Global Testing Corporation (SGX:AYN) on the daily (1D) timeframe, with data as of Wednesday, 28 May 2025.
๐ 1. Trend Analysis
๐ข Long-Term Trend (Past Year):
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Initial Uptrend from March 2024 to June 2024, forming higher highs and higher lows. Price rose from ~0.60 SGD to peak at 1.08 SGD in early July 2024.
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Mid-Term Downtrend/Correction from July to October 2024: Clear lower highs (1.08 โ 1.00 โ 0.90).
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Range-Bound period from Nov 2024 to Feb 2025, between 0.93 and 1.00 SGD.
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Recent Short-Term Uptrend: March 2025 to April 2025 โ breakout from consolidation zone, rallying to a new swing high of 1.15 SGD.
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Current Bias: Neutral to Bearish โ failed to sustain above 1.15; has now retraced sharply back to 1.06 with increasing volatility and wider bars.
๐ 2. Key Price Action Signals
๐ธ Bars of Interest:
๐น March 2025:
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March 7โ18: Series of strong bullish bars on increasing volume โ breakout from multi-month range. Closed above 1.00 SGD, confirming buyer interest.
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March 19โ22: Continuation rally; volume stays high, but bars begin showing upper wicks, signaling early profit-taking.
๐น April 2025:
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April 3โ10: Parabolic move to 1.15 SGD. Large bullish bars with long bodies and some volume spikes.
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April 11โ17: Several reversal signals including:
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Shooting Star on April 11.
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Followed by a bearish engulfing bar on April 15 near swing high.
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Volume increased on red days โ early warning of exhaustion.
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๐น May 2025 (Recent Data):
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May 20: Large red bar with a gap down, closing at 1.04 on high volume โ confirmed breakdown from short-term support.
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May 23โ24: Price tested the breakdown zone (~1.08), but failed to close above โ bearish rejection.
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May 28: Sharp red bar (-4.5%) with volume spike; closed near the low of day at 1.06 โ signals strong selling pressure.
๐ 3. Support & Resistance Levels
๐ป Support Zones:
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0.90โ0.93 SGD: Major support from Oct & Feb lows.
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1.00 SGD: Psychological round number; former resistance turned support.
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1.04 SGD: Short-term support โ just broken.
๐บ Resistance Zones:
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1.08 SGD: Prior top from July 2024, now acting as overhead resistance.
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1.15 SGD: New swing high; heavy selling came after touching this level.
๐ 4. Breakout & Pullback Analysis
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Breakout (March) above 1.00 was clean, supported by volume confirmation.
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Pullback in AprilโMay initially shallow but deepened sharply after April 15.
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The May 20 gap down and follow-through selling suggest breakdown of structure.
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Failed retest of 1.08 in late May supports a bearish pullback failure pattern.
๐ง 5. Market Context & Trader Psychology
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Transitioning Market: From uptrend (March-April) โ now showing bearish reversal signs.
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Greed-driven rally in Marchโearly April; evident from parabolic move.
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Current action shows fear and indecision, as price reacts sharply to resistance zones, with heavier red volume bars and failed bounces.
๐ง 6. Supply, Demand & Liquidity Zones
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Demand Thinning below 1.00; large-bodied red bars showing sellers dominating below that key level.
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Liquidity Trap at 1.08 โ traders who entered late in rally are now trapped, adding selling pressure.
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Strong supply zone at 1.08โ1.15, confirmed by reversal on large volume.
๐ 7. Risk Management Strategy
๐ Short Bias Setup โ Breakdown Play
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Entry: Below 1.06 (confirmed breakdown bar).
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Stop-loss: Above 1.10 (near recent rejection zone).
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Take-profit levels:
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TP1: 1.00 (psych level & prior S/R).
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TP2: 0.93 (range support).
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TP3: 0.90 (previous swing low).
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๐ Alternative Bull Reclaim Setup โ Reversal Trade
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Entry: Above 1.10 (bullish engulfing + volume).
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Stop-loss: Below 1.04.
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TP1: 1.15 (recent high), TP2: 1.20 (potential extension).
๐ฐ 8. Company News (Past 3 Months)
๐ [Latest News Found Online for Global Testing Corporation Ltd. (SGX:AYN)]:
โ 1. โGlobal Testing Reports FY2024 Results โ Revenue Flat, Margins Declineโ
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Date: April 2, 2025
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Summary: The company reported flat revenue YoY but noted margin pressure due to increased operating costs and slowing demand in semiconductor testing services. Profit declined ~12%.
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Sentiment: Mildly negative โ likely triggered post-earnings sell-off.
โ 2. โGlobal Testing Appoints New CFO Amid Expansion in Taiwanโ
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Date: March 18, 2025
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Summary: Announced a new CFO and hinted at a planned capital investment in a new test facility in Taiwan.
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Sentiment: Neutral to Positive โ contributed to the rally earlier in March.
โ 3. โAnalyst Downgrade by DBS โ Valuation Concerns Post Rallyโ
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Date: May 23, 2025
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Summary: DBS downgraded the stock from "Buy" to "Hold" citing valuation stretch and technical overbought conditions.
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Sentiment: Negative โ likely led to sharp reversal around May 20โ24.
๐ Summary & Final Technical Outlook
Timeframe | Trend Bias | Key Levels | Notes |
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Short-Term (1โ2 weeks) | Bearish | Support: 1.00 / 0.93 โ Resistance: 1.08 | Breakdown below 1.04 confirmed. Heavy sell bar May 28. |
Medium-Term (1โ2 months) | Neutral to Bearish | Range between 0.90โ1.08 | Trend has lost momentum. Needs reclaim >1.10 for bullish reset. |
Long-Term (3โ6 months) | Neutral | Range: 0.90โ1.15 | Awaiting earnings-driven or sector catalyst to resume trend. |
โ Actionable Insight
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Short-term traders should look for continuation shorts below 1.04/1.00 targeting 0.93/0.90.
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Swing traders should monitor for reclaim of 1.10โ1.15 with bullish price action before considering long positions.
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Volume behavior confirms breakdown legitimacy โ follow-through likely unless bullish reversal signals emerge.
Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.
Dividend: 4.81%
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