Wednesday, May 28, 2025

Global Testing - 28 May 25

Global Testing Corporation (SGX:AYN) on the daily (1D) timeframe, with data as of Wednesday, 28 May 2025


๐Ÿ” 1. Trend Analysis

๐ŸŸข Long-Term Trend (Past Year):

  • Initial Uptrend from March 2024 to June 2024, forming higher highs and higher lows. Price rose from ~0.60 SGD to peak at 1.08 SGD in early July 2024.

  • Mid-Term Downtrend/Correction from July to October 2024: Clear lower highs (1.08 โ†’ 1.00 โ†’ 0.90).

  • Range-Bound period from Nov 2024 to Feb 2025, between 0.93 and 1.00 SGD.

  • Recent Short-Term Uptrend: March 2025 to April 2025 โ€“ breakout from consolidation zone, rallying to a new swing high of 1.15 SGD.

  • Current Bias: Neutral to Bearish โ€” failed to sustain above 1.15; has now retraced sharply back to 1.06 with increasing volatility and wider bars.


๐Ÿ” 2. Key Price Action Signals

๐Ÿ”ธ Bars of Interest:

๐Ÿ”น March 2025:

  • March 7โ€“18: Series of strong bullish bars on increasing volume โ€” breakout from multi-month range. Closed above 1.00 SGD, confirming buyer interest.

  • March 19โ€“22: Continuation rally; volume stays high, but bars begin showing upper wicks, signaling early profit-taking.

๐Ÿ”น April 2025:

  • April 3โ€“10: Parabolic move to 1.15 SGD. Large bullish bars with long bodies and some volume spikes.

  • April 11โ€“17: Several reversal signals including:

    • Shooting Star on April 11.

    • Followed by a bearish engulfing bar on April 15 near swing high.

    • Volume increased on red days โ†’ early warning of exhaustion.

๐Ÿ”น May 2025 (Recent Data):

  • May 20: Large red bar with a gap down, closing at 1.04 on high volume โ€” confirmed breakdown from short-term support.

  • May 23โ€“24: Price tested the breakdown zone (~1.08), but failed to close above โ†’ bearish rejection.

  • May 28: Sharp red bar (-4.5%) with volume spike; closed near the low of day at 1.06 โ†’ signals strong selling pressure.


๐Ÿ“Š 3. Support & Resistance Levels

๐Ÿ”ป Support Zones:

  • 0.90โ€“0.93 SGD: Major support from Oct & Feb lows.

  • 1.00 SGD: Psychological round number; former resistance turned support.

  • 1.04 SGD: Short-term support โ€” just broken.

๐Ÿ”บ Resistance Zones:

  • 1.08 SGD: Prior top from July 2024, now acting as overhead resistance.

  • 1.15 SGD: New swing high; heavy selling came after touching this level.


๐Ÿ“ˆ 4. Breakout & Pullback Analysis

  • Breakout (March) above 1.00 was clean, supported by volume confirmation.

  • Pullback in Aprilโ€“May initially shallow but deepened sharply after April 15.

  • The May 20 gap down and follow-through selling suggest breakdown of structure.

  • Failed retest of 1.08 in late May supports a bearish pullback failure pattern.


๐Ÿง  5. Market Context & Trader Psychology

  • Transitioning Market: From uptrend (March-April) โ†’ now showing bearish reversal signs.

  • Greed-driven rally in Marchโ€“early April; evident from parabolic move.

  • Current action shows fear and indecision, as price reacts sharply to resistance zones, with heavier red volume bars and failed bounces.


๐Ÿงƒ 6. Supply, Demand & Liquidity Zones

  • Demand Thinning below 1.00; large-bodied red bars showing sellers dominating below that key level.

  • Liquidity Trap at 1.08 โ€“ traders who entered late in rally are now trapped, adding selling pressure.

  • Strong supply zone at 1.08โ€“1.15, confirmed by reversal on large volume.


๐Ÿ“Œ 7. Risk Management Strategy

๐Ÿ“‰ Short Bias Setup โ€“ Breakdown Play

  • Entry: Below 1.06 (confirmed breakdown bar).

  • Stop-loss: Above 1.10 (near recent rejection zone).

  • Take-profit levels:

    • TP1: 1.00 (psych level & prior S/R).

    • TP2: 0.93 (range support).

    • TP3: 0.90 (previous swing low).

๐Ÿ“ˆ Alternative Bull Reclaim Setup โ€“ Reversal Trade

  • Entry: Above 1.10 (bullish engulfing + volume).

  • Stop-loss: Below 1.04.

  • TP1: 1.15 (recent high), TP2: 1.20 (potential extension).


๐Ÿ“ฐ 8. Company News (Past 3 Months)

๐Ÿ”Ž [Latest News Found Online for Global Testing Corporation Ltd. (SGX:AYN)]:

โœ… 1. โ€œGlobal Testing Reports FY2024 Results โ€“ Revenue Flat, Margins Declineโ€

  • Date: April 2, 2025

  • Summary: The company reported flat revenue YoY but noted margin pressure due to increased operating costs and slowing demand in semiconductor testing services. Profit declined ~12%.

  • Sentiment: Mildly negative โ€“ likely triggered post-earnings sell-off.

โœ… 2. โ€œGlobal Testing Appoints New CFO Amid Expansion in Taiwanโ€

  • Date: March 18, 2025

  • Summary: Announced a new CFO and hinted at a planned capital investment in a new test facility in Taiwan.

  • Sentiment: Neutral to Positive โ€“ contributed to the rally earlier in March.

โœ… 3. โ€œAnalyst Downgrade by DBS โ€“ Valuation Concerns Post Rallyโ€

  • Date: May 23, 2025

  • Summary: DBS downgraded the stock from "Buy" to "Hold" citing valuation stretch and technical overbought conditions.

  • Sentiment: Negative โ€“ likely led to sharp reversal around May 20โ€“24.


๐Ÿ“‹ Summary & Final Technical Outlook

TimeframeTrend BiasKey LevelsNotes
Short-Term (1โ€“2 weeks)BearishSupport: 1.00 / 0.93 โ€” Resistance: 1.08Breakdown below 1.04 confirmed. Heavy sell bar May 28.
Medium-Term (1โ€“2 months)Neutral to BearishRange between 0.90โ€“1.08Trend has lost momentum. Needs reclaim >1.10 for bullish reset.
Long-Term (3โ€“6 months)NeutralRange: 0.90โ€“1.15Awaiting earnings-driven or sector catalyst to resume trend.

โœ… Actionable Insight

  • Short-term traders should look for continuation shorts below 1.04/1.00 targeting 0.93/0.90.

  • Swing traders should monitor for reclaim of 1.10โ€“1.15 with bullish price action before considering long positions.

  • Volume behavior confirms breakdown legitimacy โ€“ follow-through likely unless bullish reversal signals emerge.


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

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