Sarine Tech - 04 Nov 2025

• Stock Name & Ticker: Sarine Technologies Ltd (SGX: U77)

• Timeframe: Daily (1D)

• Date Range: Jan 2025 – Nov 2025 (~11 months)

• Bars in Analysis: ~200 trading sessions

• Last Traded Price: SGD 0.310

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🔸 1. Market Structure & Order Flow Analysis

• Trend Structure:

  • Early-year sideways structure between 0.195 – 0.235.

  • Break of Structure (BOS) in September above 0.275, shifting from accumulation to markup phase.

  • Current trend: Higher Highs (0.340) and Higher Lows (0.275) → short-term bullish structure intact.

  • Minor CHoCH possible if price closes below 0.300.

• Momentum & Volatility:

  • Sharp impulse move in late Sept–Oct with increasing volume, suggesting institutional participation.

  • Current consolidation between 0.300–0.320 shows overlapping bars → momentum cooling, but structure not broken.

• Institutional Footprint:

  • Heavy absorption evident near 0.200–0.220 during May–July (high volume, tight range).

  • Recent spike to 0.340 showed climactic volume, followed by controlled pullback—typical smart money profit-taking, not full distribution.

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🔸 2. Volume–Price Relationship (VPR)

• Volume Expansion:

  • Breakout from 0.260 → 0.275 was supported by clear volume surge—confirmation of real institutional push.

• Volume Divergence:

  • Price made a new high (0.340) but volume slightly declined → potential short-term exhaustion.

• Volume Clusters:

  • Strong demand cluster at 0.275–0.285, now acting as primary demand zone.

  • Low-volume zone between 0.315–0.335 (inefficient range) likely to be revisited.

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🔸 3. Institutional Footprints

• Liquidity Grab:

  • Wick above 0.340 suggests stop-hunt of breakout buyers—typical upthrust action.

• Order Block:

  • Last bearish bar before the sharp breakout (around 0.260) marks a valid bullish order block.

• Fair Value Gap (FVG):

  • Between 0.270–0.285, potential retest zone for continuation move.

• Displacement:

  • Strong displacement leg from 0.275 → 0.340 confirms institutional directional intent.

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🔸 4. Bar Pattern Recognition

• Reversal Signs:

  • Shooting star near 0.340 with large wick = early sign of supply activation.

• Continuation Setup:

  • Recent 3-bar inside consolidation (around 0.305–0.315) suggests coiling energy for next expansion.

• Indecision Bars:

  • Recent spinning tops reflect hesitation → wait for breakout candle with strong body and rising volume for confirmation.

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🔸 5. Multi-Timeframe Confluence

• Weekly Structure:

  • Weekly chart supports bullish transition phase from accumulation to early markup.

• Daily Compression:

  • Tight coil above 0.300 aligns with weekly breakout structure—potential for timeframe alignment rally.

• Confluence Zone:

  • 0.275–0.285 = critical multi-timeframe support.

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🔸 6. Psychological & ATR Levels

• Psychological Level: SGD 0.300 acting as strong round-number pivot.

• ATR (approx.): 0.015–0.02 → moderate volatility, suitable for swing setups.

• Expect swings between 0.295–0.340 in near term.

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🔸 7. Risk-Adjusted Setup Identification

• High-Probability Zone:

  • Buy Zone: 0.275–0.285 (retest zone)

  • Stop: Below 0.260 (structural invalidation)

  • Target 1: 0.340 (previous high)

  • Target 2: 0.370–0.385 (measured move extension)

• Risk/Reward: ≈ 1:3.5

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🔸 8. Market Regime Classification

• Regime: Transitioning from Accumulation → Markup.

• Volume: Increasing into breakouts → validation of regime shift.

• Volatility: Expanding post-breakout, confirming trend ignition.

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🔸 9. Institutional Supply/Demand Analysis

• Demand Zone: 0.275–0.285 (absorption + order block)

• Supply Zone: 0.335–0.345 (climactic action + trapped breakout buyers)

• Effort vs. Result: Recent high volume with limited downside progress = absorption → likely reaccumulation, not distribution.

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🔸 10. Comprehensive Context

• Sector: Technology / Semiconductor Equipment – global tech sentiment improving since mid-2025.

• Relative Strength: Outperforming many small-cap SGX peers in recent months.

• Correlation: Moderate correlation to global semiconductor index (SOX).

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🔹 Forward Outlook Summary

Bias	Key Support	Key Resistance	Market Regime	Next Structural Target
Bullish (short-to-mid term)	0.275–0.285	0.340–0.345	Transition → Markup	0.370–0.385

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🎯 Trade Summary

Buying Sarine Technologies (U77.SI) because of accumulation breakout and institutional absorption near 0.275, with stops at 0.260, targeting 0.370, for a 1:3.5 R:R setup.
Confidence: 8/10
Key Levels to Watch: 0.275 (demand), 0.300 (pivot), 0.340 (supply), 0.370 (target extension).

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Pre-Execution Checklist ✅

• Confirm rising volume on next breakout candle (> past 10-day average).

• Watch for false break rejection below 0.300.

• Adjust stop if reaccumulation pattern confirms above 0.310.

• Maintain disciplined position sizing (max 1–2% equity risk).

Disclaimer:Please note that this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be taken as investment advice. Trading involves significant risk, and you should consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions.

Dividend:  3.23%