AIMS APAC - 09 May 25

AIMS APAC REIT (SGX: O5RU), traded on the Singapore Exchange (SGX).
Timeframe: Daily (1D)
Current Price: $1.27 SGD

1. Trend Analysis

• Current Market Phase: Ranging
  Over the past year, the stock has fluctuated between ~$1.16 (support) and ~$1.37 (resistance) with no sustained directional bias.

• Recent High/Low Structure:

  • Lower high at $1.30 (Feb 2025) failed to break above $1.37 (Sep 2024).

  • Lower low formed at $1.16 in April 2025, showing downward pressure.

• Signs of Trend Weakening:

  • Recent bars are short-bodied, with some long wicks.

  • Price overlapping and frequent rejections near $1.27–$1.28.

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2. Key Price Action Signals

• Volume Spike (April 2025):

  • Large red bar with high volume down to $1.16, followed by quick recovery.

  • Indicates possible capitulation or demand absorption.

• Pin Bar (Late April 2025):

  • Long lower wick around $1.16 shows rejection of lower prices — potential short-term bottom.

• Engulfing Bar (May 6–7, 2025):

  • A bullish candle fully engulfs the prior bearish one, suggesting reversal interest.

• No Clear Gap Ups/Downs:

  • Candles appear continuous with no major gaps visible.

• Doji Bars / Inside Bars:

  • Multiple small-bodied candles between March and May 2025, reflecting indecision.

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3. Support & Resistance Levels

• Major Support:

  • $1.16 (tested in Nov 2023 and Apr 2025).

• Intermediate Support:

  • $1.23–$1.24 (frequent bounce zone).

• Major Resistance:

  • $1.37 (top in Sep 2024).

• Current Resistance:

  • $1.30–$1.32 (stalling zone from Jan to Feb 2025).

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4. Breakout & Pullback Analysis

• April–May 2025 Recovery:

  • Price bounced from $1.16 to $1.27 — this is a pullback rally, possibly forming a bull flag.

• Breakout Attempts:

  • Repeated tests of $1.28–$1.30 failed, showing weak bullish follow-through.

• No Strong Breakouts:

  • Most breakout attempts lack large volume or wide-range bars.

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5. Market Context & Trading Bias

• Phase: Neutral-to-Bearish Range

• Bias: Slightly bearish given lower highs and lower lows.

• Trader Psychology:

  • Fear near $1.16 lows (high-volume selloff).

  • Indecision near $1.27 with tight, overlapping bars.

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6. Supply, Demand & Liquidity Analysis

• Demand Zone: $1.16–$1.23

  • High volume absorption seen here.

• Supply Zone: $1.30–$1.34

  • Strong historical rejection area.

• Liquidity Spike:

  • Sharp volume rise on breakdowns and rebounds = institutional activity.

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7. Risk Management Framework (Hypothetical for Educational Use)

• Entry Idea: Break above $1.30 on high volume.

• Stop Loss: Below $1.23 (last support).

• Profit Target: Near $1.34–$1.37 resistance.

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

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