Friday, November 21, 2025

Nam Lee Metal -21 Nov 2025

1. Market Structure & Order Flow Analysis

Swing Structure Mapping

  • Major SLs: 0.290 → 0.310 → 0.340 → 0.370 → 0.450 → 0.500 → 0.540

  • Major SHs: 0.340 → 0.400 → 0.505 → 0.540 → 0.580

Clear higher highs and higher lows → robust uptrend.

Break of Structure (BOS)

  • BOS at 0.370 → 0.400 (early May)

  • BOS at 0.450 → 0.505 (July)

  • BOS at 0.540 → 0.580 (late Oct)

Each BOS is followed by shallow retracements, confirming strong demand.

Momentum Decay

Signs of trend slowing:

  • Recent candles near 0.560–0.580 show overlapping ranges

  • Wider wicks with smaller real bodies

  • Volume thinning at highs

This signals compression, not a reversal yet.


2. Volume–Price Relationship (VPR)

Absorption

Repeated small-bodied bars on elevated volume around:

  • 0.540

  • 0.565

→ Strong hands absorbing supply before marking up.

Breakout Volume

  • Breakout into 0.580 lacked decisive expansion → low-confidence breakout, susceptible to pullback retest.

Volume Divergence

Price makes new highs (0.580), but:

  • Volume is lower than July–Sep breakout periods
    → Momentum losing strength; bulls want refreshed participation.


3. Institutional Footprint Recognition

Liquidity Grabs

Notable wicks:

  • Upward wick near 0.580 → swept liquidity, failed to follow through.

  • Downward wick near 0.500 → stop-hunt before continuation.

Order Blocks

  • Bullish order block around 0.500–0.515 (origin of September markup)

  • Re-accumulation OB at 0.540–0.550

These zones are where institutions defended price.

Fair Value Gaps (FVG)

Small FVGs left in:

  • 0.515–0.525

  • 0.545–0.550

Price tends to revisit these areas during micro pullbacks—healthy.


4. Bar Pattern Recognition

Continuation Patterns

  • Multiple tight inside bar clusters at 0.540 in early November → compression before attempt at breakout.

  • Rising micro flags at:

    • 0.400

    • 0.505

    • 0.540

Each flag broke upward until momentum slowed at 0.580.

Reversal Bars

  • None major yet.

  • Some spinning tops near 0.565 indicate hesitation, not reversal.


5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

Higher timeframe (weekly):

  • Smooth uptrend with no major supply until 0.60–0.62 region.

  • Daily aligns with weekly → bias remains up, unless SL 0.540 breaks.


6. Psychological Levels

Key levels:

  • 0.50 (major round number, defended strongly)

  • 0.55

  • 0.58

  • 0.60 (next major institutional magnet)

Price is struggling just below 0.580, indicating supply and trapped breakout buyers.


7. Risk-Adjusted Setup Identification

Most Important Levels

Support (demand zones):

  1. 0.540 – must hold for uptrend continuation

  2. 0.500 – major structural support

  3. 0.450 – trend invalidation zone

Resistance (supply zones):

  1. 0.580 – immediate resistance

  2. 0.600–0.620 – next upside target zone

High-Probability Setup

Scenario A – Bullish Breakout Setup

  • Trigger: Break above 0.580 with rising volume

  • Stop: Below 0.550

  • Targets: 0.620, then 0.650

  • R:R ≈ 1:2 to 1:3

Scenario B – Re-accumulation Pullback Setup

  • Trigger: Pullback to 0.540 OB with absorption

  • Stop: Below 0.520

  • Target: Retest 0.580, then 0.600

This is currently the higher probability scenario.


8. Market Regime Summary

The stock is in uptrend compression, not distribution.
The overall structure remains bullish above 0.540.


Forward-Looking Bias & Key Levels to Watch

Bullish Bias (as long as 0.540 holds)

Key Watch Levels

  • 0.580 breakout → critical

  • 0.540 demand test → must hold

  • Volume → needs expansion for new highs

  • 0.600–0.620 → medium-term upside target


Final Assessment

Nam Lee (G0I) shows:

  • Strong institutional accumulation since June

  • Healthy uptrend structure

  • Current consolidation likely a re-accumulation at highs

  • Break above 0.580 unlocks the next leg

  • Breakdown below 0.540 shifts regime to neutral / ranging


Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   2.65%



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