TIH - 05 Nov 2025

Stock: TIH Limited (T55.SI)
Exchange: Singapore Exchange (SGX)
Timeframe: 1-Day (Daily)
Date Range: November 2024 – November 2025 (~250 bars)
Last Traded Price: 0.245 SGD (as of 5 Nov 2025)

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1️⃣ Market Structure & Order Flow Analysis

Trend Structure Identification:

• Primary Structure:

  • From Dec 2024 → Feb 2025: Strong bullish impulse (0.195 → 0.265) – higher highs/higher lows.

  • Mar → Apr 2025: Trend breakdown – lower lows established at 0.195 (Change of Character – CHoCH).

  • May → Aug 2025: Restored uptrend – break of structure above 0.240 and new swing high at 0.280 → 0.300 (BOS).

  • Sep → Nov 2025: Momentum decay and potential transition to range-bound structure between 0.240–0.275.

Momentum Observation:

• The bar ranges are tightening since September, indicating momentum exhaustion and volatility contraction.

• Multiple failed attempts to sustain above 0.275–0.300 show supply absorption and distribution activity.

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2️⃣ Advanced Volume-Price Relationship (VPR) Analysis

Volume Signatures:

• Dec 2024–Feb 2025:
  Wide-range bullish bars with rising volume → institutional accumulation & breakout confirmation.

• Mar–Apr 2025:
  High volume but declining price → distribution and weak hands capitulation.

• May 2025 Reversal:
  High volume + wide-range up bar off 0.195 → professional buying confirmed.

• Jul–Sep 2025:
  Rising price on stable volume → healthy trend continuation.

• Oct–Nov 2025:
  High volume with narrow ranges → absorption or supply reloading, possible preparation for next leg.

Volume Divergence:

• Price retested 0.275–0.300 highs on lower volume, suggesting buyers losing conviction.

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3️⃣ Institutional Footprint Recognition

Smart Money Concepts:

• Liquidity Grabs:

  • April low at 0.195 likely a liquidity sweep below prior support before sharp reversal (classic Wyckoff “spring”).

• Order Blocks:

  • Bullish order block at 0.225–0.240 (last bearish candle before strong May rally).

  • Bearish order block at 0.275–0.300 zone (origin of August reversal).

• Fair Value Gaps (FVG):

  • Mid-May bullish imbalance between 0.215–0.235, largely filled during July pullback.

• Displacement Moves:

  • Strong May thrust from 0.195 → 0.240 confirms institutional intervention.

Accumulation/Distribution Phase:

• Currently in late distribution / early reaccumulation stage — no clear breakout yet.

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4️⃣ Bar Pattern Recognition

Key Observations:

• Pin Bars:
  Multiple long lower wicks around 0.240–0.245 indicate demand absorption (support validation).

• Engulfing Bars:
  Bullish engulfing at 0.195 (May) and 0.225 (July) → strong follow-through setups.

• Outside Bars (Aug):
  Wide-body bar reaching 0.300 → likely exhaustion move and local top.

• Recent Price Action (Nov):
  A sequence of overlapping bars with declining highs → range compression, typically preceding expansion.

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5️⃣ Multi-Timeframe Confluence

• Higher Timeframe (Weekly):
  Structure remains bullish as long as price holds above 0.225.
  0.300 remains the major structural resistance.

• Daily Alignment:
  The daily timeframe is showing short-term distribution but medium-term uptrend intact.

• Compression Zone:
  0.240–0.250 represents multi-timeframe support confluence (daily + weekly order block overlap).

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6️⃣ Psychological & Structural Levels

Level	Type	Significance
0.300	Major Resistance	Institutional supply zone
0.275	Intermediate Resistance	Previous swing high
0.250	Support/Range Midpoint	Pivot level
0.225	Strong Support	Last swing low
0.195	Structural Base	Spring low, liquidity sweep

Round numbers (0.20, 0.25, 0.30) show psychological clustering — heavy retail activity expected.

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7️⃣ Risk-Adjusted Setup Identification

• Preferred Play: Reaccumulation long bias above 0.240 support zone.

• Stop Placement: Below 0.225 (invalidates reaccumulation thesis).

• Targets: 0.275 first target, 0.300 extended target.

• Risk-Reward (R:R): ~1:2.5 if entry 0.245, stop 0.225, target 0.295.

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8️⃣ Market Regime Classification

• Current Regime: Transitioning from bullish to sideways.

• Evidence: Tight ranges, declining volume, repeated wicks on both sides → indecision and consolidation.

• Implication: Expect volatility expansion soon — breakout or breakdown likely within 1–2 weeks.

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9️⃣ Institutional Supply/Demand Summary

• Demand Zones: 0.225–0.240 (accumulation area)

• Supply Zones: 0.275–0.300 (distribution ceiling)

• Order Flow Bias: Neutral-to-bullish, awaiting confirmation of demand defense.

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🧭 Forward-Looking Bias & Key Levels

Bias	Zone	Expectation
Bullish	> 0.250	Retest 0.275–0.300
Neutral	0.225–0.250	Consolidation
Bearish	< 0.225	Breakdown toward 0.195

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🎯 Trade Summary

Buying TIH Limited (T55.SI) if price confirms support at 0.240 because institutional absorption zone overlaps with prior order block with stops below 0.225, targeting 0.295 for an R:R ≈ 1:2.5.
Confidence Rating: 7.5 / 10
Key Levels to Watch: 0.225 (invalidator), 0.275 (mid-target), 0.300 (major breakout test)

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✅ Pre-Execution Checklist

• Confirm bullish bar with strong close above 0.250

• Volume expansion on breakout attempt

• Broader market sentiment (SGX mid-cap index) stable or bullish

• Risk <2% account exposure

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:   4.08%