution climax (Sep) |
| Lower Low (LL) | 0.560 | Markdown exhaustion (Dec) |
| Higher Low (HL) | 0.620–0.630 | Re-accumulation base |
| Current Break | 0.670 | Structural shift in progress |
Structure changes
-
0.795 → 0.560 = distribution + markdown
-
0.560 → 0.670 = first higher-low rally
-
Break above 0.650 = CHoCH (Change of Character)
-
0.670 reclaim = first BOS (Break of Structure)
The market has transitioned from bearish to neutral-bullish.
2️⃣ Institutional vs Retail Behavior
Distribution (Aug–Sep)
-
0.66 → 0.795 spike on huge volume
-
Followed by small-bodied candles at highs
-
Classic smart-money distribution into retail breakout buying
Markdown (Oct–Dec)
-
Price grinds lower to 0.56
-
Volume contracts → selling pressure exhausts
-
No panic → professionals already finished selling
Re-Accumulation (Dec–Jan)
-
0.56–0.62 sideways
-
Volume dries up → supply exhausted
-
Breakout above 0.65 with expanding volume → institutional re-entry
3️⃣ Volume-Price Relationship (VPR)
| Area | Volume Behavior | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| 0.795 top | High volume + wide range | Distribution climax |
| 0.60–0.56 | Falling volume + flat price | Absorption |
| 0.65 breakout | Expanding volume + wide green bars | Professional buying |
Effort vs Result:
-
Big volume at 0.60 didn’t push price lower → strong hands absorbing supply
4️⃣ Smart Money Footprints
Liquidity events
-
Stop-run below 0.60 → 0.56
-
Immediate stabilization = Wyckoff Spring
Order blocks
-
0.58–0.60 = major demand block (last bearish zone before breakout)
Fair Value Gap (FVG)
-
0.62–0.65 impulsive gap → likely retest zone
5️⃣ Bar-by-Bar Behavior (Last 20 Bars)
-
Tight range compression around 0.62–0.64
-
Series of higher lows
-
Wide green expansion candle through 0.65
-
Follow-through → bullish displacement
This is professional accumulation → expansion, not retail chasing.
6️⃣ Key Psychological Levels
| Level | Role |
|---|---|
| 0.60 | Institutional demand |
| 0.65 | Old resistance → now support |
| 0.70 | Psychological breakout |
| 0.73 | Previous distribution shelf |
| 0.795 | Macro supply ceiling |
7️⃣ High-Probability Trade Zones
Primary Long Setup (Institutional)
Buy Zone: 0.62 – 0.65 (FVG + order block)
Stop: 0.59 (below spring & structure)
Target 1: 0.73
Target 2: 0.79
R:R ≈ 1:3 to 1:5
Breakout Continuation
If price holds above 0.65 on pullback → trend confirmed
8️⃣ Trend Quality
This is not a dead-cat bounce:
-
Higher low at 0.56
-
BOS above 0.65
-
Volume expanding
-
No selling pressure
This is a base-to-rally transition
9️⃣ Market Regime Classification
| Phase | Status |
|---|---|
| Accumulation | ✅ |
| Distribution | ❌ |
| Markdown | ❌ |
| Mark-Up | 🔄 Early stage |
10️⃣ Forward Bias
Bullish while above 0.62
Expect:
-
Shallow pullbacks
-
Support at 0.65
-
Test of 0.73
-
Eventually 0.79 liquidity target
Failure only if:
-
Price breaks below 0.60 with volume
📌 High-Conviction Summary
-
0.56 was the Wyckoff Spring (smart money bought the panic).
-
0.65 breakout = structural reversal.
-
Volume confirms accumulation → expansion.
-
0.62–0.65 is now institutional demand.
-
0.73 → 0.79 is the natural liquidity target.
This is a textbook re-accumulation breakout, not retail FOMO.
Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.
Dividend: 2.69%

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